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Results for “evolutionary biology”

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bioRxiv2026

Learning and forecasting shared evolutionary pathways to multi-drug resistance across global pathogens

Infections with bacteria which have evolved multi-drug resistance (MDR) cause millions of deaths worldwide. Large-scale efforts are gathering genotypic and phenotypic data on MDR bacteria, but methods for learning the structure, diversity, and predictors of evolutionary pathways to MDR have yet to take full advantage of these data. Here, we use evolutionary accumulation modelling (EvAM), an emerging class of machine learning methods with roots in cancer progression, to infer these evolutionary pathways across ESKAPEE pathogens (seven bacterial species that dominate health burdens), using a database of over 635k genotyped phenotypic observations from around the world. We identify global patterns in MDR evolutionary pathways, remarkably shared across multiple ESKAPEE species. Species-specific deviations from these stereotypical pathways are connected with geographical and demographic covariates, facilitating predictions of future MDR evolution. We verify these predictions with several hundred new phenotypes from ESKAPEE samples spanning decades of clinical infections in sub-Saharan Africa, demonstrating the capacity to forecast future MDR evolution from these inferred shared pathways.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2026

Comparison of evolutionary rescue via biological and cultural evolution

Rapid evolution allows populations to persist in environments where they would otherwise go extinct. This phenomenon, known as evolutionary rescue, is typically studied in the framework of biological evolution, yet adaptive traits can also arise and spread through cultural evolution. The present study developed a stochastic eco-evolutionary model to compare rescue probabilities through biological and cultural evolution. Transmission bias governed the rescue probability under cultural evolution by setting how readily a rare adaptive trait was copied. Conformity bias suppressed population persistence because a rare trait was the least likely to be copied. Content bias toward the adaptive trait enabled evolutionary rescue when social learning was rapid, but it typically yielded a lower rescue probability than biological evolution. Only anticonformity bias, together with a high social learning rate, exceeded the rescue probability of biological evolution by enabling the adaptive trait to be established more rapidly. These results demonstrate that transmission bias alters the demographic consequences of cultural evolution and highlight the importance of transmission processes in evolutionary rescue theory. Understanding how adaptive behaviours are socially transmitted may also improve predictions of animal population persistence and inform conservation efforts in rapidly changing environments.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2026

Cross-Kingdom Control: Yeast Prion Protein Modulates Host Physiology in Drosophila

Prions, once mainly studied for their pathogenic roles, are now gaining recognition as adaptive elements in microbial physiology. Over one-third of wild yeast isolates harbor prion proteins, yet their impact on host-microbe interactions remains poorly characterized. Given the ecological dominance of yeasts in the Drosophila mycobiome, we leveraged the Drosophila melanogaster-Saccharomyces cerevisiae system to investigate how the mycobiome-derived prion, [MRPL10+], modulates host physiology. We show that flies exposed to [MRPL10+] yeast exhibit significantly enhanced cold tolerance and increased locomotor activity. This effect persists with heat-killed yeast and diluted culture, suggesting a stable, potent bioactive factor. Using the genetically diverse Drosophila Global Diversity Lines (GDL), we identified natural variation in responsiveness to [MRPL10+] yeast. Genome-wide association and functional RNAi screening revealed a gut-brain signaling axis involving genes critical for digestion, intercellular communication, transcription regulation, and neural transmission. Notably, serotonin and octopamine pathways were essential for [MRPL10+]-induced changes in cold tolerance and locomotion, implicating neuromodulatory circuits in prion-mediated microbial signaling. Our findings establish a mechanistic link between a fungal prion and host metabolic and neural adaptation. This work provides the first genetic dissection of a prion-mediated host-microbe interaction, laying the groundwork for investigating beneficial prions in complex microbial communities and highlighting a new dimension of the mycobiomes influence on animal physiology.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2026

Rapid repurposing of microvillar content drives a flagellate-to-amoeboid switch in the closest relative of animals

