Artificial Intelligence Helps to Predict Recurrence and Mortality for Prostate Cancer using Histology Images

Eminaga, O.; Saad, F.; Tian, Z.; Wolffgang, U.; Karakiewicz, P. I.; Ouellet, V.; Azzi, F.; Spieker, T.; Helmke, B. M.; Graefen, M.; Jiang, X.; Xing, L.; Witt, J. H.; Trudel, D.; Leyh-Bannurah, S.-R.

doi:10.1101/2023.07.27.550781

bioRxiv · 10.1101/2023.07.27.550781

Artificial Intelligence Helps to Predict Recurrence and Mortality for Prostate Cancer using Histology Images

Eminaga, O.·Saad, F.·Tian, Z.·Wolffgang, U.·Karakiewicz, P. I.·Ouellet, V.·Azzi, F.·Spieker, T.·Helmke, B. M.·Graefen, M.·Jiang, X.·Xing, L.·Witt, J. H.·Trudel, D.·Leyh-Bannurah, S.-R.

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Abstract

Besides grading, deep learning could improve expert consensus to predict prostate cancer (PCa) recurrence. We developed a novel PCa recurrence prediction system based on artificial intelligence (AI). We validated it using multi-institutional and international datasets comprising 2,647 PCa patients with at least a 10-year follow-up. Survival analyses were performed and goodness-of-fit of multivariate models was evaluated using partial likelihood ratio tests, Akaikes test, or Bayesian information criteria to determine the superiority of our system over existing grading systems. Comprehensive survival analyses demonstrated the effectiveness of our AI- system in categorizing PCa into four distinct risk groups. The system was independent and superior to the existing five grade groups for malignancies. A high consensus level was observed among five blinded genitourinary pathology experts in ranking images according to our prediction system. Therefore, AI may help develop an accurate and clinically interpretable PCa recurrence prediction system, facilitating informed decision-making for PCa patients.

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Eminaga, O., Saad, F., Tian, Z., Wolffgang, U., Karakiewicz, P. I., Ouellet, V., Azzi, F., Spieker, T., Helmke, B. M., Graefen, M., Jiang, X., Xing, L., Witt, J. H., Trudel, D., Leyh-Bannurah, S.-R.. 2023-07-31. Artificial Intelligence Helps to Predict Recurrence and Mortality for Prostate Cancer using Histology Images. https://doi.org/10.1101/2023.07.27.550781

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