Search bioRxivSearch

bioRxiv · 10.1101/372649

The respiratory microbiome and susceptibility to influenza virus infection

Abstract

Influenza is a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. However, vaccine effectiveness has been low to moderate in recent years and vaccine coverage remains low, especially in low- and middle-income countries. Supplementary methods of prevention should be explored to reduce the high burden of influenza.\n\nA potential target is the respiratory tract microbiome, complex microbial communities which envelop the respiratory epithelium and play an important role in shaping host immunity. Using a household transmission study, we examined whether the nose/throat microbiota was associated with influenza susceptibility among participants exposed to influenza virus in the household. Further, we characterized changes in the nose/throat microbiota to explore whether community stability was influenced by influenza virus infection.\n\nUsing a generalized linear mixed effects model, we found a bacterial community type associated with decreased susceptibility to influenza. The community type was rare and transitory among young children but a prevalent and stable community type among adults. Using boosting and linear mixed effects models, we found associations between the nose/throat microbiota and influenza also existed at the taxa level, specifically with the relative abundance of Alloprevotella, Prevotella, and Bacteroides oligotypes.\n\nWe found high rates of change in the bacterial community among both secondary cases and household contacts who were not infected during follow up. Preliminary results suggest short-term changes in the bacterial community structure may differ between the two groups, but further work is needed to validate our observations.\n\nLastly, age was strongly associated with susceptibility to influenza and the nose/throat bacterial community structure. Although additional studies are needed to determine causality, our results suggest the nose/throat microbiome may be a potential target for reducing the burden of influenza.\n\nAuthor summaryMicrobiome research has transformed our understanding of microbes and human health. Resident bacteria can protect the host from pathogens by shaping immunological responses. These new insights suggest the microbiome could be a target for preventing influenza virus infection, a major cause of illness and death worldwide. In this study, we explored the relationship between the nose/throat microbiota and influenza virus in Nicaraguan households.\n\nHousehold members were enrolled immediately after one member was diagnosed with influenza virus infection. This study design allowed us to identify associations between the microbiota and influenza susceptibility. We also explored whether influenza virus infection altered the bacterial community structure and found short-term changes were common among both secondary cases and household members who remained influenza negative during follow up. Lastly, we found age played major roles in both influenza susceptibility and in short-terms changes in the microbiota. Although much work is needed to determine causal relationships, our findings suggest strategies that appropriately modify the microbiome might be useful in preventing influenza virus infections.

Source connections

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Lee, K. H., Gordon, A., Shedden, K., Kuan, G., Ng, S., Balmaseda, A., Foxman, B.. 2018-07-19. The respiratory microbiome and susceptibility to influenza virus infection. https://doi.org/10.1101/372649

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related preprints

Translating surveillance data into incidence estimates

Monitoring a population for a disease requires the hosts to be sampled and tested for the pathogen. This results in sampling series from which to estimate the disease incidence, i.e. the proportion of hosts infected. Existing estimation methods assume that disease incidence is not changing between monitoring rounds, resulting in underestimation of the disease incidence. In this paper we develop an incidence estimation model accounting for epidemic growth with monitoring rounds sampling varying incidence. We also show how to accommodate the asymptomatic period characteristic to most diseases. For practical use, we produce an approximation of the model, which is subsequently shown accurate for relevant epidemic and sampling parameters. Both the approximation and the full model are applied to stochastic spatial simulations of epidemics. The results prove their consistency for a very wide range of situations.

epidemiology

The Swiss Primary Ciliary Dyskinesia registry: objectives, methods and first results

Primary Ciliary Dyskinesia (PCD) is a rare hereditary, multi-organ disease caused by defects in ciliary structure and function. It results in a wide range of clinical manifestations, most commonly in the upper and lower airways. Central data collection in national and international registries is essential to studying the epidemiology of rare diseases and filling in gaps in knowledge of diseases such as PCD. For this reason, the Swiss Primary Ciliary Dyskinesia Registry (CH-PCD) was founded in 2013 as a collaborative project between epidemiologists and adult and paediatric pulmonologists.\n\nThe registry records patients of any age, suffering from PCD, who are treated and resident in Switzerland. It collects information from patients identified through physicians, diagnostic facilities, and patient organisations. The registry dataset contains data on diagnostic evaluations, lung function, microbiology and imaging, symptoms, treatments, and hospitalizations.\n\nBy May 2018, CH-PCD has contacted 566 physicians of different specialties and identified 134 patients with PCD. At present this number represents an overall 1 in 63,000 prevalence of people diagnosed with PCD in Switzerland. Prevalence differs by age and region; it is highest in children and adults younger than 30 years, and in Espace Mittelland. The median age of patients in the registry is 25 years (range 5-73), and 49 patients have a definite PCD diagnosis based on recent international guidelines. Data from CH-PCD are contributed to international collaborative studies and the registry facilitates patient identification for nested studies.\n\nCH-PCD has proven to be a valuable research tool that already has highlighted weaknesses in PCD clinical practice in Switzerland. Development of centralised diagnostic and management centres and adherence to international guidelines are needed to improve diagnosis and management--particularly for adult PCD patients.

epidemiology

Perfect Counterfactuals for Epidemic Simulations

Simulation studies are often used to predict the expected impact of control measures in infectious disease outbreaks. Typically, two independent sets of simulations are conducted, one with the intervetnion, and one without, and epidemic sizes (or some related metric) are compared to estimate the effect of the intervention. Since it is possible that controlled epidemics are larger than uncontrolled ones if there is substantial stochastic variation between epidemics, uncertainty intervals from this approach can include a negative effect even for an effective intervention. To more precisely estimate the number of cases an intervention will prevent within a single epidemic, here we develop a single world approach to matching simulations of controlled epidemics to their exact uncontrolled counterfac-tual. Our method borrows concepts from percolation approaches prune out possible epidemic histories and create potential epidemic graph that can be realized to create perfectly matched controlled and uncontrolled epidemics. We present an implementation of this method for a common class of compartmental models, and its application in a simple SIR model. Results illustrate how, at the cost of some computation time, this method substantially narrows confidence intervals and avoids non-sensical inferences.

epidemiology