Search bioRxiv⌕ Search

bioRxiv · 10.64898/2026.01.30.701154

Why we age: the four process model

Abstract

HighlightsO_LIDNA damage-induced selection is the underlying cause of ageing. C_LIO_LIFaster metabolising cells naturally spread unless prevented by a deliberate process designed to prevent hyperfunctional diseases like cancer and fibrosis. C_LIO_LIAs a result, slow metabolising mutants reduce the metabolic rate of faster neighbours epigenetically, shifting energy homeostasis to induce insulin resistance, weight gain, inflammation, metabolic syndrome and age-related disease. C_LIO_LIIn post-mitotic tissues, mitochondria are undergoing similar selection and counterselection, contributing to the same metabolic slowdown. C_LIO_LIThe four process model defined by these selection processes explains all major anti-ageing therapies and connects the hallmarks into a mechanistic framework. C_LI Although ageing can be understood in terms of associated hallmarks and biomarkers, the processes which connect and cause these phenotypes are ill-defined. Here we suggest a unifying model of ageing as four distinct processes which connect the major observations and evidence into a single framework. It explains, from a single initial cause to the ultimate outcomes and diseases, why we age and die. We suggest that although DNA damage is crucial to shift homeostasis, ageing itself is not caused by simple DNA damage accumulation. Instead, only specific sites of damage are relevant when they affect selection and the resulting ageing processes. For clarity, each process is given a name. The first process, celerisis, results from the natural course of tissue-level selection for cells with elevated metabolic and proliferative rate. If the damaged DNA site gives the cell a selective advantage, it can spread within the tissue causing hyperfunctional diseases including cancer and fibrosis. However, many ageing phenotypes are more associated with hypofunction. Therefore, we suggest that our tissues have a mechanism to prevent the spread of hyperfunctional cells. In proliferative tissues, a second process, intrinsic ageing, is the result of this defence mechanism induced through cell communication via Notch. Slower metabolising mutants induce epigenetic changes in faster cells, and then epigenetically slowed cells slow other cells, causing gradual metabolic slowdown across tissues. The third process, extrinsic ageing, could then result directly from metabolic slowdown as body cells use less ATP. Mitochondria reduce catabolism, restoring ATP levels by burning less glucose and lipid. Build-up of these fuels in the cytoplasm reduces import, restoring equilibrium but inducing insulin resistance (IR), while the excess fuel is diverted to the adipose, causing weight gain, chronic inflammation, and metabolic syndrome. These outcomes could then combine with intrinsic ageing to induce age-related disease. The final process of mitochondrial selection induces intrinsic ageing of single celled life as well as post-mitotic tissues and organisms. Together, the four processes produce a detailed mechanistic map that explains the evolutionary significance of ageing, removing old paradoxes, and connecting the hallmarks into a causal framework that furthers our understanding. O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=176 SRC="FIGDIR/small/701154v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (51K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@2873e3org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1d05f0aorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@10fa833org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@ebe435_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG O_FLOATNOGraphical abstractC_FLOATNO C_FIG

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Wordsworth, J., Yde Nielsen, P., Fielder, E., Chandrasegaran, S., Shanley, D.. 2026-02-02. Why we age: the four process model. https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.01.30.701154

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related preprints

INFORME: coupling information-theoretic experimental design with nonlinear mixed-effects modeling for efficient observation scheduling

