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bioRxiv · 10.1101/2023.06.12.544580

Megafauna diversity and functional declines in Europe from the Last Interglacial (LIG) to the present

Davoli, M.·Monsarrat, S.·Pedersen, R.·Scussolini, P.·Karger, D. N.·Normand, S.·Svenning, J.-C.
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Abstract

Aim: to estimate European megafauna diversity and functional declines in the present compared to the nearest in time modern-analogue climate period prior to the worldwide diffusion of Homo sapiens. Location: Europe. Time period: Last Interglacial (LIG; ca. 127,000 years ago) to present. Major taxa studied: wild, large ([≥]10 kg) terrestrial mammals. Methods: we assessed the distribution of 48 European megafauna species during the LIG using hindcasting modelling and fossil records. Then, we estimated the decline in megafauna community diversity and potential trait-based functional effects from the LIG to the present, accounting for climate differences between the two periods. Results: from the LIG to the present, species richness and community biomass across Europe dropped by 74.3% ({+/-} 9.9% SD) and 96.7% ({+/-} 4.1% SD), respectively. Functional diversity dropped by 59.1% ({+/-} 11.8% SD) for herbivores and by 48.2% ({+/-} 25.0% SD) for carnivores, while trait-informed potential vegetation and meat consumptions dropped by 91.1% ({+/-} 7.4% SD) and 61.2% ({+/-} 17.2% SD), respectively. The loss in megafauna diversity and associated ecological processes were high everywhere, but particularly in western Europe for carnivores and in the East European Plain for herbivores. We found that potential megafauna richness and functional patterns in the two periods were near identical if only climate-driven differences were considered. Main conclusions: severe, size-biased defaunation has degraded megafauna assemblages and megafauna-mediated ecological processes across Europe from the LIG to the present. These patterns cannot be explained by climate differences between the two periods, thus were likely driven by the impact of prehistoric Homo sapiens. The results suggest that the structure of wild ecosystems of the present strongly deviates from the evolutionary norm, notably with decreased functional heterogeneity and decreased fluxes of biogeochemical compounds across the trophic networks, highlighting the importance of ambitious policies of megafauna community restoration to support ecosystems functioning.

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Davoli, M., Monsarrat, S., Pedersen, R., Scussolini, P., Karger, D. N., Normand, S., Svenning, J.-C.. 2023-06-13. Megafauna diversity and functional declines in Europe from the Last Interglacial (LIG) to the present. https://doi.org/10.1101/2023.06.12.544580

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