de Nascimento, L. | Search bioRxiv

bioRxiv2026

Global failure to track international biodiversity targets on islands

Islands harbour exceptional biodiversity but face severe threats, making their conservation crucial to achieving the goals and targets of the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework. We therefore evaluated whether existing indicators can track progress toward the Framework's 23 targets across islands worldwide. We screened 504 biodiversity and socioeconomic indicators from the official framework and other global initiatives, retaining 47 indicators. Historical time series from 1950 onward were modelled and projected to 2030. Indicators were also classified using the Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR) and Theory of Change (ToC). Results showed uneven progress: eight targets improved across all available indicators, while ten displayed conflicting trends. Nearly half of the indicators focused on policy and management responses showed improvement, whereas trends in biodiversity pressures and states were mixed. Critically, 15 of 23 targets (65%) lacked a suitable headline indicator, and five targets had no indicator at all. Notably, Targets 2 and 8, addressing ecosystem restoration and climate change impacts, respectively, lacked island indicators entirely. Over half of the available indicators (29 of 47; 62%) were reported at the national level, limiting their applicability to subnational island jurisdictions and potentially obscuring differences between mainland and island conditions. Most targets also lacked quantitative objectives, limiting evaluation of whether the rate of change is sufficient to meet the targets by 2030. We recommend island-level reporting, island-specific indicators, and quantitative benchmarks tailored to island needs.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2020

Multiple origins of insular woodiness on the Canary Islands are consistent with palaeoclimatic aridification

AimInsular woodiness, referring to the evolutionary transition from herbaceousness towards woodiness on islands, has arisen at least 38 times on the Canary Islands. Distribution patterns and physiological experiments have suggested a link between insular woodiness and increased drought stress resistance in current-day species, but we do not know in which palaeoclimatic conditions these insular woody lineages originated. Therefore, we estimated the timing of colonisation events and origin of woodiness of multiple Canary Island lineages and reviewed the palaeoclimate based on literature. LocationCanary Islands (Spain). Taxon37 lineages, including 24 insular woody and 13 non-insular woody (i.e. herbaceous, ancestrally woody, and derived woody). MethodsTo enable a simultaneous dating analysis for all 37 lineages, two chloroplast markers (matK and rbcL) for 135 Canary Island species and 103 closely related continental relatives were sequenced and aligned to an existing matK-rbcL dataset including ca 24,000 species that was calibrated with 42 fossils from outside the Canaries. After constraining the species to the family level, 200 RAxML runs were performed and dated with TreePL. ResultsWoodiness in 80-90% of the insular woody lineages originated within the last 7 Myr, coinciding with the onset of major aridification events nearby the Canaries (start of north African desertification, followed by Messinian salinity crisis); in ca 55-65% of the insular woody lineages studied, woodiness developed within the last 3.2 Myr during which Mediterranean seasonality (yearly summer droughts) became established on the Canaries, followed by dry Pleistocene glacial fluctuations. Main conclusionsAlthough details of the initial colonisation and settlement of many island plant lineages remain elusive, our results are consistent with palaeodrought as a potential driver for woodiness in most of the insular woody Canary Island lineages studied.

evolutionary biology↗