A data-driven redefinition of global biodiversity hotspots

Abstract

The 36 global biodiversity hotspots harbor a disproportionate share of the worlds endemic species, making their conservation critical for planetary health. Traditionally hotspots were defined as ecoregions with [≥]1,500 endemic vascular plant species and >70% natural habitat loss; this relied heavily on expert judgment, with subjective assessments of endemism and habitat loss applied. Challenges in defining endemism, quantifying habitat loss, and the global unevenness in available vascular plant data have hindered hotspot identification over the past decades. Here, we built a global dataset of 150,487 rare vascular plants, identified from 88.1% of the worlds known vascular species, and recognize hotspots based on their richness using three complementary conservation targets and algorithms. We then quantified natural habitat loss and habitat fragmentation using high-resolution remote sensing data and assessed the diversity and distribution of terrestrial vertebrates within these newly identified hotspots. Our data-driven method recovered all the 36 established global biodiversity hotspots, revised 17, and identified 11 new hotspots spanning diverse ecosystems across six continents. These 47 hotspots cover 26.63% of global land area, yet contain 83.8% of rare vascular plants, 92.4% of mammals, 96.1% of birds, 87.8% of reptiles, and 95.0% of amphibians. Collectively, they encompass >89% of terrestrial vertebrates classified as IUCN threatened species. Only 10 hotspots have undergone [≥]70% habitat loss, and the lack of a consistent relationship with habitat fragmentation suggests that this criterion is not globally applicable. Effectively protecting [~]27% of Earths land could theoretically safeguard >89.8% of threatened terrestrial species and >67% of threatened terrestrial species hotspot area, assuming effective protection of the identified biodiversity hotspots. Targeted conservation efforts within these global biodiversity hotspots can meet the established biodiversity targets of the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework as well as post-2030 biodiversity targets. Most importantly, our framework enables conservation scientists to iteratively identify and update global biodiversity hotspots in step with growing global biodiversity data.