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Zelnik, Y. R.

Publications and source records attributed to Zelnik, Y. R..

5 recordsLinked to original sources

Savanna-forest dynamics: Encroachment speed, model inference and spatial simulations

1Forest encroachment over savannas has been recurrently reported in the tropics over the last decades, especially in northern tropical Africa. However, process-based, spatially-explicit modelling of the phenomenon is still trailing broad scale empirical observations. In this paper, we used remotely-sensed diachronic data from Central Cameroon to calibrate a simple reaction-diffusion model, embodying dynamical interactions between grass and woody biomasses in the savanna biome. Landsat satellite image series over the Mpem and Djim National Park witnessed a dramatic extension of forest over the last five decades and our estimates of forest front speeds based on randomly sampled transects indeed yielded higher values (5-7 meters per year) than in the existing literature. We used simulations of the model to provide the first hitherto estimates of woody biomass dispersal coefficients. Since the region under study did not provide examples of savanna progression, estimates of grass dispersal proved inconsistent and we reverted to literature-based historical data to reach rough estimates. This paper demonstrates that broad scale remote sensing data allows for calibrating simple reaction-diffusion models of vegetation dynamics in the savanna biome. Once calibrated, such models become a general baseline of expected changes and a valuable tool to understand how spatial environmental factors (e.g., soil substrate) may locally modulate the overall dynamics.

ecology↗

Primary productivity in subsidized green-brown food webs

1Ecosystems worldwide receive large amounts of nutrients from both natural processes and human activities. While direct subsidy effects on primary productivity are relatively well known (the green food web), the indirect effects of subsidies on producers as mediated by the brown food web and predators have been neglected. With a dynamical green-brown food web model, parameterized using empirical estimates from the literature, we illustrate the effect of nutrient subsidies on net primary productivity (i.e., after removing loss to herbivory) in two generic ecosystems, terrestrial and aquatic. We find that nutrient subsidies increase net primary productivity because more nutrients are available, but this effect saturates with higher subsidies. Changing the quality of subsidies from inorganic to organic tends to increase net primary productivity in terrestrial ecosystems, but less often so in aquatic ecosystems. This occurs when organic nutrient inputs promote detritivores in the brown food web, and hence predators that in turn control herbivores, thus promoting primary productivity. This previously largely overlooked effect is further enhanced by ecosystem properties such as fast decomposition and low rates of nutrient additions, and demonstrates the importance of nutrient subsidy quality on ecosystem functioning.

ecology↗

Linking intrinsic scales of ecological processes to characteristic scales of biodiversity and functioning patterns

Ecology is a science of scale, which guides our description of both ecological processes and patterns, but we lack a systematic understanding of how process scale and pattern scale are connected. Recent calls for a synthesis between population ecology, community ecology, and ecosystem ecology motivate the integration of phenomena at multiple levels of organization. Furthermore, many studies leave out the scaling of a critical process: species interactions, which may be non-local through movement or foraging and must be distinguished from dispersal scales. Here, we use simulations to explore the consequences of three different process scales (species interactions, dispersal, and the environment) on emergent patterns of biodiversity, ecosystem functioning, and their relationship, in a spatially-explicit landscape and stable equilibrium setting. A major result of our study is that the spatial scales of dispersal and species interactions have opposite effects: a larger dispersal scale homogenizes spatial biomass patterns, while a larger interaction scale amplifies their heterogeneity. Interestingly, the specific scale at which dispersal and interaction scales begin to influence landscape patterns depends on the scale of environmental heterogeneity - in other words, the scale of one process allows important scales to emerge in other processes. This interplay between process scales, i.e., a situation where no single process dominates, can only occur when the environment is heterogeneous and the scale of dispersal small. Finally, contrary to our expectations, we observe that the spatial scale of ecological processes is more clearly reflected in landscape patterns (i.e., distribution of local outcomes) than in global patterns such as Species-Area Relationships or large-scale biodiversity-functioning relationships. Overall we conclude that long-range interactions often act differently and even in opposite ways to dispersal, and that the landscape patterns that emerge from the interplay of long-ranged interactions, dispersal and environmental heterogeneity are not well captured by often-used metrics like the Species-Area Relationship.

ecology↗

Scaling up biodiversity ecosystem functioning relationships: the role of environmental variability in space and time

The biodiversity and ecosystem functioning (BEF) relationship is expected to be scale-dependent. The autocorrelation of environmental heterogeneity is hypothesized to explain this scale dependence because it influences how quickly biodiversity accumulates over space or time. However, this link has yet to be demonstrated in a formal model. Here we use a Lotka-Volterra competition model to simulate community dynamics when environmental conditions vary across either space or time. Species differ in their optimal environmental conditions, which results in turnover in community composition. We vary biodiversity by modelling communities with different sized regional species pools and ask how the amount of biomass per unit area depends on the number of species present, and the spatial or temporal scale at which it is measured. We find that more biodiversity is required to maintain functioning at larger temporal and spatial scales. The number of species required increases quickly when environmental autocorrelation is low, and slowly when autocorrelation is high. Both spatial and temporal environmental heterogeneity led to scale dependence in BEF, but autocorrelation had larger impacts when environmental change was temporal. These findings show how the biodiversity required to maintain functioning is expected to increase over space and time.

ecology↗

The three regimes of spatial recovery

An enduring challenge for ecology is identifying the drivers of ecosystem and population stability. In a spatially explicit context, key features to consider are landscape spatial structure, local interactions, and dispersal. Substantial work has been done on each of these features as a driver of stability, but little is known on the interplay between them. Missing has been a more integrative approach, able to map and identify different dynamical regimes, and thus to predict a systems response to perturbations. Here we first consider a simple scenario, i.e. the recovery of a homogeneous metapopulation from a single localized pulse disturbance. The analysis of this scenario reveals three fundamental recovery regimes: Isolated Regime when dispersal is not significant, Rescue Regime when dispersal mediates recovery, and Mixing Regime when perturbations spread throughout the system. Despite its simplicity, our approach leads to remarkably general predictions. These include the qualitatively different outcomes of various scenarios of habitat fragmentation, the surprising benefits of local extinctions on population persistence at the transition between regimes, and the productivity shifts of metacommunities in a changing environment. This study thus provides context to known results and insight into future directions of research.

ecology↗