Search bioRxiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/bioRxiv

bioRxiv · 10.1101/2020.07.29.227439

Polygenic Risk Scores Predict the Development of Alcohol and Nicotine Use Problems from Adolescence through Young Adulthood

Deak, J. D.·Clark, D. A.·Liu, M.·Durbin, C. E.·Iacono, W. G.·McGue, M.·Vrieze, S. I.·Hicks, B. M.
View original source ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

ObjectiveMolecular genetic studies of alcohol and nicotine have identified many genome-wide loci. We examined the predictive utility of drinking and smoking polygenic scores (PGS) for alcohol and nicotine use from late childhood to early adulthood, substance-specific versus broader-liability PGS effects, and if PGS performance varied between consumption versus pathological use. MethodsLatent growth curve models with structured residuals were used to assess the predictive utility of drinks per week and regular smoking PGS for measures of alcohol and nicotine consumption and problematic use from age 14 to 34. PGSs were generated from the largest discovery sample for alcohol and nicotine use to date (i.e., GSCAN), and examined for associations with alcohol and nicotine use in the Minnesota Twin Family Study (N=3225). ResultsThe drinking PGS was a significant predictor of age 14 problematic alcohol use and increases in problematic use during young adulthood. The smoking PGS was a significant predictor for all nicotine use outcomes. After adjusting for the effects of both PGSs, the smoking PGS demonstrated incremental predictive utility for most alcohol use outcomes and remained a significant predictor of nicotine use trajectories. ConclusionsHigher PGS for drinking and smoking were associated with more problematic levels of substance use longitudinally. The smoking PGS seems to capture both nicotine-specific and non-specific genetic liability for substance use, and may index genetic risk for broader externalizing behavior. Validation of PGS within longitudinal designs may have important clinical implications should future studies support the clinical utility of PGS for substance use disorders.

Source connections

Explore related subjects

geneticsPreprint

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Deak, J. D., Clark, D. A., Liu, M., Durbin, C. E., Iacono, W. G., McGue, M., Vrieze, S. I., Hicks, B. M.. 2020-07-30. Polygenic Risk Scores Predict the Development of Alcohol and Nicotine Use Problems from Adolescence through Young Adulthood. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.29.227439

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related preprints

bioRxiv2026

SARDINE unlocks EWAS summary statistics for large-scale epigenetic biomarker analysis

Epigenetic clocks are increasingly used to study biological aging, yet their interpretation and utility remain uncertain. Meanwhile, the growing wealth of epigenome-wide association study (EWAS) summary statistics remains largely untapped for evaluating these biomarkers. Here, we introduce SARDINE, a statistical framework that estimates epigenetic clock-phenotype associations using EWAS summary statistics, clock weights, and reference methylation covariance, without individual-level data. SARDINE accurately reproduced individual-level association estimates across 38 epigenetic biomarkers and four phenotypes in 15,677 individuals. Applying SARDINE to diverse EWAS datasets revealed substantial heterogeneity in biomarker associations with aging, diseases, and lifestyle factors. By transforming CpG-level EWAS results into interpretable biomarker-level associations, SARDINE unlocks a largely underutilized data resource and establishes a scalable paradigm for systematic biomarker evaluation and discovery in aging research.

genetics↗
bioRxiv2026

Deep transcriptomic analysis of molecular mediators of complex traits in heterogeneous stock (HS) rats

Rats are a powerful model organism for genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of physiological and behavioral traits. Heterogeneous Stock (HS) rats, which were created by intercrossing 8 inbred rat strains, are heavily used for this purpose because of their genetic diversity and accumulated recombinations due to over 100 generations of outbreeding, which improves mapping precision. However, functional genomics resources for post-GWAS interpretation of genomic findings have been limited. We processed 3,160 RNA-seq samples, 1,932 of which were previously unpublished, from 13 tissues as part of RatGTEx. We used Pantry to quantify six modalities of transcriptome regulation (expression, isoform ratio, intron excision ratio, alternative transcription start site (TSS), alternative poly(A), and RNA stability) in each sample, which allowed us to identify 144,876 independent quantitative trait loci (QTL) for 22,599 genes. We performed a transcriptome-wide association study (TWAS) with 19,796 unique genes across tissues and transcriptional modalities and 308 traits collected from 14 studies using FUSION, which identified 7,473 significant gene-trait associations. This work presents a significant expansion of the RatGTEx resource in terms of samples, modes of transcriptome regulation, and genetic analyses. Our findings provide molecular evidence for the involvement of specific genes in mediating GWAS signals through a range of transcriptome regulatory mechanisms. These gene-to-phenotype relationships can be easily applied to genetic analyses in humans and other species. Further experiments can use this evidence to confirm these molecular mediators and target them for the treatment of behavioral and physiological traits and disorders. To facilitate use of these results, we have updated results on RatGTEx.org and provided a new interactive TWAS web portal (twas.ratgtex.org).

genetics↗
bioRxiv2026

Genomic and Epigenomic Relationships Capture Different Patterns of Genotype-by-Environment Interaction in Grapevine Clones

Genotype-by-environment interaction (GEI) challenges selection in clonally propagated perennial crops by reducing the consistency of clone performance across years. In perennial crops, both genetic and epigenetic variation are likely to contribute to complex trait variation among clones. However, the extent to which each molecular source contribute to GEI remains poorly understood. Here, we used UMR-seq, an assay that recovers SNPs and unmethylated-region (UMR; DNA methylation) profiles from a single library, to generate paired genomic and epigenomic profiles for 206 Riesling (Vitis vinifera L.) clones phenotyped for yield and juice quality traits across nine growing seasons. We then partitioned the contribution of each omic layer to clonal variation and GEI, and examined the genomic distribution of their effects. In models without explicit GEI, environmental and residual effects were the largest source of phenotypic variance and the clonal main effect was modest. Genomic relationships accounted for most of the clonal variance in four of five traits, and adding an epigenomic relationship matrix (ERM) to the genomic relationship matrix (GRM) had little effect. In contrast, when GEI effects were modelled using factor-analytic covariance structures, the epigenomic layer captured a substantial proportion of GEI variance and exceeded the genomic contribution in four of five traits. The two omic layers differed not only in the amount of GEI captured, but also in the pattern of clone re-ranking across years. When back-solved effects were aggregated into genomic windows, the largest genomic and epigenomic effects tended to fall in different regions, with overlap no greater than expected by chance. Together, these results show that genomic and epigenomic relationships capture complementary components of year-to-year variation in clone performance, with the epigenomic contribution expressed primarily through GEI. These findings provide a basis for investigating the molecular drivers of GEI and for testing whether genomic and epigenomic information can inform selection for stable clonal performance across variable environments.

genetics↗