Biology subjects

Barr, I. G.

Publications and source records attributed to Barr, I. G..

13 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Near real-time data on the human neutralizing antibody landscape to influenza virus in summer of 2026 shows antigenic advance of H3N2 subclade K region D mutants and H1N1 D.3.1.1 Sa mutants

Human seasonal influenza evolves rapidly, necessitating twice yearly decisions about whether to update the strains in the vaccine. To help inform this decision, we have been using high-throughput sequencing-based neutralization assays to make twice yearly measurements of how recent human sera neutralize current human H3N2 and H1N1 strains. Here we provide the third installment in this series of measurements by reporting 52,268 titers representing neutralization of 148 viral strains by 355 human sera collected between April and August of 2026. Our measurements show that new H3N2 subclade K strains with mutations in antigenic region D and new H1N1 subclade D.3.1.1 strains with mutations in antigenic region Sa (such as G155E) have reduced neutralization by human sera, with notable heterogeneity in the impact of some of these mutations across sera from different individuals. This paper is accompanied by an interactive summary (https://jbloomlab.github.io/flu-seqneut-2026/summary.html) that enables detailed exploration of the results, and all titer data are publicly available for further analysis to aid vaccine antigen selection and studies of viral evolution.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2026

Epistasis facilitates the long-term antigenic evolution of the influenza B virus hemagglutinin

The antigenic drift of viral glycoproteins must be balanced by purifying selection pressure to maintain functionality. Understanding these evolutionary processes is key to predicting and combating viral evolution but is primarily based on influenza A(H3N2), which may limit generalisability. By characterising the influenza B virus haemagglutinin (HA) over 8 decades of circulation in humans, we found continuous genetic diversification, punctuated with antigenic changes that did not follow a linear path in antigenic space. Antigenic change is primarily underpinned by re-occurring mutations and deletions at positions 136, 150, 162-165, 197 and 203. These residues form complex epistatic networks that modulate the antigenic impact of mutation recycling. They also generate permissive backbones on which immune escape can emerge with limited replicative fitness cost. Our study identifies critical similarities and differences with A(H3N2) evolution and demonstrates the role of epistasis in balancing antigenic novelty with viral fitness. Our findings and genetic, antigenic and phenotypic datasets support the development of genotype-to-phenotype prediction tools, but such predictions need to capture the complex outcomes of epistasis.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2026

Pre-existing systemic and nasal antibodies against avian H5 influenza A viruses vary according to childhood imprinting

Avian influenza A viruses (IAV) pose a constant pandemic threat, with the recent 2.3.4.4b clade of the H5 subtype causing high pathogenicity and spreading across animal species and geographic locations. Understanding human pre-existing immunity to avian H5 IAV can inform on population susceptibility, a critical aspect of pandemic preparedness. To that end, we analysed the IAV HA-specific antibodies across individuals born between 1928-1999 with different early life exposures to IAV subtypes. Individuals born prior to 1957 had the highest pre-existing serum antibodies to group 1 HA antigens, including the 2.3.4.4b H5 and a group 1 HA stem antigen. These birth-year-specific patterns were not reflected in the limited pre-existing serum neutralising antibodies detectable against a 2.3.4.4b H5 IAV or in H5-specific memory B cell populations. They were however evident in pre-existing nasal IgG and IgA titres to H5, which were greater in individuals born prior to 1957. Our findings demonstrate that the immunological biases afforded by early life exposure extend to antibodies detected in the nasal mucosa, the site of IAV replication. ImportanceUnderstating pre-existing immunity to influenza A viruses of pandemic potential is an important aspect of pandemic preparedness. This includes an understanding the heterogeneity of pre-existing immunity across the population. Here, we demonstrate that pre-existing antibodies to H5 IAV vary according to year of birth and childhood imprinting. We demonstrate that this is the case for both systemic and nasal antibodies, highlighting the importance of understanding pre-existing mucosal immunity at the sites of influenza virus replication.

immunology↗

bioRxiv2025

Ecology of low pathogenicity avian influenza virus H7 in wild birds in south-eastern Australia prior to emergence of high pathogenicity avian influenza H7 in poultry