Animal cells extensively remodel their cytoskeleton during differentiation and can notably switch between two major motility modes: flagellum-based swimming and actin-based crawling. We previously showed that choanoflagellates, the closest living relatives of animals and classically viewed as obligate flagellated swimmers, can retract their collar complex and adopt an amoeboid form within seconds under spatial confinement, independently of regulated gene expression. Here, using live imaging, ultrastructural expansion microscopy, and cryo-electron tomography in Salpingoeca rosetta, we identify rapid, cell-wide cytoskeletal remodeling as the ultrastructural basis of this switch. Unconfined choanoflagellates lack a detectable actin cortex but display an apical flagellum and cortical microtubules, with F-actin being largely restricted to microvilli. Confinement triggers calcium release from intracellular stores, which induces microvillar retraction and absorption of microvillar material into the cell body, including actin, ezrin-radixin-moesin 1, and plasma membrane. Remodeling of the internalized F-actin and repurposing of associated proteins supports de novo actin cortex formation, which is necessary for amoeboid motility. In parallel, cortical microtubules are disassembled, and the reabsorbed microvillar plasma membrane increases the surface area of the cell body, allowing the cell to flatten under confinement. Cryo-electron tomography reveals stepwise actin reorganization from internalized microvillar bundles to a cortical contractile meshwork combining bundles and scattered filaments. This work reveals considerable ultrastructural plasticity in the cytoskeletal architecture of choanoflagellates and supports an ancestral role for microvilli as reservoirs of membrane and cytoskeleton to potentiate cell phenotypic transitions.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2026

Phylogeny and Species Delimitation in Isoxylosteum, a Lonicera Clade Endemic to the Himalayan-Tibetan-Hengduan Region

The Himalayan-Tibetan-Hengduan (HTH) region is the richest biodiversity hotspot for high-elevation plants. However, owing to its remote and physically challenging topography as well as the trans-national nature of the region, many taxonomic problems in the area remain unresolved, particularly in the Himalaya. This, in turn, has impeded our understanding of the assembly of its extraordinary high-elevation flora. Here, we resolve phylogenetic relationships and delimit species in a distinctive clade of honeysuckles that is endemic to the HTH, the Isoxylosteum clade of Lonicera, using restriction-site associated DNA sequencing (RADseq) and morphological data. Five species complexes of Isoxylosteum have standardly been recognized. Three of these complexes are highly variable and have been divided into several varieties or species each. Phylogenetic, population structure, and morphological analyses of leaf and floral traits from samples collected across the range of the clade support the recognition of five species, including a species that has most often been recognized as a variety of L. rupicola (L. rupicola var. minuta). Instead, we find that it is sister to L. spinosa. This is surprising because the geographic range of L. minuta is contiguous with the other varieties of L. rupicola in the northern Hengduan region but widely separated from L. spinosa whose range lies mainly to the west of the Tibetan plateau. On close examination we find that several morphological and ecological traits also support a closer relation of L. minuta to L. spinosa. None of the other eight previously recognized varieties and species were supported. Floral traits showed high discriminatory power, correctly classifying 89% of samples to species. By comparison, leaf dimensions classified species with 59% accuracy. Our results identify diagnostic morphological apomorphies for each recognized species and major clade and provide a revised taxonomic framework for Isoxylosteum.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2026

Evolution and Human Neural Individuality

Individuality is a defining feature of human biology. The functional network architecture of the human brain harbors person-specific qualities and forms individualized connectivity profiles that function as a neural fingerprint, both stable and unique across time. Here, using fMRI data from 431 Human Connectome Project participants, we examined whether neural individuality is more strongly exhibited in brain regions bearing signatures of recent human evolution. We calculated region-wise fingerprinting accuracy and associated it with four properties of evolutionary cortical organization: cortical expansion, myelin content estimate (T1w/T2w), human-specific gene-expression profiles, and functional homology to other primates. Across all four measures, neural individuality was strongest in cortical areas showing greater evolutionary novelty in humans, particularly frontoparietal control and default mode networks, and weaker in more conserved primary regions. Our findings connect evolutionary variation across species with stable functional variation among individuals.

