Continuous mark-release recapture to improve estimates of movement and survival of the African malaria mosquitoes

Abstract

Despite extensive efforts to understand the population biology and ecology of the African malaria mosquitoes questions regarding their movement pattern, survival, and population size persist, reflecting methodological limitations. Site fidelity, in which mosquitoes return to feeding sites, resting sites, or oviposition sites remain debated. Mark release recapture (MRR) studies are vital to address such questions. Using locality- and date-specific DNA tags in fluorescent spray, we carried out a continuous MRR in a Malian village from September to December 2019 with three days interval between capture and release across seven zones. A total of 12,937 Anopheles gambiae s.l. (7,455 females) were captured during 35 indoor collections. Handling related mortality was 3.4%., A. coluzzii predominated (89.7%), followed by A. gambiae (9.4%), and A. arabiensis (0.9%). Overall recapture rate was 1.05% (N=129). Contrary to the site-fidelity hypothesis, the distribution of recaptured mosquitoes across zones (regardless of their zone of release) was similar to the distribution of the captured mosquitoes (r=0.97, P<0.001), with 70% recaptured in a different zone. There was no difference in distance moved between sexes, but males average distance increased over time since release, whereas females distance remained unchanged. Simulated movements (across released points), with equal probability to reach any of the village houses predicted actual distance moved by mosquitoes. The regression of observed distance from each zone over predicted had a slope of 1 (r2=94%, P=0.006), suggesting that the layout of the capture area greatly affected the results. The average days post release (minimum age of wild captured mosquitoes) for recaptures was 6.4 d with the longest being 30 d. No seasonal and sex related difference in minimum age were detected. The corrected probability of daily survival (PDS) was 94% and the daily increase in sporozoite rate was 4.9%. Limiting the recapture duration period showed that PDS increased with recapture duration from 74% to 86% (12 to 30 d, uncorrected). Thus, larger recapture area and longer recapture duration are needed to obtain accurate estimates of movement range and of daily survival.