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bioRxiv · 10.64898/2026.11.10.762907

An expanded, phenotypically distinct tumor cell subset with low HPV mRNA increases recurrence risk

Abstract

Human papillomavirus-related (HPV+) cancers harbor a subset of tumor cells expressing certain senescence-related transcripts and reduced levels of HPV mRNAs. We aimed to define this HPV-low population's biologic traits and clinical significance via integrated analysis of recurrence-prone human HPV+ oropharyngeal cancers (OPCs) and patient-derived xenografts (PDXs) of variable therapy sensitivity. Single-cell mRNA sequencing of PDXs and human tumors detected gene expression profiles in HPV-low cells indicating lack of senescence or terminal differentiation and intact tumorigenic capacity. HPV-low cells in cisplatin-refractory PDXs and particular human OPCs differentially upregulated multiple pathways linked to aggressive tumor biology, including RAS signaling, IL-6 signaling, and EMT. Predicted loss of cell-cell interactions among HPV-low cells reflected reduced epithelial identity, further supporting their more aggressive biology. Accordingly, the size of the pre-treatment HPV-low fraction had strong, independent association with recurrence risk. Genetic subclones within OPCs varied widely in content of HPV-low cells, which were enriched in particular lineages. Our findings uncover novel pro-tumor functions of HPV-low cells and support a central role for them in therapy resistance as well as potential utility as a clinical biomarker. Further elucidating mechanisms of cooperativity and plasticity between HPV-low and high states holds promise to reveal targets in treatment-refractory HPV+ malignancies.

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BibTeXRIS

Raghav, L., Patterson, M. R., Sannigrahi, M. K., Rajagopalan, P., Brody, R. M., Morgan, I. M., Gimotty, P. A., Jalaly, J. B., Diab, A., Schaffer, S. M., Auslander, N., Gallant, J.-N., Basu, D.. 2026-11-14. An expanded, phenotypically distinct tumor cell subset with low HPV mRNA increases recurrence risk. https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.11.10.762907

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