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Läll, K.

Publications and source records attributed to Läll, K..

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Maximizing GWAS discovery and genomic prediction accuracy in Biobank data

Genetically informed and deep-phenotyped biobanks are an important research resource. The cost of phenotyping far outstrips that of genotyping, and therefore it is imperative that the most powerful, versatile and efficient analysis approaches are used. Here, we apply our recently developed Bayesian grouped mixture of regressions model (GMRM) in the UK and Estonian Biobanks and obtain the highest genomic prediction accuracy reported to date across 21 heritable traits. On average, GMRM accuracies were 15% (SE 7%) greater than prediction models run in the LDAK software with SNP annotation marker groups, 18% (SE 3%) greater than a baseline BayesR model without SNP markers grouped into MAF-LD-annotation categories, and 106% (SE 9%) greater than polygenic risk scores calculated from mixed-linear model association (MLMA) estimates. For height, the prediction accuracy R2 was 47% in a UK Biobank hold-out sample, which was 76% of the estimated [Formula]. We then extend our GMRM prediction model to provide MLMA SNP marker estimates for GWAS discovery, which increased the independent loci detected to 7,910 in unrelated UK Biobank individuals, as compared to 5,521 from BoltLMM and 5,727 from Regenie, a 43% and 38% increase respectively. The average{chi} 2 value of the leading markers was 34% (SE 5.11) higher for GMRM as compared to Regenie, and increased by 17% for every 1% increase in prediction accuracy gained over a baseline BayesR model across the traits. Thus, we show that modelling genetic associations accounting for MAF and LD differences among SNP markers, and incorporating prior knowledge of genomic function, is important for both genomic prediction and for discovery in large-scale individual-level biobank-scale studies.

genomics↗

Advantages of genotype imputation with ethnically matched reference panel for rare variant association analyses

Genotype imputation has become a standard procedure prior genome-wide association studies (GWASs). For common and low-frequency variants, genotype imputation can be performed sufficiently accurately with publicly available and ethnically heterogeneous reference datasets like 1000 Genomes Project (1000G) and Haplotype Reference Consortium panels. However, the imputation of rare variants has been shown to be significantly more accurate when ethnically matched reference panel is used. Even more, greater genetic similarity between reference panel and target samples facilitates the detection of rare (or even population-specific) causal variants. Notwithstanding, the genome-wide downstream consequences and differences of using ethnically mixed and matched reference panels have not been yet comprehensively explored.\n\nWe determined and quantified these differences by performing several comparative evaluations of the discovery-driven analysis scenarios. A variant-wise GWAS was performed on seven complex diseases and body mass index by using genome-wide genotype data of [~]37,000 Estonians imputed with ethnically mixed 1000G and ethnically matched imputation reference panels. Although several previously reported common (minor allele frequency; MAF > 5%) variant associations were replicated in both resulting imputed datasets, no major differences were observed among the genome-wide significant findings or in the fine-mapping effort. In the analysis of rare (MAF < 1%) coding variants, 46 significantly associated genes were identified in the ethnically matched imputed data as compared to four genes in the 1000G panel based imputed data. All resulting genes were consequently studied in the UK Biobank data.\n\nThese associations provide a solid example of how rare variants can be efficiently analysed to discover novel, potentially functional genetic variants in relevant phenotypes. Furthermore, our work serves as proof of a cost-efficient study design, demonstrating that the usage of ethnically matched imputation reference panels can enable substantially improved imputation of rare variants, facilitating novel high-confidence findings in rare variant GWAS scans.\n\nAuthor summaryOver the last decade, genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have been widely used for detecting genetic biomarkers in a wide range of traits. Typically, GWASs are carried out using chip-based genotyping data, which are then combined with a more densely genotyped reference panel to infer untyped genetic variants in chip-typed individuals. The latter method is called genotype imputation and its accuracy depends on multiple factors. Publicly available and ethnically heterogeneous imputation reference panels (IRPs) such as 1000 Genomes Project (1000G) are sufficiently accurate for imputation of common and low-frequency variants, but custom ethnically matched IRPs outperform these in case of rare variants. In this work, we systematically compare downstream association analysis effects on eight complex traits in [~]37,000 Estonians imputed with ethnically mixed and ethnically matched IRPs. We do not observe major differences in the single variant analysis, where both imputed datasets replicate previously reported significant loci. But in the gene-based analysis of rare protein-coding variants we show that ethnically matched panel clearly outperforms 1000G panel based imputation, providing 10-fold increase in significant gene-trait associations. Our study demonstrates empirically that imputed data based on ethnically matched panel is very promising for rare variant analysis - it captures more population-specific variants and makes it possible to efficiently identify novel findings.

