Biology subjects

Aburto-Oropeza, O.

Publications and source records attributed to Aburto-Oropeza, O..

4 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2025

Marine heatwaves drive range contraction and alternative states of kelp forests at their warm limit

Marine heatwaves are transforming ecosystems, yet their role in driving alternative states--and the conditions that enable these transitions--remains poorly understood. Using 30 years of satellite and underwater data, we assessed the impact of the 2014-2016 Pacific marine heatwaves on giant kelp forests (Macrocystis pyrifera) at their warm range limit in Mexico. By 2016, 88% of forests were lost, with limited recovery by 2023, including an 80 km range contraction at the southern edge. Surveys revealed three alternative states: replacement by heat-tolerant palm kelp (Eisenia arborea) in warmer regions; urchin barrens due to predator overfishing; and, unexpectedly, persistent giant kelp near the southern limit where high temperatures coincide with low human pressure. Pre-existing conditions, such as high urchin and palm kelp densities, shaped these outcomes. These findings show that responses to marine heatwaves are shaped by local ecological and human contexts, requiring tailored climate-adaptation strategies to promote resilience.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2024

The global fish and invertebrate abundance value of mangroves

Mangroves are a critical coastal habitat that provides a suite of ecosystem services and supports livelihoods. We undertake the first global analysis to estimate density and abundance of 37 commercially important fish and invertebrates that are known to extensively use mangroves. Geomorphic mangrove type, sea surface salinity and temperature, and length of mangrove forest edge were important in predicting the density of commercial fish and invertebrates, with deltaic systems supporting the highest densities. The model predicted high densities throughout parts of southeast Asia, the northern coast of South America, the Red Sea, and the Caribbean and Central America. Application of our model onto the global mangrove extent, estimates that mangroves support the annual abundance of nearly 800 billion young-of-year fish and invertebrates contained in our model. Our results confirm the critical role of mangroves globally in supporting fish and fisheries, and further builds the case for their conservation and restoration.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2022

Towards transboundary networks of climate-smart marine reserves in the Southern California Bight

Climate-smart conservation addresses the vulnerability of biodiversity to climate change impacts but may require transboundary considerations. Here, we adapt and refine 16 biophysical guidelines for climate-smart marine reserves for the transboundary California Bight ecoregion. We link several climate-adaptation strategies (e.g., maintaining connectivity, representing climate refugia, and forecasting effectiveness of protection) by focusing on kelp forests and associated species. We quantify transboundary larval connectivity along [~]800 km of coast and find that the number of connections and the average density of larvae dispersing through the network under future climate scenarios could decrease by [~]50%, highlighting the need to protect critical steppingstone nodes. We also find that although focal species will generally recover with 30% protection, marine heatwaves could hinder subsequent recovery in the following 50 years, suggesting that protecting climate refugia and expanding the coverage of marine reserves is a priority. Together, these findings provide a first comprehensive framework for integrating climate resilience for networks of marine reserves and highlight the need for a coordinated approach in the California Bight ecoregion.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2021

Habitat Protection Indexes - new monitoring measures for the conservation of coastal and marine habitats

A worldwide call to implement habitat protection aims to halt biodiversity loss. To monitor the extent of coastal and marine habitats within protected areas (PAs) in a standardized, open source, and reproducible way, we constructed the Local and the Global Habitat Protection Indexes (LHPI and GHPI, respectively). The LHPI pinpoints the jurisdictions with the greatest opportunity to expand their own PAs, while the GHPI showcases which jurisdictions contribute the most in area to the protection of these habitats globally. Jurisdictions were evaluated to understand which have the highest opportunity to contribute globally to the protection of habitats by meeting a target of 30% coverage of PAs with Areas Beyond National Jurisdiction (ABNJ) having the greatest opportunity to do so. While we focus on marine and coastal habitats, our workflow can be extended to terrestrial and freshwater habitats. These indexes are useful to monitor aspects of Sustainable Development Goal 14 and the emerging post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework, to understand the current status of international cooperation on coastal and marine habitats conservation.

ecology↗