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bioRxiv2018

Estimating Heritability and Genetic Correlation in Case Control Studies Directly and with Summary Statistics

Methods that estimate heritability and genetic correlations from genome-wide association studies have proven to be powerful tools for investigating the genetic architecture of common diseases and exposing unexpected relationships between disorders. Many relevant studies employ a case-control design, yet most methods are primarily geared towards analyzing quantitative traits. Here we investigate the validity of three common methods for estimating genetic heritability and genetic correlation. We find that the Phenotype-Correlation-Genotype-Correlation (PCGC) approach is the only method that can estimate both quantities accurately in the presence of important non-genetic risk factors, such as age and sex. We extend PCGC to work with summary statistics that take the case-control sampling into account, and demonstrate that our new method, PCGC-s, accurately estimates both heritability and genetic correlations and can be applied to large data sets without requiring individual-level genotypic or phenotypic information. Finally, we use PCGC-S to estimate the genetic correlation between schizophrenia and bipolar disorder, and demonstrate that previous estimates are biased due to incorrect handling of sex as a strong risk factor. PCGC-s is available at https://github.com/omerwe/PCGCs.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

Common genetic variants and health outcomes appear geographically structured in the UK Biobank sample: Old concerns returning and their implications.

Introductory paragraphThe inclusion of genetic data in large studies has enabled the discovery of genetic contributions to complex traits and their application in applied analyses including those using genetic risk scores (GRS) for the prediction of phenotypic variance. If genotypes show structure by location and coincident structure exists for the trait of interest, analyses can be biased. Having illustrated structure in an apparently homogeneous collection, we aimed to a) test for geographical stratification of genotypes in UK Biobank and b) assess whether stratification might induce bias in genetic association analysis.\n\nWe found that single genetic variants are associated with birth location within UK Biobank and that geographic structure in genetic data could not be accounted for using routine adjustment for study centre and principal components (PCs) derived from genotype data. We found that GRS for complex traits do appear geographically structured and analysis using GRS can yield biased associations. We discuss the likely origins of these observations and potential implications for analysis within large-scale population based genetic studies.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

Genomic SEM Provides Insights into the Multivariate Genetic Architecture of Complex Traits

Methods for using GWAS to estimate genetic correlations between pairwise combinations of traits have produced \"atlases\" of genetic architecture. Genetic atlases reveal pervasive pleiotropy, and genome-wide significant loci are often shared across different phenotypes. We introduce genomic structural equation modeling (Genomic SEM), a multivariate method for analyzing the joint genetic architectures of complex traits. Using formal methods for modeling covariance structure, Genomic SEM synthesizes genetic correlations and SNP-heritabilities inferred from GWAS summary statistics of individual traits from samples with varying and unknown degrees of overlap. Genomic SEM can be used to identify variants with effects on general dimensions of cross-trait liability, boost power for discovery, and calculate more predictive polygenic scores. Finally, Genomic SEM can be used to identify loci that cause divergence between traits, aiding the search for what uniquely differentiates highly correlated phenotypes. We demonstrate several applications of Genomic SEM, including a joint analysis of GWAS summary statistics from five genetically correlated psychiatric traits. We identify 27 independent SNPs not previously identified in the univariate GWASs, 5 of which have been reported in other published GWASs of the included traits. Polygenic scores derived from Genomic SEM consistently outperform polygenic scores derived from GWASs of the individual traits. Genomic SEM is flexible, open ended, and allows for continuous innovations in how multivariate genetic architecture is modeled.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

Effective population sizes and adaptive genetic variation in a captive bird population

