Biology subjects

Worthington, T. A.

Publications and source records attributed to Worthington, T. A..

7 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2024

Analysing drivers of worldwide tidal wetland change

Tidal wetlands are dynamic coastal ecosystems that can change in extent in response to a broad range of change drivers. We use high spatial resolution satellite imagery to estimate the relative influence of 18 classes of change drivers on observed tidal wetland gains and losses from 1999 to 2019, differentiating direct drivers as those observable at the site of ecosystem change, and indirect drivers as broader processes that influence changes without being directly visible. We developed a random sample of 2823 change detections from a global dataset of tidal wetland change and allocated each change event to driver classes using high-resolution time-series imagery. We identified that indirect drivers were the most widespread type of driver of tidal wetland change (70.9%), with flooding being the predominant driver for losses (47.5%) and unknown natural processes of change for gains (62.7%). Drivers often associated with climate change were evident in interpretations of wetland drivers, with increases in flooded area and reductions in vegetation cover suggesting the effects of relative sea level rise on tidal wetlands are observable in many areas. Our temporal analysis revealed that over 20 years, indirect drivers consistently contributed to larger proportions of gains and losses compared to direct drivers. Asia was the only continent where direct drivers of loss, such as agriculture (22.9%) and aquaculture (17.1%), outweighed indirect drivers, providing further evidence of the widespread transformation of Asias natural coastal ecosystems to anthropogenic shorelines. Globally, coastal land reclamations were mostly observed in mangrove ecosystems, where more than half of the observed losses were of anthropogenic origin. The most observed direct drivers of gains were altered land management and restoration, but none of them contributed to more than 5% of the total gains over 20 years. Our findings suggest a need for efficient conservation measures that allow the dynamic processes that characterise coastal ecosystems to persist, while simultaneously reducing the worldwide impact of direct human activities.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2024

The global fish and invertebrate abundance value of mangroves

Mangroves are a critical coastal habitat that provides a suite of ecosystem services and supports livelihoods. We undertake the first global analysis to estimate density and abundance of 37 commercially important fish and invertebrates that are known to extensively use mangroves. Geomorphic mangrove type, sea surface salinity and temperature, and length of mangrove forest edge were important in predicting the density of commercial fish and invertebrates, with deltaic systems supporting the highest densities. The model predicted high densities throughout parts of southeast Asia, the northern coast of South America, the Red Sea, and the Caribbean and Central America. Application of our model onto the global mangrove extent, estimates that mangroves support the annual abundance of nearly 800 billion young-of-year fish and invertebrates contained in our model. Our results confirm the critical role of mangroves globally in supporting fish and fisheries, and further builds the case for their conservation and restoration.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2024

Soil carbon in the world's tidal marshes

Tidal marshes are threatened coastal ecosystems known for their capacity to store large amounts of carbon in their water-logged soils. Accurate quantification and mapping of global tidal marshes soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks is of considerable value to conservation efforts. Here, we used training data from 3,710 unique locations, landscape-level environmental drivers and a newly developed global tidal marsh extent map to produce the first global, spatially-explicit map of SOC storage in tidal marshes at 30 m resolution. We estimate the total global SOC stock to 1 m to be 1.44 Pg C, with a third of this value stored in the United States of America. On average, SOC in tidal marshes 0-30 and 30-100 cm soil layers are estimated at 83.1 Mg C ha-1 (average predicted error 44.8 Mg C ha-1) and 185.3 Mg C ha-1 (average predicted error 105.7 Mg C ha-1), respectively. Our spatially-explicit model is able to capture 59% of the variability in SOC density, with elevation being the strongest driver aside from soil depth. Our study reveals regions with high prediction uncertainty and therefore highlights the need for more targeted sampling to fully capture SOC spatial variability.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2023

