Peptide structural plasticity is predictable from sequence and environment

Abstract

Many peptides often do not have a single dominant structure. Instead, many remain disordered in water and fold when they encounter membranes or other chemical environments, a property that underlies diverse biological functions but is difficult to predict. Here we introduce ApexFold, a machine-learning frame-work that predicts how peptide secondary structure change across environments. ApexFold uses peptide sequence and features together with physicochemical descriptors of the surrounding medium to estimate the fractions of helical, {beta}-like and disordered structure expected in each condition. Trained on circular-dichroism measurements from 1,187 peptides assayed in water, co-solvents and membrane-mimicking micelles, ApexFold predicted solvent-induced structural shifts in independent peptide panels and outperformed static structure predictors that return a single conformation. These results show that peptide structural plasticity can be learned from sequence and environment, providing a way to prioritize peptides and experimental conditions before synthesis and structural characterization.