Captive populations are considered a key component of ex situ conservation programs. Research on multiple taxa have shown the differential success of maintaining demographic versus genetic stability and viability in captive populations. In typical captive populations, usually founded by few or related individuals, genetic diversity can be lost and inbreeding can accumulate rapidly, calling into question their ultimate utility for release into the wild. Furthermore, domestication selection for survival in captive conditions is another concern. Therefore, it is crucial to understand the dynamics of population sizes, particularly the effective population size, and genetic diversity at non-neutral, at adaptive loci in captive populations.\n\nIn this study, we assessed effective population sizes and genetic variation at both neutral microsatellite markers, as well as SNP variants from the MHC-B locus of a captive Red Junglefowl population. This population is a rare instance of a well-documented history in captivity, and also following a realistic chain-of-custody, unlike captive lab populations. Our analysis of 27 individuals that comprise the entirety of one captive population. Our results show very low neutral and adaptive genetic variation, as well as low effective sizes, which are surprising in spite of the known demographic history. Finally, our study also shows the divergent impacts of small effective size and inbreeding in captive populations on microsatellite versus adaptive genetic variation in the MHC-B locus. Our study provides insights into the difficulties of maintaining adaptive genetic variation in small captive populations.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

Quantification of genetic components of population differentiation in UK Biobank traits reveals signals of polygenic selection

The genetic architecture of most human complex traits is highly polygenic, motivating efforts to detect polygenic selection involving a large number of loci. In contrast to previous work relying on top GWAS loci, we developed a method that uses genome-wide association statistics and linkage disequilibrium patterns to estimate the genome-wide genetic component of population differentiation of a complex trait along a continuous gradient, enabling powerful inference of polygenic selection. We analyzed 43 UK Biobank traits and focused on PC1 and North-South and East-West birth coordinates across 337K unrelated British-ancestry samples, for which our method produced close to unbiased estimates of genetic components of population differentiation and high power to detect polygenic selection in simulations across different trait architectures. For PC1, we identified signals of polygenic selection for height (74.5{+/-}16.7% of 9.3% total correlation with PC1 attributable to genome-wide genetic effects; P = 8.4x10-6) and red hair pigmentation (95.9{+/-}24.7% of total correlation with PC1 attributable to genome-wide genetic effects; P = 1.1x10-4); the bulk of the signal remained when removing genome-wide significant loci, even though red hair pigmentation includes loci of large effect. We also detected polygenic selection for height, systolic blood pressure, BMI and basal metabolic rate along North-South birth coordinate, and height and systolic blood pressure along East-West birth coordinate. Our method detects polygenic selection in modern human populations with very subtle population structure and elucidates the relative contributions of genetic and non-genetic components of trait population differences.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

Genetic and phenotypic differentiation of lumpfish (Cyclopterus lumpus) across the North Atlantic: implications for conservation and aquaculture

Demand for lumpfish (Cyclopterus lumpus) has increased exponentially over the last decade, both for their roe, which is used as a caviar substitute, and increasingly also as cleaner fish to control sea lice in salmon farming. The species is classified as Near Threatened by the UICN and there are growing concerns that over-exploitation of wild stocks and translocation of hatchery-reared lumpfish may compromise the genetic diversity of native populations. We carried a comparative analysis of genetic and phenotypic variation across the species range to estimate the level of genetic and phenotypic differentiation, and determined patterns of gene flow at spatial scales relevant to management. We found five genetically distinct groups located in the West Atlantic (USA, and Canada), Mid Atlantic (Iceland), East Atlantic (Faroe Islands, Ireland, Scotland, Norway, and Denmark), English Channel (England) and Baltic Sea (Sweden). Significant phenotypic differences were also found, with Baltic lumpfish growing more slowly, attaining a higher condition factor and maturing at a smaller size than North Atlantic lumpfish. Estimates of effective population size were consistently low across the NE Atlantic (Iceland, Faroe Islands, Norway), the area where most wild lumpfish are fished for their roe, and also for the aquaculture industry. Our study suggests that some lumpfish populations are very small and have low genetic diversity, which makes them particularly vulnerable to over-exploitation and genetic introgression. To protect them we advocate curtailing fishing effort, closing the breeding cycle of the species in captivity to reduce dependence on wild stocks, restricting the translocation of genetically distinct populations, and limiting the risk of farm escapes.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

Leveraging breeding values obtained from random regression models for genetic inference of longitudinal traits