Adding to the global burden of high pathogenicity avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1, an unprecedented five HPAI H7 outbreaks occurred globally in 2024. Of these, three occurred in southeast Australia, with the independent emergence of HPAI H7N9, H7N8, and H7N3, resulting in the destruction of 2 million poultry. Historical data demonstrates that H7 outbreaks in Australia do not occur randomly, rather, there is a strong association between the timing of the previous H7 outbreaks and rainfall patterns in southeastern Australia. We aimed to address a hypothesis wherein prior to H7 outbreaks in poultry, there was a detectable change in H7 prevalence and/or virus diversity in wild bird populations. We addressed this using virological and serological surveillance data generated from multiple programs. Despite the collection of thousands of samples, there was only weak evidence to support our hypothesis, which provides strong incentive to evaluate current surveillance approaches for the purposes of risk prediction. However, in alignment with a previous analysis, there is strong support for a relationship between H7 outbreak probability and rainfall patterns across southeast Australia. Overall, improved understanding of the ecology and evolution of H5 and H7 viruses in wild bird reservoirs is pivotal to global disease preparedness and response.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2025

Surveillance of migratory shorebirds and seabirds in 2024 in Australia reveals incursions of a diversity of low pathogenicity avian influenza viruses, but not high pathogenicity avian influenza H5N1

The current panzootic of high pathogenicity avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 has been catastrophic for wildlife, and following a significant sweep, clade 2.3.4.4b is found in every region aside from Oceania. Herein, we report the results of our third year of targeted surveillance of incoming migratory seabirds and shorebirds into Australia. We did not find evidence of HPAI H5N1 in any of the birds tested, and there were no reports of HPAI H5N1 in wildlife tested through other surveillance schemes in 2024. Unlike previous years, we detected a diversity of low pathogenicity avian influenza (LPAI) viruses in shorebirds. Through phylogenetic analysis we revealed that the H3N7 and H4N7 viruses recovered from Red-necked Stints were complex mosaic viruses, comprising segments of Eurasian, Australian shorebird, and Australian waterfowl segments. A H1N7 virus detected comprised a wholly Eurasian introduction, confirming this route for avian influenza viruses into Australian ecosystems. These results provide further evidence for the key role of long-distance migratory shorebirds in introducing novel LPAI viruses into Oceania. While our focus on northern migration routes remained appropriate for HPAI H5N1 surveillance in 2024, the continued spread of HPAI H5N1 to sub-Antarctic Islands demands consideration of a potential southern incursion route for Oceania in future.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2025

Near real-time data on the human neutralizing antibody landscape to influenza virus to inform vaccine-strain selection in September 2025

The hemagglutinin of human influenza virus evolves rapidly to erode neutralizing antibody immunity. Twice per year, new vaccine strains are selected with the goal of providing maximum protection against the viruses that will be circulating when the vaccine is administered [~]8-12 months in the future. To help inform this selection, here we quantify how the antibodies in recently collected human sera neutralize viruses with hemagglutinins from contemporary influenza strains. Specifically, we use a high-throughput sequencing-based neutralization assay to measure how 188 human sera collected from Oct 2024 to April 2025 neutralize 140 viruses representative of the H3N2 and H1N1 strains circulating in humans as of the summer of 2025. This data set, which encompasses 26,148 neutralization titer measurements, provides a detailed portrait of the current human neutralizing antibody landscape to influenza A virus. The full data set and accompanying visualizations are available for use in vaccine development and viral forecasting.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2025

High-throughput neutralization measurements correlate strongly with evolutionary success of human influenza strains

Human influenza viruses rapidly acquire mutations in their hemagglutinin (HA) protein that erode neutralization by antibodies from prior exposures. Here, we use a sequencing-based assay to measure neutralization titers for 78 recent H3N2 HA strains against a large set of children and adult sera, measuring [~]10,000 total titers. There is substantial person-to-person heterogeneity in the titers against different viral strains, both within and across age cohorts. The growth rates of H3N2 strains in the human population in 2023 are highly correlated with the fraction of sera with low titers against each strain. Notably, strain growth rates are less correlated with neutralization titers against pools of human sera, demonstrating the importance of population heterogeneity in shaping viral evolution. Overall, these results suggest that high-throughput neutralization measurements of human sera against many different viral strains can help explain the evolution of human influenza.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2025

