Learning transcriptional and regulatory dynamics driving cancer cell plasticity using neural ODE-based optimal transport

Abstract

While single-cell technologies provide snapshots of tumor states, building continuous trajectories and uncovering causative gene regulatory networks remains a significant challenge. We present Cflows, an AI framework that combines neural ODE networks with Granger causality to infer continuous cell state transitions and gene regulatory interactions from static scRNA-seq data. In a new 5-time point dataset capturing tumorsphere development over 30 days, Cflows reconstructs two types of trajectories leading to tumorsphere formation or apoptosis. Trajectory-based cell-of-origin analysis delineated a novel cancer stem cell profile characterized by CD44hiEPCAM+CAV1+, and uncovered a cell cycle-dependent enrichment of tumorsphere-initiating potential in G2/M or S-phase cells. Cflows uncovers ESRRA as a crucial causal driver of the tumor-forming gene regulatory network. Indeed, ESRRA inhibition significantly reduces tumor growth and metastasis in vivo. Cflows offers a powerful framework for uncovering cellular transitions and dynamic regulatory networks from static single-cell data.