Understanding the genetic basis of dynamic plant phenotypes has largely been limited due to lack of space and labor resources needed to record dynamic traits, often destructively, for a large number of genotypes. However, the recent advent of image-based phenotyping platforms has provided the plant science community with an effective means to non-destructively evaluate morphological, developmental, and physiological processes at regular, frequent intervals for a large number of plants throughout development. The statistical frameworks typically used for genetic analyses (e.g. genome-wide association mapping, linkage mapping, and genomic prediction) in plant breeding and genetics are not particularly amenable for repeated measurements. Random regression (RR) models are routinely used in animal breeding for the genetic analysis of longitudinal traits, and provide a robust framework for modeling traits trajectories and performing genetic analysis simultaneously. We recently used a RR approach for genomic prediction of shoot growth trajectories in rice using 33,674 SNPs. In this study, we have extended this approach for genetic inference by leveraging genomic breeding values derived from RR models for rice shoot growth during early vegetative development. This approach provides improvements over a conventional single time point analyses for discovering loci associated with shoot growth trajectories. The RR approach uncovers persistent, as well as time-specific, transient quantitative trait loci. This methodology can be widely applied to understand the genetic architecture of other complex polygenic traits with repeated measurements. O_LSTCore Ideas:C_LSTO_LIRandom regression models are an appealing framework for GWAS of longitudinal traits C_LIO_LIThis approach provides improvements over a conventional single time point analyses for GWAS C_LIO_LIWe identify QTL with transient and persistent effects on shoot growth in rice C_LI

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

Reverse GWAS: Using Genetics to Identify and Model Phenotypic Subtypes

Recent and classical work has revealed biologically and medically significant subtypes in complex diseases and traits. However, relevant subtypes are often unknown, unmeasured, or actively debated, making automatic statistical approaches to subtype definition particularly valuable. We propose reverse GWAS (RGWAS) to identify and validate subtypes using genetics and multiple traits: while GWAS seeks the genetic basis of a given trait, RGWAS seeks to define trait subtypes with distinct genetic bases. Unlike existing approaches relying on off-the-shelf clustering methods, RGWAS uses a bespoke decomposition, MFMR, to model covariates, binary traits, and population structure. We use extensive simulations to show these features can be crucial for power and calibration. We validate RGWAS in practice by recovering known stress subtypes in major depressive disorder. We then show the utility of RGWAS by identifying three novel subtypes of metabolic traits. We biologically validate these metabolic subtypes with SNP-level tests and a novel polygenic test: the former recover known metabolic GxE SNPs; the latter suggests genetic heterogeneity may explain substantial missing heritability. Crucially, statins, which are widely prescribed and theorized to increase diabetes risk, have opposing effects on blood glucose across metabolic subtypes, suggesting potential have potential translational value.\n\nAuthor summaryComplex diseases depend on interactions between many known and unknown genetic and environmental factors. However, most studies aggregate these strata and test for associations on average across samples, though biological factors and medical interventions can have dramatically different effects on different people. Further, more-sophisticated models are often infeasible because relevant sources of heterogeneity are not generally known a priori. We introduce Reverse GWAS to simultaneously split samples into homogeneoues subtypes and to learn differences in genetic or treatment effects between subtypes. Unlike existing approaches to computational subtype identification using high-dimensional trait data, RGWAS accounts for covariates, binary disease traits and, especially, population structure; these features are each invaluable in extensive simulations. We validate RGWAS by recovering known genetic subtypes of major depression. We demonstrate RGWAS is practically useful in a metabolic study, finding three novel subtypes with both SNP- and polygenic-level heterogeneity. Importantly, RGWAS can uncover differential treatment response: for example, we show that statin, a common drug and potential type 2 diabetes risk factor, may have opposing subtype-specific effects on blood glucose.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2026