An improved rapid and sensitive long amplicon method for nanopore-based RSV whole genome sequencing

BackgroundWhole-genome sequencing (WGS) provides critical insights into the Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) transmission and any emerging mutations that could impair the efficacy of monoclonal antibodies or vaccines that have been recently licenced for clinical use worldwide. However, the ability to sequence RSV genomes at large scale is limited by expensive and time-consuming sequencing methods. Oxford Nanopore Technology (ONT) offers significant improvements in next generation sequencing (NGS) both in turnaround time and cost, compared to other platforms for viral WGS. MethodsWe have developed and modified an RSV long amplicon-based WGS protocol for the ONT platform using a one-step multiplex RT-PCR assay and the rapid library barcoding kit. 135 RSV positive Australian clinical specimens (91 RSV-A and 44 RSV-B) sampled in 2023 with Cycle threshold (Ct) values between 14 to 35 were tested in this study. This ONT workflow was compared with other recent RSV WGS amplification assays based on short amplicons. ResultsA PCR amplicon clean-up step prior to library preparation significantly improved WGS result for samples with poor amplicon generation, but it is not necessary or beneficial for ones that generated high concentrations of amplicons. Overall, a success rate of 85.9% was achieved for WGS. This method performed as well as the more complex short amplicon methods in terms of genome coverage and sequencing depth. ConclusionsThe workflow described here was highly successful in generating RSV WGS on ONT platform and had improved turnaround times and excellent results with RSV clinical samples with Ct values up to 30.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2024

Long distance avian migrants fail to bring 2.3.4.4b HPAI H5N1 into Australia for a second year in a row

There is an ongoing and profound burden of lineage 2.3.4.4b high pathogenicity avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 on wildlife and poultry, globally. Herein we report the continued absence of HPAI and antibodies against lineage 2.3.4.4b HPAI from October - December 2023, in migratory birds shortly after their arrival in Australia. Given the ever-changing phenotype of this virus, worldwide studies on the occurrence, or here absence of the virus, are of critical importance to understand the virus dispersal and incursion risk and development of response strategies.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2022

A simplified, amplicon-based method for whole genome sequencing of human respiratory syncytial viruses

Human Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) infections pose a significant risk to human health worldwide, especially for young children. Whole genome sequencing (WGS) provides a useful tool for global surveillance to better understand the evolution and epidemiology of RSV and provide essential information that may impact on antibody treatments, antiviral drug sensitivity and vaccine effectiveness. Here we report the development of a rapid and simplified amplicon-based one-step multiplex reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (mRT-PCR) for WGS of both human RSV-A and RSV-B viruses. The method requires only two reactions for each sample, which significantly reduces the cost and time compared to other commonly used RSV WGS methods. In silico analysis and laboratory testing revealed that the primers used in the new method covered most of the currently circulating RSV-A and RSV-B. Amplicons generated were suitable for both Illumina and Oxford Nanopore Technologies (ONT) NGS platforms. This new method was tested on 200 clinical samples collected in Australia in 2020 and 2021 with RSV Ct values between 10 and 32. A success rate of 88% with a full coverage for the genome of 99 RSV-A and 77 RSV-B was achieved. This assay is simple to set up, robust, easily scalable in sample preparation and relatively inexpensive, and as such, provides a valuable addition to existing NGS RSV WGS methods.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2022

Robustness of the ferret model for influenza risk assessment studies: a cross-laboratory exercise

