First-Trimester Non-Invasive Prediction of Preterm Birth Using Cell-Free DNA Fragmentomics

Abstract

ObjectiveTo develop and validate a cell-free DNA (cfDNA) fragmentomic classifier for the early prediction of spontaneous preterm birth (PTB) using routine first-trimester non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) data. MethodsA nested case-control study was conducted within a prospective multicenter Vietnamese cohort comprising 286 pregnancies, including 82 spontaneous PTB cases and 204 term controls. Maternal plasma cfDNA collected during routine first-trimester NIPT (median gestational age, 12 weeks) was sequenced to a depth of approximately 20 million reads per sample. Five fragmentomic feature categories including copy number alterations, end-motif composition, nucleosome distance, fragment length, and joint fragment-lengthxend-motif were evaluated for PTB prediction. Machine learning classifiers were developed in a training cohort (n = 228, 65 PTB vs 163TB) and tested in a validation cohort (n = 58, 17 PTB vs 41 TB). ResultsAmong the five fragmentomic feature classes evaluated, 4-mer end-motif (EM) profiles exhibited the most pronounced differences between PTB and term control samples. Consistent with these findings, the EM-based classifier demonstrated the highest discriminative performance in the validation cohort, achieving an AUC of 0.970 (95% CI, 0.912-1.000). At a specificity >90%, the model achieved a sensitivity of 94% (95% CI, 78-100%). ConclusionThese findings demonstrate that cfDNA EM signatures derived from routine first-trimester NIPT can accurately identify pregnancies at risk of spontaneous preterm birth, without additional blood collection or sequencing, thereby extending the clinical utility of existing prenatal screening infrastructure. KEY POINTSO_ST_ABSWhat is already known about this topic?C_ST_ABSO_LICurrent first-trimester prediction strategies based on maternal characteristics, cervical length, and biochemical markers have limited predictive accuracy, particularly in nulliparous women. C_LIO_LIExisting cfDNA-based approaches have shown only modest performance or require additional assays, limiting clinical applicability. C_LI What does this study add?O_LIExisting NIPT sequencing data can be repurposed (without additional blood sampling or sequencing) for accurate prediction of spontaneous preterm birth (AUC=0.970). C_LIO_LIA classifier employing 4-mer end-motif (EM) profiles achieved an AUC of 0.970. At a specificity >90%, the model achieved a sensitivity of 94%. C_LI