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bioRxiv · 10.1101/2021.05.08.443193

Short-interval fires and vegetation change in southern California

Lucero, S. M.·Emery, N.·D'Antonio, C. M.
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Abstract

QuestionsIn southern California, shortened fire return intervals may contribute to a decrease in native chaparral shrub presence and an increase in non-native annual grass presence. To test the hypothesis that short-fire return intervals promote a loss in shrub cover, we examined the contribution of single short-interval fires and abiotic conditions on the change of shrub cover within Ventura and Los Angeles counties. Through evaluating pre- and post-fire historical aerial images, we answered the following questions, 1) How has vegetation type cover changed after repeat fires? and 2) What landscape variables contribute the most to the observed change? LocationVentura County and Los Angeles County, California, USA. MethodsWe assessed the impact of a single short-interval fire by comparing vegetation recovery in adjacent once- and twice-burned fire burn polygons (long- and short-interval respectively). Pixel plots were examined within each polygon and vegetation cover was classified to vegetation type. We determined the best predictor of vegetation type cover with a linear mixed effects model comparison using Akaike Information Criterion. ResultsPre-fire and post-fire community type cover was highly correlated. Burn interval was the best predictor of tree cover change (lower cover in twice-burned pixel plots). Aspect was the best predictor of sage scrub cover change (greater cover on north-facing aspects). Years since fire was the best predictor of chaparral cover change (positive correlation) and sage scrub cover change (negative correlation). Conversion of chaparral to sage scrub cover was more likely to occur than conversion of chaparral to annual grass cover. ConclusionsOur study did not find extensive evidence of a decrease in chaparral shrub cover due to a single short-interval fire. Instead, post-fire cover was highly correlated with pre-fire cover. Chaparral recovery, however, was dynamic suggesting that stand recovery may be strongly influenced by local scale conditions and processes.

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Lucero, S. M., Emery, N., D'Antonio, C. M.. 2021-05-10. Short-interval fires and vegetation change in southern California. https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.08.443193

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