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Biology subjects

van Voorn, G.

Publications and source records attributed to van Voorn, G..

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Physics-Informed Neural Network Methods for Predicting Plant Height Development

Plant growth is a dynamic process affected by genes and growing environment, with all kinds of interactions between them. These complex relationships make the prediction of plant growth challenging. We propose a hybrid modelling framework that combines a logistic ordinary differential equation model with a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network, resulting in a Physics Informed Neural Network (PINN). While PINNs have been widely applied to physical dynamical systems, their use in modelling the dynamics of plant growth systems is still largely unexplored. We illustrate the construction of a PINN on plant height data in wheat and compare its performance with alternative models for longitudinal plant data. All temporal prediction models only require time and temperature as input. Among a set of competing models, our PINN had the lowest average root mean squared error (RMSE) of prediction and the smallest standard deviation across multiple random initialisations. Therefore, we conclude that incorporating biological growth constraints into data-driven growth models can enhance prediction accuracy of longitudinal plant traits. HighlightsO_LIIntegrating plant growth equations into a temporal neural network improves plant height growth prediction over ordinary differential equations and machine learning models, especially when training data are limited. C_LI

plant biology↗

Consequences of alternative stable states for short-term model-based control of cyanobacterial blooms

Cyanobacteria can form dense blooms in eutrophic lakes that can be toxic to humans and other animals and harmful to the ecosystems functioning. While better nutrient management is generally considered the long-term solution to this problem, short-term mitigation efforts (e.g., flushing, algaecides, flocculants) are becoming increasingly necessary to safeguard water quality and the ecosystem services it provides. Here, we explore potential model-based management strategies for these short-term mitigation efforts. We focus on the case where blooms are linked to the existence of alternative stable states, such that, under the same conditions but depending on the past, a lake may be dominated either by cyanobacteria (causing a harmful algal bloom) or by green algae and macrophytes in a clear water state. Changing conditions may cause the favourable clear water state to disappear through a tipping point, causing the lake to switch rapidly to the turbid cyanobacteria state. At the same time, it may take considerable effort to undo this tipping and return to the favourable state. We identify four different strategies for bloom mitigation in this scenario: Doing nothing, reacting to a bloom, resetting the lake at a later point, and preventing the bloom. We explore the different requirements for these strategies along with their associated cost profiles. We also investigate the effect of transition times from one state to another on the efficacy and costs of different strategies.

ecology↗