Within-host infectious disease models accommodating cellular coinfection, with an application to influenza

Abstract

Within-host models are useful tools for understanding the processes regulating viral load dynamics. While existing models have considered a wide range of within-host processes, at their core these models have shown remarkable structural similarity. Specifically, the structure of these models generally consider target cells to be either uninfected or infected, with the possibility of accommodating further resolution (for example, cells that are refractory to infection and cells that are in an eclipse phase). Recent findings, however, indicate that cellular coinfection is the norm rather than the exception for many viral infectious diseases, and that cells with high multiplicity of infection are present over at least some duration of an infection. The reality of these cellular coinfection dynamics is not accommodated in current within-host models although it may be critical for understanding within-host dynamics. This is particularly the case if multiplicity of infection impacts infected cell phenotypes such as their death rate and their viral production rates. Here, we present a new class of within-host disease models that allow for cellular coinfection in a scalable manner by retaining the low-dimensionality that is a desirable feature of many current within-host models. The models we propose adopt the general structure of epidemiological macroparasite models that allow hosts to be variably infected by parasites such as nematodes and host phenotypes to flexibly depend on parasite burden. Specifically, our within-host models consider target cells as hosts and viral particles as macroparasites, and allow viral output and infected cell lifespans, among other phenotypes, to depend on a cells multiplicity of infection. We show with an application to influenza that these models can be statistically fit to viral load and other within-host data, that they can reproduce notable features of within-host viral dynamics, and that important in vivo quantities such as the mean multiplicity of cellular infection can be easily quantified with these models once parameterized. The within-host model structure we develop here provides an alternative approach for modeling within-host viral load dynamics and allows for a new class of questions to be addressed that consider the effects of cellular coinfection, collective viral interactions, and viral complementation in within-host viral dynamics and evolution.