Mathematical models of treatment response can inform individualized therapy, but their calibration often requires longitudinal measurements that are costly, burdensome, and collected on fixed schedules. Such schedules may be inefficient, over-sampling patients whose response is already well characterized while delaying informative measurements for those whose model parameters remain uncertain. We present INFORME (INFORmation-theoretic design with Mixed Effects), a framework that combines Bayesian information-theoretic experimental design with nonlinear mixed-effects modeling to adaptively select each patients next measurement time. Population and response-subgroup parameter distributions learned from an existing cohort provide informative priors, allowing candidate measurement times to be ranked by their expected reduction in patient-specific parameter uncertainty. As observations accumulate, priors can be updated to reflect the response subgroup most consistent with the patients data. We evaluate INFORME in two radiotherapy datasets: 150 synthetic tumor volume trajectories from a hybrid cellular automaton model of prostate cancer spheroids (HD1) and longitudinal tumor volumes from 39 patients with head-and-neck cancer (HD2). In HD1, population priors allowed omission of both pretreatment scans, while adaptive scheduling reduced the protocol from nine scans to three or four, with the response group identified from a single post-treatment scan on day 27. In HD2, the adaptive schedule used three scans instead of six and improved prediction by delaying the first on-treatment scan from week 1 to week 2, avoiding transient dynamics that produced false-positive and false-negative response projections. Across both datasets, the adaptive schedules used a mean of 2.7 scans in stead of seven and advanced completion of the patient-specific prediction by a mean of 15.5 days (95% CI, 6.7-24.3) relative to the equidistant protocol, while treatment duration remained unchanged. INFORME therefore reduces measurement burden and accelerates patient-specific prediction by concentrating observations at times that are most informative for model calibration.

systems biology↗

Sobetirome, a thyroid hormone receptor beta agonist, is a potential therapeutic agent for pulmonary fibrosis

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive and fatal disease with limited treatment options. Our group previously identified the antifibrotic potential of thyroid hormone, triiodothyronine (T3); however, clinical translation of thyroid hormone therapy is limited by its systemic adverse effects. In this study, we investigate whether sobetirome, a selective and well tolerated thyroid hormone receptor beta (THRB) agonist, offers antifibrotic benefits of thyroid hormone while minimizing systemic toxicity. Our study reveals that sobetirome, administered via intraperitoneal or inhalational routes, effectively mitigates bleomycin-induced pulmonary fibrosis in mice, with no evidence of toxicity. We identified that sobetirome restores mitochondrial homeostasis via activating the THRB-PPARGC1a axis. This protects alveolar type II epithelial cells from injury-induced apoptosis while selectively inducing apoptosis and metabolic reprogramming in apoptosis resistant IPF fibroblasts. Cell-specific deletion of Ppargc1a in either alveolar epithelial cells or fibroblasts abolishes sobetirome-mediated protection, establishing PPARGC1a as an essential mediator of therapeutic response. Importantly, sobetirome reverses fibrosis-associated transcriptional programs in human IPF lung tissue, reducing expression of key fibrosis-associated genes, including collagen I alpha 1 (COL1A1), collagen III alpha 1 (COL3A1), periostin (POSTN), cathepsin K (CTSK), and Chitinase 3 Like 1 (CHI3L1), while promoting extracellular matrix remodeling, epithelial restoration, and tissue homeostasis. Collectively, our findings identify THRB activation as a novel metabolic strategy for reversing pulmonary fibrosis. Across complementary in vitro, in vivo, and human ex vivo models, sobetirome restores mitochondrial function, modulates apoptotic pathways in pathogenic cells, and promotes fibrosis resolution, highlighting its potential as a lung-targeted therapeutic approach for IPF and other fibrotic lung diseases.

systems biology↗

Mechanistic modeling of bacterial translation initiation across growth conditions

Translation frequency in bacteria depends on how ribosomes, mRNAs, and initiation factors are allocated across growth conditions. Here, we developed a mechanistic ODE-based model of Escherichia coli translation that represents initiation, elongation, termination, and coupled auxiliary processes. Growth-dependent abundances were derived from physiological relationships and reprocessed omics data, and simulated outputs were compared with translation-frequency and active-ribosome references. The model predicts a continuous shift from complex-formation-limited toward ribosome-limited behavior as growth increases. This shift is characterized by a decline in free-ribosome abundance, whereas initiation-factor pools remain largely unbound and do not become depleted in parallel. Together with the implemented IF-dependent kinetic term, this preserved availability provides a model-internal route through which productive initiation can be maintained despite increasing ribosome utilization. Consistently, transcript-wide ribosome loading remains below its theoretical maximum, while COG-level simulations reveal distinct sector-specific translation-frequency trajectories. The study therefore provides a resource-allocation framework for interpreting how mRNA--ribosome interactions shape bacterial translation across growth conditions.

systems biology↗