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bioRxiv · 10.1101/321216

De novo mutations drive the spread of macrolide resistant Mycoplasma genitalium: mathematical modelling study

Cadosch, D.·Garcia, V.·Althaus, C. L.·Jensen, J. S.·Low, N.
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Abstract

BackgroundThe rapid spread of azithromycin resistance in sexually transmitted Mycoplasma genitalium infections is a growing concern. It is not yet clear to what degree macrolide resistance in M. genitalium results from the emergence of de novo mutations or the transmission of resistant strains.\n\nMethodsWe analyzed epidemiological data and developed a compartmental model to investigate the contribution of de novo macrolide resistance mutations to the spread of antimicrobial-resistant M. genitalium. We fitted the model to data from France, Denmark and Sweden and estimated treatment rates of infected individuals and the time point of azithromycin introduction.\n\nResultsWe found a high probability of de novo resistance (12%, 95% CI 8-17%), which is responsible for the observed rapid spread of antimicrobial resistant M. genitalium. The estimated per capita treatment rate in France was lower than in Denmark and Sweden but confidence intervals for the three estimates overlap. The estimated dates of introduction of azithromycin in each country are consistent with published reports.\n\nConclusionsSince de novo resistance is the main driver of macrolide resistance in M. genitalium, blind treatment of urethritis with azithromycin is not recommended. Clinical management strategies for M. genitalium should limit the unnecessary use of macrolides.

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Cadosch, D., Garcia, V., Althaus, C. L., Jensen, J. S., Low, N.. 2018-05-24. De novo mutations drive the spread of macrolide resistant Mycoplasma genitalium: mathematical modelling study. https://doi.org/10.1101/321216

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