TigerAI: An AI-powered genetic evidence platform to support clinical development

Genetic evidence is a major determinant of clinical success in drug development, yet its aggregation has long relied on laborious human curation. Large language models (LLMs) have the potential to rapidly synthesize knowledge across biomedical resources, providing a route to scalable AI-driven genetic evidence generation. Here we develop a novel domain-grounded instruction framework to systematically evaluate GPT-5 for producing genetic evidence relevant to clinical trial success. Using 13,022 target-indication pairs from a comprehensive drug development database, we benchmark LLM-derived evidence against a recent exhaustive human expert-curated study. We find that GPT-5 yields genetic evidence that is at least as informative as expert curation for inferring clinical success, while substantially expanding coverage relative to traditional curation resources. Building on these results, we introduce TigerAI (https://tigerai.bio/), a dual-purpose platform for AI-powered genetic evidence that (i) benchmarks emerging state-of-the-art LLMs and (ii) provides an accessible service for querying reliable AI-generated genetic evidence. These contributions outline a practical, domain-grounded pathway for integrating AI-powered genetic evidence into drug development pipelines and for realizing the potential of LLMs to inform clinical success.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2017

Shared Genetic Contributions to Atrial Fibrillation and Ischemic Stroke Risk

ObjectiveWe sought to assess whether genetic risk factors for atrial fibrillation can explain cardioembolic stroke risk.\n\nMethodsWe evaluated genetic correlations between a prior genetic study of AF and AF in the presence of cardioembolic stroke using genome-wide genotypes from the Stroke Genetics Network (N = 3,190 AF cases, 3,000 cardioembolic stroke cases, and 28,026 referents). We tested whether a previously-validated AF polygenic risk score (PRS) associated with cardioembolic and other stroke subtypes after accounting for AF clinical risk factors.\n\nResultsWe observed strong correlation between previously reported genetic risk for AF, AF in the presence of stroke, and cardioembolic stroke (Pearsons r=0.77 and 0.76, respectively, across SNPs with p < 4.4 x 10-4 in the prior AF meta-analysis). An AF PRS, adjusted for clinical AF risk factors, was associated with cardioembolic stroke (odds ratio (OR) per standard deviation (sd) = 1.40, p = 1.45x10-48), explaining [~]20% of the heritable component of cardioembolic stroke risk. The AF PRS was also associated with stroke of undetermined cause (OR per sd = 1.07, p = 0.004), but no other primary stroke subtypes (all p > 0.1).\n\nConclusionsGenetic risk for AF is associated with cardioembolic stroke, independent of clinical risk factors. Studies are warranted to determine whether AF genetic risk can serve as a biomarker for strokes caused by AF.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2014

Genetic landscape of populations along the Silk Road: admixture and migration patterns

BackgroundThe ancient Silk Road has been a trading route between Europe and Central Asia from the 2nd century BCE to the 15th century CE. While most populations on this route have been characterized, the genetic background of others remains poorly understood, and little is known about past migration patterns. The scientific expedition \"Marco Polo\" has recently collected genetic and phenotypic data in six regions (Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan) along the Silk Road to study the genetics of a number of phenotypes.\n\nResultsWe characterized the genetic structure of these populations within a worldwide context. We observed a West-East subdivision albeit the existence of a genetic component shared within Central Asia and nearby populations from Europe and Near East. We observed a contribution of up to 50% from Europe and Asia to most of the populations that have been analyzed. The contribution from Asia dates back to ~25 generations and is limited to the Eastern Silk Road. Time and direction of this contribution are consistent with the Mongolian expansion era.\n\nConclusionsWe clarified the genetic structure of six populations from Central Asia and suggested a complex pattern of gene flow among them. We provided a map of migration events in time and space and we quantified exchanges among populations. Altogether these novel findings will support the future studies aimed at understanding the genetics of the phenotypes that have been collected during the Marco Polo campaign, they will provide insights into the history of these populations, and they will be useful to reconstruct the developments and events that have shaped modern Eurasians genomes.