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2026

Evolutionary origins of protein novelty across an entire yeast subphylum

Novel protein-coding sequences fuel molecular and cellular evolutionary innovations and frequently contribute to species-defining characteristics. They can originate either de novo from previously noncoding sequences or through extreme divergence of already coding ones. How frequently each mechanism occurs and how they shape the structural and functional potential of the resulting proteins remains unclear. Here, we conducted a broad computational investigation of genetic and protein novelty throughout the entire subphylum of Saccharomycotina yeasts. We detected more than 5,000 robust de novo genes across 332 species and compared them to more than 6,000 novel genes resulting from extreme sequence divergence, revealing two quantitatively similar but qualitatively distinct modes of evolution of novelty. A remarkable 40% of de novo proteins are predicted to localize to mitochondria compared to only 20% of divergent, with the latter also being substantially longer and more disordered. A detailed analysis of conservatively predicted tertiary structures of novel proteins shows that ''invention'' of new folds occurs more frequently through de novo emergence. We also illustrate cases of evolutionary ''re-invention'' of existing protein folds from noncoding sequences. Our work deepens our understanding of the origins and importance of novel proteins, opening new directions for further structural and functional characterization.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2026

Stochastic Biophysics of Cellular Radiosensitivity: From Molecular Noise and Repair Kinetics to Evolutionary Demographics

Radiation-induced DNA double-strand breaks (DSBs) drive cellular mortality, mutagenesis, and severe evolutionary bottlenecks. While classical phenomenological models, such as the Linear-Quadratic (LQ) framework, reliably predict macroscopic population survival, they obscure the intrinsic single-cell stochasticity that governs critical rare events like tumor recurrence or the emergence of radioresistant persisters. To bridge this divide, we develop a mathematically exact stochastic differential equation (SDE) framework that models continuous DSB induction and repair as a Feller square-root process. By deriving exact closed-form expressions for the foci moments, we establish a highly efficient Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) pipeline that circumvents computationally exhaustive Monte Carlo simulations, allowing the direct extraction of deterministic repair velocities and intrinsic molecular noise from empirical single-cell $\gamma$-H2AX data. Integrating this kinetic model with a cumulative damage hazard via the Feynman-Kac formalism, our framework seamlessly recovers the classic macroscopic LQ survival topology from microscopic first principles. Furthermore, systematic sensitivity analysis uncovers a fundamental evolutionary duality: while initial physical damage operates additively, ultimate cellular fate is driven by a nonlinear survival response governed by the trade-off between the damage hazard rate and intrinsic molecular noise strength. Crucially, we demonstrate that this molecular noise inherently enhances population survival. Governed by Jensen's inequality, stochastic variance acts as a non-genetic bet-hedging mechanism that buffers the population by favoring cells with transiently low damage loads. Ultimately, this exact stochastic framework bridges microscopic biophysics and macroscopic demographics, offering deep mechanistic insights into the evolutionary roots of radioresistance.

biophysics↗

bioRxiv2026

Activation and inactivation pathways of a p53-like transcription factor govern lipid homeostasis in yeast

Membrane fluidity depends on unsaturated acyl chains that are generated in Saccharomyces cerevisiae by the desaturase Ole1, whose expression is primarily under the control of the transcription factor Mga2. Here, we show that the endoplasmic reticulum-anchored Mga2 precursor is ubiquitinated by the E3 ligase Rsp5 and then processively degraded by the proteasome until proteolysis stalls at a defined site, releasing a soluble fragment that enters the nucleus and activates Ole1 transcription. Unexpectedly, Mga2 contains a DNA-binding domain and a trans-activation-like segment structurally and functionally related to those of the human tumor suppressor p53. The mature transcription factor is degraded in the nucleus in a DNA binding-dependent manner; blocking this degradation causes unsaturated acyl chains to accumulate in lipid droplets, a detoxification response required for cell viability. These findings define the pathways that activate and inactivate Mga2, and uncover an evolutionary connection between the yeast lipid homeostasis regulator Mga2 and p53.