genomics↗

Polygenic prediction of breast cancer: comparison of genetic predictors and implications for screening

BackgroundPublished genetic risk scores for breast cancer (BC) so far have been based on a relatively small number of markers and are not necessarily using the full potential of large-scale Genome-Wide Association Studies. This study aims to identify an efficient polygenic predictor for BC based on best available evidence and to assess its potential for personalized risk prediction and screening strategies.\n\nMethodsFour different genetic risk scores (two already published and two newly developed) and their combinations (metaGRS) are compared in the subsets of two population-based biobank cohorts: the UK Biobank (UKBB, 3157 BC cases, 43,827 controls) and Estonian Biobank (EstBB, 317 prevalent and 308 incident BC cases in 32,557 women). In addition, correlations between different genetic risk scores and their associations with BC risk factors are studied in both cohorts.\n\nResultsThe metaGRS that combines two genetic risk scores (metaGRS2 - based on 75 and 898 Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms, respectively) has the strongest association with prevalent BC status in both cohorts. One standard deviation difference in the metaGRS2 corresponds to an Odds Ratio = 1.6 (95% CI 1.54 to 1.66, p = 9.7*10-135) in the UK Biobank and accounting for family history marginally attenuates the effect (Odds Ratio = 1.58, 95% CI 1.53 to 1.64, p = 9.1*10-129). In the EstBB cohort, the hazard ratio of incident BC for the women in the top 5% of the metaGRS2 compared to women in the lowest 50% is 4.2 (95% CI 2.8 to 6.2, p = 8.1*10-13). The different GRSs are only moderately correlated with each other and are associated with different known predictors of BC. The classification of genetic risk for the same individual may vary considerably depending on the chosen GRS.\n\nConclusionsWe have shown that metaGRS2 that combines on the effects of more than 900 SNPs provides best predictive ability for breast cancer in two different population-based cohorts. The strength of the effect of metaGRS2 indicates that the GRS could potentially be used to develop more efficient strategies for breast cancer screening for genotyped women.

genetics↗

Fine-mapping of an expanded set of type 2 diabetes loci to single-variant resolution using high-density imputation and islet-specific epigenome maps

We aggregated genome-wide genotyping data from 32 European-descent GWAS (74,124 T2D cases, 824,006 controls) imputed to high-density reference panels of >30,000 sequenced haplotypes. Analysis of {small tilde}27M variants ({small tilde}21M with minor allele frequency [MAF]<5%), identified 243 genome-wide significant loci (p<5x10-8; MAF 0.02%-50%; odds ratio [OR] 1.04-8.05), 135 not previously-implicated in T2D-predisposition. Conditional analyses revealed 160 additional distinct association signals (p<10-5) within the identified loci. The combined set of 403 T2D-risk signals includes 56 low-frequency (0.5%[&le;]MAF<5%) and 24 rare (MAF<0.5%) index SNPs at 60 loci, including 14 with estimated allelic OR>2. Forty-one of the signals displayed effect-size heterogeneity between BMI-unadjusted and adjusted analyses. Increased sample size and improved imputation led to substantially more precise localisation of causal variants than previously attained: at 51 signals, the lead variant after fine-mapping accounted for >80% posterior probability of association (PPA) and at 18 of these, PPA exceeded 99%. Integration with islet regulatory annotations enriched for T2D association further reduced median credible set size (from 42 variants to 32) and extended the number of index variants with PPA>80% to 73. Although most signals mapped to regulatory sequence, we identified 18 genes as human validated therapeutic targets through coding variants that are causal for disease. Genome wide chip heritability accounted for 18% of T2D-risk, and individuals in the 2.5% extremes of a polygenic risk score generated from the GWAS data differed >9-fold in risk. Our observations highlight how increases in sample size and variant diversity deliver enhanced discovery and single-variant resolution of causal T2D-risk alleles, and the consequent impact on mechanistic insights and clinical translation.

genomics↗