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bioRxiv · 10.64898/2026.07.31.740466

Physical laws predict methane hotspots in global mountain waters

ZHU, D.·Rashid, I.·Walter, K.·Tong, S.·Bhattarai, N.·Zou, X.·Joshi, S.·Kuhn, M.·Liu, J.·Jiang, H.·Chen, H.·Wu, N.
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Abstract

Accurate accounting of aquatic methane emissions is critical for climate change mitigation, yet current global budgets overlook a key driver: the elevation-regulated atmospheric pressure. Here, we present the first large-scale investigation of methane ebullition across 164 shallow waters spanning elevations from sea level to 4886 meters. We demonstrate that ebullition rate increases with elevation-over four times higher at >3000 m a.s.l. than at sea level-due to two synergistic, pressure-dependent physical mechanisms: a degas effect (enhanced bubble formation) and a trigger effect (facilitated bubble ascent). Independent theoretical prediction of the combined effects shows near-perfect agreement with the empirical elevation trend, quantitatively confirming that these physical mechanisms are the primary drivers of enhanced ebullition at high elevations. Our findings reveal that mountain aquatic ecosystems represent unaccounted methane hotspots that have been systematically underestimated in global inventories.We therefore call for urgent integration of these ecosystems into IPCC assessments and targeted mountain mitigation and sustainable management strategies.

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ZHU, D., Rashid, I., Walter, K., Tong, S., Bhattarai, N., Zou, X., Joshi, S., Kuhn, M., Liu, J., Jiang, H., Chen, H., Wu, N.. 2026-08-06. Physical laws predict methane hotspots in global mountain waters. https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.07.31.740466

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