cell biology↗

bioRxiv2026

Critical Fragility Emerges from Chromosomal Instability in Cancer

Genomic instability is a major driver of tumor evolution, promoting diversification and adaptation while simultaneously increasing the accumulation of deleterious alterations. How tumor populations balance these opposing effects remains poorly understood. Here, we introduce a computational framework that explicitly represents diploid genomes, functional gene classes, point mutations, and chromosome-segregation errors in spatially constrained and well-mixed tumor populations. We identify a viability boundary separating sustained tumor expansion from instability-induced population collapse. Within the viable regime, mutation and selection generate a stable distribution of genomic-instability classes that is accurately captured by an analytical replicator--mutator description. Near the viability boundary, tumor dynamics exhibit prolonged extinction transients and strong sensitivity to stochastic fluctuations, with important differences between solid and liquid architectures. Chromosomal alterations further modify growth by creating transient benefits through increased gene dosage and genetic redundancy, while ultimately increasing genomic fragility. Finally, simulated interventions show that eliminating low-instability subpopulations or increasing the global mutational burden can displace tumors beyond their viability boundary and trigger irreversible collapse. These results identify genome instability as both an evolutionary advantage and an intrinsic vulnerability, providing a quantitative framework for developing therapies that exploit the limits of tumor evolution.

cancer biology↗

bioRxiv2026

Initial tumor composition shapes resistance evolution and treatment outcomes in non-small cell lung cancer

Drug resistance is a leading cause of treatment failure in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), yet how resistance evolves during treatment and whether its fitness consequences depend on tumor composition remains poorly understood. Using a game-theoretic mathematical model fitted to longitudinal in-vitro data from alectinib-sensitive and alectinib-resistant H3122 NSCLC cells grown under different treatment and microenvironmental conditions, we found that the fitness effect of evolving resistance depended critically on the initial proportion of resistant cells in the tumor. When resistant cells were initially rare, resistance evolved faster and increasing resistance was associated with a growth advantage. When resistant cells were initially frequent, increasing resistance was associated with a fitness cost. In both cases, increasing resistance eroded treatment efficacy. In the gain-of-resistance regime, stabilization therapy could maintain a stable tumor equilibrium only if resistant cells were excluded. Maximum tolerated dosing was not always optimal for maximizing time to progression; intermediate doses performed better when they kept the initial tumor growth rate close to zero. These results suggest that evolutionary therapy for NSCLC should account not only for the abundance of resistant cells, but also for how resistance is evolving and what fitness consequences it currently carries in individual patients.

cancer biology↗

bioRxiv2026

GNMCADS: Sampling For Protein Conformation Diversity With Gaussian Network Model Guided Condition Annealed Diffusion Sampler

Proteins are dynamic molecules existing in diverse conformational states underlying their biological functions. Although recent approaches have enabled diverse conformational sampling by emulating molecular dynamics simulations, perturbing evolutionary information, or steering internal mechanisms of structure prediction models, predicting conformations resulting from major domain motions or motions that occur over long timescales still remains a challenge. To this end, we introduce GNMCADS, a conformational sampling strategy that enhances the diversity of protein diffusion models by selectively annealing the conditioning signal guided by the intrinsic dynamical organization of the sampled protein. Further, we implement GNMCADS in the diffusion module of AlphaFold3, enabling the generation of diverse protein conformations. When benchmarked across 92 proteins that include 54 class A GPCRs, 15 transporters, and 23 proteins with major domain movements, GNMCADS exhibits improved sampling diversity compared to other current conformational sampling methods.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2026

Hidden molecular states of bacterial replicons beyond the chromosome-plasmid dichotomy

