Eco-evolutionary dynamics of planktonic calcifying communities under ocean acidification

Abstract

Increasing emissions of CO2 into the atmosphere are causing ocean acidification, threatening calcifying organisms. In this study, we model the physiological responses of coccolithophorids to acidification to understand the ecological and evolutionary outcomes of a system in interaction with zooplankton. Assuming a trade-off between growth and protection against grazing, we show that calcification has bivalent effects on transfers between two trophic levels and that acidity can strongly alter energy transfers. Taking into account the evolution of calcifying phenotypes in response to acidification, we show that the system outcome contrasts with previous results. While the effect of evolution depends on how calcification affects grazing, it nevertheless follows that acidification leads to a decrease in calcifying capacity. This evolutionary decrease may be progressive, but can also lead to tipping points where abrupt shifts may occur. Such a counter-selection of calcification in turn affects ecosystem functioning, enhancing energy transfers within the system and modifying carbon fluxes. We discuss how such eco-evolutionary changes may impact food webs integrity, carbon sequestration into the deep ocean and therefore endanger the carbon pump stability.