Ferrets represent the preferred animal model for assessing the transmission potential of newly emerged zoonotic influenza viruses. However, heterogeneity among established experimental protocols and facilities across different laboratories may lead to variable results, complicating interpretation of transmission experimental data. Between 2018-2020, a global exercise was conducted by 11 participating laboratories to assess the range of variation in ferret transmission experiments using two common stock H1N1 influenza viruses that possess different transmission characteristics in ferrets. Inoculation route, dose, and volume were standardized, and all participating laboratories followed the same experimental conditions for respiratory droplet transmission, including a strict 1:1 donor:contact ratio. Additional host and environmental parameters likely to affect influenza transmission kinetics were monitored throughout. Overall transmission outcomes for both viruses across 11 laboratories were concordant, suggesting the robustness of the ferret model for zoonotic influenza risk assessment. To attain high confidence in identifying zoonotic influenza viruses with moderate-to-high or low transmissibility, our analyses support that as few as three but as many as five laboratories, respectively, would need to independently perform viral transmission experiments with concordant results. This exercise facilitates the development of a more homogenous protocol for ferret transmission experiments that are employed for the purposes of risk assessment.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2021

A novel and highly divergent Canine Distemper Virus lineage causing distemper in ferrets in Australia

Canine distemper virus (CDV) is a highly contagious systemic viral disease of dogs, that regularly spills-over into other animal species. Despite widespread vaccination, CDV remains endemic in many parts of the world. In this study we report an outbreak of distemper in ferrets in two independent research facilities in Australia. We found that disease severity varied, although most animals had mild to moderate disease signs. Histopathology results of animals with severe disease presented the typical profile of distemper pathology with multi-system virus replication. Through the development of a discriminatory PCR paired with full genome sequencing we revealed that the outbreak at both facilities was caused by a single, novel lineage of CDV. This lineage was highly divergent across the H gene, F signal peptide and full genome and had less than 93% similarity across the H gene to other described lineages, including the vaccine strain. Molecular analysis indicates that this strain belongs to a distinct lineage that diverged from other clades approximately 140 to 400 years ago, and appears to be unique to Australia. Given the differences in key viral proteins of this novel CDV strain, a review of the efficacy of the CDV vaccines currently in use in Australia is warranted to ensure maximum protection of dogs and other vulnerable species. In addition, enhanced surveillance to determine the prevalence of CDV in ferrets, dogs and other at-risk species in Australia would be useful to better understand the diversity of CDV in Australia. ImportanceCanine distemper virus (CDV) is highly contagious and while dogs are the main reservoir, it may spill over into a number of other animal species. In this study we report an outbreak of distemper in ferrets in two research facilities in Australia. Outcomes of pathology and histopathology suggest ferrets have widespread multi-systemic infection, consistent with previously reported distemper infections in ferrets and dogs. Critically, through sequencing and phylogenetic analysis, we revealed that the outbreak at both facilities was caused by a single, novel and highly divergent lineage of CDV. This virus had less than 93% nucleotide similarity to other described lineages and the vaccine strain. This manuscript adds considerably to the epidemiology, ecology and evolution of this virus, and is one of few reports of distemper in Australia in the literature.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2020

Saturation of influenza virus neutralization and antibody consumption can both lead to bistable growth kinetics

Influenza virus is a major human health threat. Neutralizing antibodies elicited through prior infection or vaccination play an irreplaceable role in protection from subsequent infection. The efficacy of antibody-dependent vaccines relies on both virus replication and neutralization, but their quantitative relationship was unknown. Here we use mathematical models to quantitatively investigate viral survivability determined by antibody concentration and inocula size. We performed focus reduction assays for 49 seasonal influenza A/H3N2 viruses circulating during 2017-2019 against influenza antisera raised in ferrets, and find that the antibody consumption rates of individual reactions were either small or large, and this was strongly positively correlated with virus saturation. Regardless of antibody consumption rate, virus-antibody interactions always lead to antibody-induced bistable viral kinetics. As a result, at a specific interval of antibody concentration, small viral inocula are eliminated but not large virus inocula, which is triggered by saturated virus neutralization or antibody consumption. Our finding highlights virus-antibody interaction with different antigenic properties, thereby explaining commonly observed influenza re-infection and enhancing vaccine efficiency.

microbiology↗