Disparate introduction histories but similar climatic distribution patterns among congeneric invasive anurans

Abstract

Commonly shared patterns of introduction and spread into new environmental conditions are often poorly understood, even though a better understanding of invasion history and niche dynamics among closely related invasive species could give practitioners valuable information to prevent and mitigate the impact of biological invasions. For this study, we investigate the invasion history and niche patterns among congeneric invasive species. We synthesize public occurrence data for five invasive alien anurans (Eleutherodactylus coqui, E. planirostris, E. johnstonei, E. antillensis, and E. martinicensis) to reconstruct their historic introductions and evaluate evidence for climatic niche shifts between their native and established non-native ranges. By pairing these data with current and future climate projections, we compare patterns of range shifts under future climate scenarios. Our results highlight different temporal and geographic introduction histories in invasive Eleutherodactylus, but a strong signal of colonizing broader invasive climatic niches, specifically into colder environmental conditions. Under future climate scenarios, suitable habitats for most of the non-native regions are likely to increase, although this increase is restricted under scenarios with high greenhouse gas emissions. Our results reveal that despite different invasion histories, the ability to spread into colder regions may be a conserved trait among the most widespread Eleutherodactylus anurans. This study ultimately shows that commonalities among closely related invasive species can provide clues about their ability to expand into areas with particular abiotic conditions, a pattern likely to be widespread, offering a potentially valuable opportunity to deploy targeted prevention strategies.