Bacterial genomes are organized into autonomous replicons, traditionally classified as either chromosomes or plasmids-a binary framework that underpins genome annotation and evolution models. Yet whether this binary framework captures the full diversity of replicon organization remains unclear. Here we show that bacterial replicons occupy three recurrent organizational states rather than two canonical categories. By integrating quantitative measures of chromosome-plasmid sequence affinity (plasmidness) across more than 72,000 replicons from 21 bacterial genera, we identify a distinct class-intermediate replicons-that occupies a positional and functional middle ground. These replicons are plasmid-sized, harbor substantial chromosomal sequence ancestry, and lack canonical replication signatures typically associated with either class. Multiple complementary molecular properties converge on this same state. Comparative genomic analyses reveal their enrichment near recurrent chromosome remodeling regions and reveal close evolutionary ties to conjugative and antimicrobial resistance plasmids. Metagenomic data further corroborate their presence across natural ecosystems. Together, these findings reveal a previously unrecognized replicon state and redefine bacterial genome organization beyond the chromosome-plasmid dichotomy.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2026

Parallel evolution under constraint shapes echinocandin resistance in Candida auris

Drug resistance emerges repeatedly in outbreaks of Candida fungal pathogens, but little is known about its origins or persistence. Here, we investigated the evolutionary processes shaping echinocandin resistance in Candida auris, a globally emerging and predominantly clonal fungal pathogen. Genome-wide association across over 600 isolates identified mutations in the {beta}-1,3-glucan synthase gene FKS1 as the most significant driver of resistance to an echinocandin drug. Ancestral reconstruction of this population traced shared resistance mutations among small groups typically consisting of 2-3 closely related isolates, but clusters could include up to 16 isolates. Nearly all resistant clusters consisted of isolates collected in the same year and region, consistent with local transmission. To further examine population-level selection, we measured adaptive signatures in FKS1 and the highly diverged paralog FKS2 across 22,000 genomes. This revealed excess nonsynonymous polymorphisms in FKS1, primarily due to independent, recurrent mutations at resistance hotspots, consistent with parallel evolution and incomplete fixation of adaptive alleles. In FKS2, there is no evidence of hotspots and little support for diversifying selection. Together, these results indicate that resistance mutations emerge under strong genetic constraint, with adaptation restricted to only one FKS homolog and predominantly at mutational hotspots.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2026

Ancient Somatosensory Circuit Architectures Employ Flexible Molecular Strategies

The extent to which conserved neural circuit architectures depend on shared molecular specification programs remains unclear. Here, we address this question by examining the somatosensory system of the little skate, Leucoraja erinacea, an early-diverging vertebrate that retains ancestral features of both finned and limb-based body plans. We show that core features of somatosensory circuit organization, including laminar organization of the spinal cord and dorsally restricted targeting of sensory afferents, are deeply conserved. Unexpectedly, the molecular programs specifying dorsal root ganglion (DRG) sensory subtypes diverge extensively from those of mammals. Although DRG neuron subtype specification and spinal connectivity rely on target-derived cues, skates employ distinct neurotrophin receptor and transcription factor identity codes. These findings support a model in which conserved spinal circuit architectures provide a stable scaffold that leverages flexible sensory neuron specification programs, enabling the evolutionary diversification of vertebrate somatosensory systems. HighlightsO_LIIntegrated analysis of spinal cord and DRG neuronal diversity in Leucoraja erinacea C_LIO_LILaminar organization of the dorsal spinal cord is an ancestral vertebrate feature C_LIO_LIDivergent neurotrophin receptor and transcription factor codes in sensory neurons C_LIO_LIConserved target-dependent regulation of sensory identity and connectivity C_LI

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2026

Constraining Palaeogeography and Palaeotides for the Cambrian using cnidarian medusae

The ocean tides influence key Earth system processes at a range of spatial and temporal scales. It is known that the geometry of ocean basins is the leading controller of tidal energetics, so well-constrained palaeogeographic reconstructions and tidal properties for Earths past are imperative when investigating other Earth system processes. Here, we present a novel way to constrain both deep-time tidal model results and reconstructions, by combining palaeoecology with sedimentology. We compare new palaeo-tidal model simulations for the Cambrian period, significant for the early origin and radiation of major animal fauna, to tidal proxies. One of the most abundant soft-bodied organisms preserved during this time are cnidarian medusae (jellyfish). A total of 17 cnidarian medusae localities were obtained through the literature, which had an adequate global distribution and occurred at regular intervals throughout the period of study. In some locations there were also estimates of palaeo-tidal range. Our results show a good agreement between the simulations and proxy data. In the few locations where there is disagreement, it is proposed that the palaeogeographic reconstructions are missing details, e.g., island chains, and our results allow for the palaeogeographic reconstructions to be improved. The proxy method presented is promising and can be applied to other time-periods with different marine fossils, particularly at evolutionary and extinction periods where the marginal marine environment is of importance.

