Integrating Task-Based Functional MRI Across Tasks Markedly Boosts Prediction and Reliability of Brain-Cognition Relationship

Abstract

Capturing individual differences in cognition is central to human neuroscience. Yet our ability to estimate cognitive abilities via brain MRI is still poor in both prediction and reliability. Our study tested if this inability can be improved by integrating MRI signals across the whole brain and across modalities, including task-based functional MRI (tfMRI) of different tasks along with other non-task MRI modalities, such as structural MRI, resting-state functional connectivity. Using the Human Connectome Project (n=873, 473 females, after quality control), we directly compared predictive models comprising different sets of MRI modalities (e.g., seven tasks vs. non-task modalities). We applied two approaches to integrate multimodal MRI, stacked vs. flat models, and implemented 16 combinations of machine-learning algorithms. The stacked model integrating all modalities via stacking Elastic Net provided the best prediction (r=.57), relatively to other models tested, as well as excellent test-retest reliability (ICC=~.85) in capturing general cognitive abilities. Importantly, compared to the stacked model integrating across non-task modalities (r=.27), the stacked model integrating tfMRI across tasks led to significantly higher prediction (r=.56) while still providing excellent test-retest reliability (ICC=~.83). The stacked model integrating tfMRI across tasks was driven by frontal and parietal areas and by tasks that are cognition-related (working-memory, relational processing, and language). This result is consistent with the parieto-frontal integration theory of intelligence. Accordingly, our results contradict the recently popular notion that tfMRI is not reliable enough to capture individual differences in cognition. Instead, our study suggests that tfMRI, when used appropriately (i.e., by drawing information across the whole brain and across tasks and by integrating with other modalities), provides predictive and reliable sources of information for individual differences in cognitive abilities, more so than non-task modalities. HighlightsO_LINon-task MRI (sMRI, rs-fMRI) are often used for the brain-cognition relationship. C_LIO_LITask-based fMRI has been deemed unreliable for capturing individual differences. C_LIO_LIWe tested if drawing task-based fMRI information across regions/tasks improves prediction and reliability of the brain-cognition relationship. C_LIO_LIOur approach boosts prediction of task-based fMRI over non-task MRI. C_LIO_LIOur approach renders task-based fMRI reliable over time. C_LIO_LIOur approach shows the importance of the fronto-parietal areas in cognition. C_LI