Mathematical modeling suggests that a single Plasmodium-specific CD8 T cell can eliminate a malaria liver stage in mice

Abstract

Vaccination strategies in mice inducing high numbers of memory CD8+ T cells specific to a single epitope are able to provide sterilizing protection against infection with Plasmodium sporozoites. We have recently found that Plasmodium-specific CD8+ T cells cluster around sporozoite-infected hepatocytes but whether such clusters are important in elimination of the parasite remains incompletely understood. Here we used our previously generated data in which we employed intravital microscopy to longitudinally image 32 GFP-expressing Plasmodium yoelii parasites in livers of mice that had received activated Plasmodium-specific CD8+ T cells after sporozoite infection. We found significant heterogeneity in the dynamics of the normalized GFP signal from the parasites (termed "vitality index" or VI) that was weakly correlated with the number of T cells near the parasite. We also found that a simple model assuming mass-action, additive killing by T cells well describes the VI dynamics for most parasites and predicts a highly variable killing efficacy by individual T cells. Given our estimated median per capita kill rate of k = 0.031/h we predict that a single T cell is typically incapable to kill a parasite within the 48 hour lifespan of the liver stage in mice. Stochastic simulations of T cell clustering and killing of the liver stage also suggested that 1) three or more T cells per infected hepatocyte are required to ensure sterilizing protection; 2) both variability in killing efficacy of individual T cells and resistance to killing by individual parasites may contribute to the observed variability in VI decline, and 3) the stable VI of some clustered parasites cannot be explained by measurement noise. Taken together, our analysis for the first time provides estimates of efficiency at which individual CD8+ T cells eliminate intracellular parasitic infection in vivo.