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Biology subjects

Weissman, D.

Publications and source records attributed to Weissman, D..

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Why Are CD8 T Cell Epitopes of Human Influenza A Virus Conserved?

The high-degree conservation of CD8 T cell epitopes of influenza A virus (IAV) may allow T cell-inducing vaccines effective across different strains and subtypes. This conservation is not fully explained by functional constraint, since additional mutation(s) can compensate the replicative fitness loss of IAV escape-variant. Here, we propose three additional mechanisms that contribute to the conservation of CD8 T cell epitopes of IAV. First, influenza-specific CD8 T cells may protect predominantly against severe pathology rather than infection and may only have a modest effect on transmission. Second, polymorphism of human MHC-I gene restricts the advantage of an escape-variant to only a small fraction of human population, who carry the relevant MHC-I alleles. Finally, infection with CD8 T cell-escapevariants may result in compensatory increase in the responses to other epitopes of IAV. A combination of population genetics and epidemiological models is used to examine how the interplay between these mechanisms affects the rate of invasion of IAV escape-variants. We conclude that the invasion of an escape-variant will be very slow with a timescale of decades or longer, even if the escape-variant does not have a replicative fitness loss. Our results suggest T cell-inducing vaccines may not engender the rapid evolution of IAV and serve as a foundation for future modeling works on the long-term effectiveness and impacts of T cell-inducing influenza vaccines. (Word count: 221)\n\nImportanceUniversal influenza vaccines against the conserved epitopes of influenza A virus have been proposed to minimize the burden of seasonal outbreaks and prepare for the pandemics. However, it is not clear to which extent the T cell-inducing vaccines will select for viruses that escape the T cell responses. Our mathematical models suggest how the nature of CD8 T cell protection contributes to the conservation of the CD8 T cell epitopes of influenza A virus. Also, it points out the essential biological parameters and questions that need addressing by future experimental works. (Word count: 91)

immunology

The expected time to cross extended fitness plateaus

For a population to acquire a complex adaptation requiring multiple individually neutral mutations, it must cross a plateau in the fitness landscape. We consider plateaus involving three mutations, and show that large populations can cross them rapidly via lineages that acquire multiple mutations while remaining at low frequency. Plateau-crossing is fastest for very large populations. At intermediate population sizes, recombination can greatly accelerate adaptation by combining independent mutant lineages to form triple-mutants. For more frequent recombination, such that the population is kept near linkage equilibrium, we extend our analysis to find simple expressions for the expected time to cross plateaus of arbitrary width.

evolutionary biology

Transmission Bottleneck Size Estimation from Pathogen Deep-Sequencing Data, with an Application to Human Influenza A Virus

The bottleneck governing infectious disease transmission describes the size of the pathogen population transferred from a donor to a recipient host. Accurate quantification of the bottleneck size is of particular importance for rapidly evolving pathogens such as influenza virus, as narrow bottlenecks would limit the extent of transferred viral genetic diversity and, thus, have the potential to slow the rate of viral adaptation. Previous studies have estimated the transmission bottleneck size governing viral transmission through statistical analyses of variants identified in pathogen sequencing data. The methods used by these studies, however, did not account for variant calling thresholds and stochastic dynamics of the viral population within recipient hosts. Because these factors can skew bottleneck size estimates, we here introduce a new method for inferring transmission bottleneck sizes that explicitly takes these factors into account. We compare our method, based on beta-binomial sampling, with existing methods in the literature for their ability to recover the transmission bottleneck size of a simulated dataset. This comparison demonstrates that the beta-binomial sampling method is best able to accurately infer the simulated bottleneck size. We then apply our method to a recently published dataset of influenza A H1N1p and H3N2 infections, for which viral deep sequencing data from inferred donor-recipient transmission pairs are available. Our results indicate that transmission bottleneck sizes across transmission pairs are variable, yet that there is no significant difference in the overall bottleneck sizes inferred for H1N1p and H3N2. The mean bottleneck size for influenza virus in this study, considering all transmission pairs, was Nb = 196 (95% confidence interval 66-392) virions. While this estimate is consistent with previous bottleneck size estimates for this dataset, it is considerably higher than the bottleneck sizes estimated for influenza from other datasets.\n\nAuthor SummaryThe transmission bottleneck size describes the size of the pathogen population transferred from the donor to recipient host at the onset of infection and is a key factor in determining the rate at which a pathogen can adapt within a host population. Recent advances in sequencing technology have enabled the bottleneck size to be estimated from pathogen sequence data, though there is not yet a consensus on the statistical method to use. In this study, we introduce a new approach for inferring the transmission bottleneck size from sequencing data that accounts for the criteria used to identify sequence variants and stochasticity in pathogen replication dynamics. We show that the failure to account for these factors may lead to underestimation of the transmission bottleneck size. We apply this method to a previous dataset of human influenza A infections, showing that transmission is governed by a loose transmission bottleneck and that the bottleneck size is highly variable across transmission events. This work advances our understanding of the bottleneck size governing influenza infection and introduces a method for estimating the bottleneck size that can be applied to other rapidly evolving RNA viruses, such as norovirus and RSV.

microbiology

A simple molecular mechanism explains multiple patterns of cell-size regulation

Increasingly accurate and massive data have recently shed light on the fundamental question of how cells maintain a stable size trajectory as they progress through the cell cycle. Microbes seem to use strategies ranging from a pure sizer, where the end of a given phase is triggered when the cell reaches a critical size, to pure adder, where the cell adds a constant size during a phase. Yet the biological origins of the observed spectrum of behavior remain elusive. We analyze a molecular size-control mechanism, based on experimental data from the yeast S. cerevisiae, that gives rise to behaviors smoothly interpolating between adder and sizer. The size-control is obtained from the titration of a repressor protein by an activator protein that accumulates more rapidly with increasing cell size. Strikingly, the size-control is composed of two different regimes: for small initial cell size, the size-control is a sizer, whereas for larger initial cell size, is is an imperfect adder. Our model thus indicates that the adder and critical size behaviors may just be different dynamical regimes of a single simple biophysical mechanism.

biophysics