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bioRxiv · 10.64898/2026.01.26.701707

Precipitation frequency and predictability interactively affect lizard life-history traits in absence of water shortage

Moreno, R. V.·Fitze, P. S.
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Abstract

Current climate change leads to longer frequencies and reduced predictability of climatic parameters. Recent studies have highlighted the importance of considering multiple environmental factors, but experimental evidence on how species respond to their combined effect remains scarce. Here, we experimentally manipulated precipitation frequency and predictability and tested how they affect body size, growth, and survival using the common lizard (Zootoca vivipara) as a model species. Longer precipitation frequency negatively affected adult growth and male survival. Predictability influenced body size-dependent survival of yearlings and adults in certain frequency treatments. In yearlings, treatment-induced growth differences compensated for treatment-induced differences in size-dependent survival, resulting in no size differences during reproduction. In adults, treatment-induced differences in size-dependent survival were not compensated for, resulting in body size differences during reproduction among treatments. Consequently, precipitation frequency and predictability had a joint effect on life-history traits. Our results demonstrate that, even without water shortage, small differences in the frequency and predictability of precipitation affect population demography and life-history traits. This indicates that integrating the interactive action of different climatic parameters will be key to understanding and better anticipating future impacts of climate change on species.

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Moreno, R. V., Fitze, P. S.. 2026-01-28. Precipitation frequency and predictability interactively affect lizard life-history traits in absence of water shortage. https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.01.26.701707

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