paleontology↗

bioRxiv2026

Copulation calls indicate fertility but do not reflect female mate competition in wild Guinea baboons

Across different modalities, signals play a core role in attracting mates and influencing mating success. In several non-human primate species, females produce calls during mating that are thought to promote male competition over receptive females. The extent to which social system characteristics modulate the function of copulation calls remains less clear. We studied copulation calls in wild Guinea baboons (Papio papio), who live in a multilevel society structured around units in which females associate and mate almost exclusively with a single male. We hypothesised that females use copulation calls as an indirect form of mate competition, with competition increasing in larger units. In addition, we hypothesised that females are more likely to mate again after calling. We analysed 6116 copulations between 2014 and 2025, involving 99 reproductively active females and 78 subadult and adult males. Females produced copulation calls in 72.7% of copulations, with large inter-individual variation. Neither unit size nor its interaction with the female's swelling size or the presence of simultaneously receptive females affected the probability of calling. A survival analysis with a subset of the data (2353 copulations) revealed no effect of calling on the latency to the next mating. Our results render the hypothesis that female Guinea baboons use calls in indirect mate competition unlikely. Yet, the probability of calling varied with sexual swelling size, suggesting that calls signal female fertility. Possibly, Guinea baboon copulation calls represent an evolutionary remnant, no longer under selective pressure, and can be considered index signals of female fertility.

animal behavior and cognition↗

bioRxiv2026

Comparative genomics of clinical isolates of Pseudomonas aeruginosa from cystic fibrosis patients in Mexico

Pseudomonas aeruginosa (P. aeruginosa) is the primary pathogen responsible for morbidity and mortality in patients with cystic fibrosis (CF). Its genomic plasticity and constant selective pressure from antimicrobial treatments have favored the emergence of multidrug-resistant clones. This study conducted a comparative genomic analysis of 41 P. aeruginosa isolated from pediatric patients with CF in Mexico from 2015 to 2024, with the aim of characterizing their evolutionary dynamics, resistome, and virulome. Whole-genome sequencing (MGI, Illumina, and PacBio platforms) was used, with de novo assemblies performed using Unicycler v0.4.8 on the BV-BRC platform. The databases used for the resistome were CARD and NDARO, and for the virulome, VFDB. Phylogenetic reconstruction was based on core-genome alignments generated with Roary v3.13.0, with maximum likelihood reconstruction performed in IQ-TREE v2.1.2. The statistical significance of the segregation of resistance and virulence patterns was evaluated using PERMANOVA analysis. The results revealed a significant clonal prevalence of sequence types (ST) 307 and ST 167. Phylogenomic analysis grouped the isolates into three main clades; Clade 1 stood out for having the highest resistance gene load (mean of 75 genes/genome), establishing itself as the main reservoir of multidrug-resistant profiles. Genotype-phenotype concordance reached 65.5% overall, with high accuracy for aminoglycosides (87.8%) and fluoroquinolones (82.9%). Furthermore, virulome analysis identified 67 distinct patterns that were significantly segregated among the clades (PERMANOVA: R2=0.31, p=0.001). These findings demonstrate that the evolution of P. aeruginosa lineages in the pediatric clinical setting involves parallel and coordinated adaptations in both their resistance potential and their virulence arsenal. This study underscores the need to adopt a multidisciplinary approach to the clinical management of chronic P. aeruginosa infections in pediatric patients. The persistence of extensively drug-resistant (XDR) strains calls for the integration of genomic surveillance and functional diagnostics, as well as the search for therapeutic alternatives for the clinical management of patients with cystic fibrosis.

microbiology↗