Genomics↗

bioRxiv2015

Catch me if you can: Adaptation from standing genetic variation to a moving phenotypic optimum

Adaptation lies at the heart of Darwinian evolution. Accordingly, numerous studies have tried to provide a formal framework for the description of the adaptive process. Out of these, two complementary modelling approaches have emerged: While so-called adaptive-walk models consider adaptation from the successive fixation of de-novo mutations only, quantitative genetic models assume that adaptation proceeds exclusively from pre-existing standing genetic variation. The latter approach, however, has focused on short-term evolution of population means and variances rather than on the statistical properties of adaptive substitutions. Our aim is to combine these two approaches by describing the ecological and genetic factors that determine the genetic basis of adaptation from standing genetic variation in terms of the effect-size distribution of individual alleles. Specifically, we consider the evolution of a quantitative trait to a gradually changing environment. By means of analytical approximations, we derive the distribution of adaptive substitutions from standing genetic variation, that is, the distribution of the phenotypic effects of those alleles from the standing variation that become fixed during adaptation. Our results are checked against individual-based simulations. We find that, compared to adaptation from de-novo mutations, (i) adaptation from standing variation proceeds by the fixation of more alleles of small effect; (ii) populations that adapt from standing genetic variation can traverse larger distances in phenotype space and, thus, have a higher potential for adaptation if the rate of environmental change is fast rather than slow.

Evolutionary Biology↗

bioRxiv2015

Mutation is a sufficient and robust predictor of genetic variation for mitotic spindle traits in C. elegans

Different types of phenotypic traits consistently exhibit different levels of genetic variation in natural populations. There are two potential explanations: either mutation produces genetic variation at different rates, or natural selection removes or promotes genetic variation at different rates. Whether mutation or selection is of greater general importance is a longstanding unresolved question in evolutionary genetics. Where the input of genetic variation by mutation differs between traits, it is usually uncertain whether the difference is the result of different mutational effects (\"mutational robustness\") or different numbers of underlying loci (\"mutational target\"), although conventional wisdom favors the latter. We report mutational variances (VM) for 19 traits related to the first mitotic cell division in C. elegans, and compare them to the standing genetic variances (VG) for the same suite of traits in a worldwide collection C. elegans. Two robust conclusions emerge. First, the mutational process is highly repeatable: the correlation between VM in two independent sets of mutation accumulation lines is ~0.9. Second, VM for a trait is a very good predictor of VG for that trait: the correlation between VM and VG is ~0.9. This result is predicted for a population at mutation-selection balance; it is not predicted if balancing selection plays a primary role in maintaining genetic variation. Goodness- of-fit of the data to two simple models of mutation suggest that differences in mutational effects may be a more important cause of differences in VM between traits than differences in the size of the mutational target.

Evolutionary Biology↗

bioRxiv2016

Genetic and environmental risk for chronic pain and the contribution of risk variants for psychiatric disorders. Results from Generation Scotland: Scottish Family Health Study and UK Biobank

BackgroundChronic pain is highly prevalent worldwide and a significant source of disability, yet its genetic and environmental risk factors are poorly understood. Its relationship with psychiatric illness, and major depressive disorder (MDD) in particular, is of particular importance. We sought to test the contribution of genetic factors and shared and unique environment to risk of chronic pain and its correlation with MDD in Generation Scotland: Scottish Family Health Study (GS:SFHS). We then sought to replicate any significant findings in the UK Biobank study.\n\nMethodsUsing family-based mixed-model analyses, we examined the contribution of genetics and environment to chronic pain using spouse, sibling and household groups as measures of shared environment. We then examined the correlation between chronic pain and MDD and estimated the contribution of genetic factors and shared environment. Finally, we used data from two independent genome-wide association studies to test whether chronic pain has a polygenic risk architecture and examine whether genomic risk of psychiatric disorder predicted chronic pain and whether genomic risk of chronic pain predicted MDD.\n\nResultsChronic pain is a moderately heritable trait (narrow sense heritability = 38.4%) which is more likely to be concordant in spouses and partners (variance explained 18.7%). Chronic pain is positively correlated with depression (rho = 0.13, p = 2.72x10-68) and it shows a tendency to cluster within families for genetic reasons (genetic correlation rho = 0.51, p = 8.24x10-19). Polygenic risk profiles for pain, generated using independent GWAS data, predicted chronic pain in both GS:SFHS (maximum {beta} = 6.18x10-2, p = 4.3x10-4) and UK Biobank (maximum {beta} = 5.68 x 10-2, p < 3x10-4). Genomic risk of MDD is also significantly associated with chronic pain in both GS:SFHS (maximum {beta} = 6.62x10-2, p = 4.3x10-4) and UK Biobank (maximum {beta} = 2.56x10-2, p < 3x10-4).\n\nConclusionsGenetic factors and chronic pain in a partner or spouse contribute substantially to the risk of chronic pain in the general population. Chronic pain is genetically correlated with MDD, has a polygenic architecture and is predicted by polygenic risk of MDD.

