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bioRxiv · 10.1101/2025.07.30.667390

Too few, too many, or just right? Optimizing sample sizes for population-level inferences in animal tracking projects

Silva, I.·Fleming, C.·Noonan, M.·Fagan, W.·Calabrese, J.
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Abstract

O_LISuccessful animal tracking projects depend on well-informed sampling strategies and robust methods to yield biologically meaningful inferences. Considering financial and logistical constraints, the reliability of research outputs is shaped by key decisions regarding study duration (how long should each individual be tracked?), sampling frequency (how often should new locations be collected?), and how many individuals should be tracked. To maximize their conservation value, studies must consider estimator precision and avoid biased inferences of key parameters related to movement behavior and space use, as this can lead to wasted resources and misguide management actions. C_LIO_LITo address these challenges, we propose a workflow for determining the optimal sample sizes for population-level home range area and speed estimates, explicitly addressing the trade-offs between sampling duration (T), sampling interval (reciprocal of frequency; {Delta}t), and population sample size (m). While a priori study design is considered best practice, this workflow can be applied at multiple stages, including concurrent with data collection, or as a post hoc evaluation. C_LIO_LIBy selecting robust methods that are sampling-insensitive, and by quantifying and propagating uncertainty through downstream analyses, we can determine whether our sample sizes (both at the individual- and population-level) are sufficient to yield robust population-level inferences. Furthermore, researchers can integrate additional logistical constraints such as fix success rate, location error, and potential device malfunctions, while also accounting for individual variation. We illustrate potential applications of this workflow through empirically-guided simulations. C_LIO_LITo facilitate its use and implementation, we incorporated this workflow into the user-friendly movedesign R Shiny application. This application enables researchers to easily test different sampling strategies, and as of version 0.3.3, integrates population-level analytical targets. This workflow has the potential to improve the rigor and reliability of animal tracking projects conducted under logistical and financial constraints, and thereby support more effective scientific research, wildlife management, and conservation efforts. It can also support grant or permit submissions by generating evidence-based recommendations for the number of biologgers needed or sampling effort required to achieve research objectives. C_LI

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Silva, I., Fleming, C., Noonan, M., Fagan, W., Calabrese, J.. 2025-08-01. Too few, too many, or just right? Optimizing sample sizes for population-level inferences in animal tracking projects. https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.07.30.667390

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