Genomics↗

bioRxiv2016

Genome-wide characterization of genetic and functional dysregulation in autism spectrum disorder

Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is a range of major neurodevelopmental disabilities with a strong genetic basis. Yet, owing to extensive genetic heterogeneity, multiple modes of inheritance and limited study sizes, sequencing and quantitative genetics approaches have had limited success in characterizing the complex genetics of ASD. Currently, only a small fraction of potentially causal genes--about 65 genes out of an estimated severalhundred--are known based on strong genetic evidence. Hence, there isa critical need for complementary approaches to further characterize the genetic basis of ASD, enabling development of better screening and therapeutics. Here, we use a machine-learning approach based on a human brain-specific functional gene interaction network to present a genome-wide prediction of autism-associated genes, including hundreds of candidate genes for which there is minimal or no prior genetic evidence. Our approach is validated in an independent case-control sequencing study of approximately 2,500families. Leveraging these genome-wide predictions and the brain-specificnetwork, we demonstrate that the large set of ASD genes converges on a smaller number of key cellular pathways and specific developmental stages of the brain. Specifically, integration with spatiotemporal transcriptome expression data implicates early fetal and midfetal stages of the developing human brain in ASD etiology. Likewise, analysis of the connectivity of topautism genes in the brain-specific interaction network reveals the breadthof autism-associated functional modules, processes, and pathways in the brain. Finally, we identify likely pathogenic genes within the most frequent autism-associated copy-number-variants (CNVs) and propose genes and pathways that are likely mediators of autism across multiple CNVs. All the predictions, interactions, and functional insights from this work are available to biomedical researchers at asd.princeton.edu.

Genomics↗

bioRxiv2016

kWIP: The k-mer Weighted Inner Product, a de novo Estimator of Genetic Similarity

Modern genomics techniques generate overwhelming quantities of data. Extracting population genetic variation demands computationally efficient methods to determine genetic relatedness between individuals or samples in an unbiased manner, preferably de novo. The rapid and unbiased estimation of genetic relatedness has the potential to overcome reference genome bias, to detect mix-ups early, and to verify that biological replicates belong to the same genetic lineage before conclusions are drawn using mislabelled, or misidentified samples.\n\nWe present the k-mer Weighted Inner Product (kWIP), an assembly-, and alignment-free estimator of genetic similarity. kWIP combines a probabilistic data structure with a novel metric, the weighted inner product (WIP), to efficiently calculate pairwise similarity between sequencing runs from their k-mer counts. It produces a distance matrix, which can then be further analysed and visualised. Our method does not require prior knowledge of the underlying genomes and applications include detecting sample identity and mix-up, non-obvious genomic variation, and population structure.\n\nWe show that kWIP can reconstruct the true relatedness between samples from simulated populations. By re-analysing several published datasets we show that our results are consistent with marker-based analyses. kWIP is written in C++, licensed under the GNU GPL, and is available from https://github.com/kdmurray91/kwip.\n\nAuthor SummaryCurrent analysis of the genetic similarity of samples is overly dependent on alignment to reference genomes, which are often unavailable and in any case can introduce bias. We address this limitation by implementing an efficient alignment free sequence comparison algorithm (kWIP). The fast, unbiased analysis kWIP performs should be conducted in preliminary stages of any analysis to verify experimental designs and sample metadata, catching catastrophic errors earlier.\n\nkWIP extends alignment-free sequence comparison methods by operating directly on sequencing reads. kWIP uses an entropy-weighted inner product over k-mers as a estimator of genetic relatedness. We validate kWIP using rigorous simulation experiments. We also demonstrate high sensitivity and accuracy even where there is modest divergence between genomes, and/or when sequencing coverage is low. We show high sensitivity in replicate detection, and faithfully reproduce published reports of population structure and stratification of microbiomes. We provide a reproducible workflow for replicating our validation experiments.\n\nkWIP is an efficient, open source software package. Our software is well documented and cross platform, and tutorial-style workflows are provided for new users.

Bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2016

Habitat preference predicts genetic diversity and population divergence in Amazonian birds

The ecological traits of organisms may predict important evolutionary parameters such as genetic diversity, population genetic structure, and demographic history. Making these ecological-evolutionary links is difficult because robust, comparable genetic estimates are required from many species with differing ecologies. In Amazonian birds, differences in habitat preference are an important component of ecological diversity. A subset of Amazonian birds is restricted to forest edge and open forest along floodplains, whereas another subset occurs only in the interior of tall, upland forest. Here, we examine the link between habitat and evolutionary metrics using 20 pairs of closely related and co-distributed bird species in which one member of the pair occurs primarily in forest edge and floodplains, and the other occurs in upland forest interior. We use standardized geographic sampling and genomic data from the same set of 2,416 independent markers to estimate genetic diversity, population structure, and demographic history in each species. We find that species of upland forest have higher genetic diversity, greater divergence across the landscape, more genetically distinct populations, and deeper gene histories than floodplain species. Our results reveal that species ecology in the form of habitat preference is an important predictor of genetic diversity and divergence and suggest that floodplain and upland avifaunas in the Amazon may be on separate evolutionary trajectories and require different conservation strategies.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2017

Fitness, Physical Activity, And Cardiovascular Disease: Longitudinal And Genetic Analyses In The UK Biobank Study

BackgroundExercise is inversely related with cardiovascular disease (CVD), but large-scale studies of incident CVD events are lacking. Moreover, little is known about genetic determinants of fitness and physical activity, and modifiable effects of exercise in individuals with elevated genetic risk of CVD. Finally, causal analyses of exercise traits are limited.\n\nMethodsWe estimated associations of grip strength, physical activity, and cardiorespiratory fitness with CVD and all-cause death in up to 502,635 individuals from the UK Biobank. We also examined these associations in individuals with different genetic burden on coronary heart disease (CHD) and atrial fibrillation (AF). Finally, we performed genome-wide association study (GWAS) of grip strength and physical activity, as well as Mendelian randomization analysis to assess the causal role of grip strength in CHD.\n\nFindingsGrip strength, physical activity, and cardiorespiratory fitness showed strong inverse associations with incident cardiovascular events and all-cause death (for composite CVD; HR, 0.78, 95% CI, 0.77-0.80; HR, 0.94, 95% CI, 0.93-0.95, and HR, 0.67, 95% CI, 0.63-0.71, per SD change, respectively). We observed stronger associations of grip strength with CHD and AF for individuals in the lowest tertile of genetic risk (Pinteraction = 0.006, Pinteraction = 0.03, respectively), but the inverse associations were present in each category of genetic risk. We report 27 novel genetic loci associated with grip strength and 2 loci with physical activity, with the strongest associations in FTO (rs56094641, P=3.8x10-24) and SMIM2 (rs9316077, P=1.4x10-8), respectively. By use of Mendelian randomization, we provide evidence that grip strength is causally related to CHD.\n\nInterpretationMaintaining physical strength is likely to prevent future cardiovascular events, also in individuals with elevated genetic risk for CVD.\n\nFundingNational Institutes of Health (1 R01 HL135313-01), Knut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation (2013.0126), and the Finnish Cultural Foundation.

epidemiology↗