The distribution of global tidal marshes from earth observation data

AimTidal marsh ecosystems are heavily impacted by human activities, highlighting a pressing need to address gaps in our knowledge of their distribution. To better understand the global distribution and changes in tidal marsh extent, and identify opportunities for their conservation and restoration, it is critical to develop a spatial knowledge base of their global occurrence. Here, we develop a globally consistent tidal marsh distribution map for the year 2020 at 10-m resolution. LocationGlobal Time period2020 Major taxa studiedTidal marshes MethodsTo map the location of the worlds tidal marshes we applied a random forest classification model to earth observation data from the year 2020. We trained the classification model with a reference dataset developed to support distribution mapping of coastal ecosystems, and predicted the spatial distribution of tidal marshes between 60{degrees}N to 60{degrees}S. We validated the tidal marsh map using standard accuracy assessment methods, with our final map having an overall accuracy score of 0.852. ResultsWe estimate the global extent of tidal marshes in 2020 to be 52,880 km2 (95% CI: 32,030 to 59,780 km2) distributed across 120 countries and territories. Tidal marsh distribution is centred in temperate and Arctic regions, with nearly half of the global extent of tidal marshes occurring in the temperate Northern Atlantic (45%) region. At the national scale, over a third of the global extent (18,510 km2; CI: 11,200 - 20,900) occurs within the USA. Main conclusionsOur analysis provides the most detailed spatial data on global tidal marsh distribution to date and shows that tidal marshes occur in more countries and across a greater proportion of the worlds coastline than previous mapping studies. Our map fills a major knowledge gap regarding the distribution of the worlds coastal ecosystems and provides the baseline needed for measuring changes in tidal marsh extent and estimating their value in terms of ecosystem services

ecology↗

bioRxiv2020

Myanmar's terrestrial ecosystems: status, threats and conservation opportunities

Myanmar is highly biodiverse, with more than 16,000 plant, 314 mammal, 1131 bird, 293 reptile, and 139 amphibian species. Supporting this biodiversity is a variety of natural ecosystems--mostly undescribed--including tropical and subtropical forests, savannas, seasonally inundated wetlands, extensive shoreline and tidal systems, and alpine ecosystems. Although Myanmar contains some of the largest intact natural ecosystems in Southeast Asia, remaining ecosystems are under threat from accelerating land use intensification and over-exploitation. In this period of rapid change, a systematic risk assessment is urgently needed to estimate the extent and magnitude of human impacts and identify ecosystems most at risk to help guide strategic conservation action. Here we provide the first comprehensive conservation assessment of Myanmars natural terrestrial ecosystems using the IUCN Red List of Ecosystems categories and criteria. We identified 64 ecosystem types for the assessment, and used models of ecosystem distributions and syntheses of existing data to estimate declines in distribution, range size, and functioning of each ecosystem. We found that more than a third (36.9%) of Myanmars area has been converted to anthropogenic ecosystems over the last 2-3 centuries, leaving nearly half of Myanmars ecosystems threatened (29 of 64 ecosystems). A quarter of Myanmars ecosystems were identified as Data Deficient, reflecting a paucity of studies and an urgency for future research. Our results show that, with nearly two-thirds of Myanmar still covered in natural ecosystems, there is a crucial opportunity to develop a comprehensive protected area network that sufficiently represents Myanmars terrestrial ecosystem diversity.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

Insights from two decades of the Student Conference on Conservation Science

Conservation science is a crisis-oriented discipline focused on delivering robust answers to reducing human impacts on nature. To explore how the field might have changed during the past two decades, we analyzed 3,245 applications for oral presentations submitted to the Student Conference on Conservation Science (SCCS) in Cambridge, UK. SCCS has been running every year since 2000, aims for global representation by providing bursaries to early-career conservationists from lower-income countries, and has never had a thematic focus, beyond conservation in the broadest sense. We found that the majority of submissions to SCCS were based on primary biological data collection from local scale field studies in the tropics, contrary to established literature which highlights gaps in tropical research. Our results showed a small increase over time in submissions framed around how nature benefits people as well as a small increase in submissions integrating social science. Our findings also suggest that students and early-career conservationists could provide pathways to increased availability of data from the tropics and for addressing well-known biases in the published literature towards wealthier countries. We hope this research will motivate efforts to support student projects, ensuring data and results are published and made publicly available.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

Recreational fisheries as a driver of salmonid population conservation

O_LIThe need to monitor and protect biodiversity has never been greater, yet resources are often constrained economically. The ecosystem service paradigm could promote nature conservation while sustaining economic activity and other societal benefits, but most efforts to assess biodiversity-ecosystem service (B-ES) links have focused on diversity measures, with little attention on how species abundance relates to the magnitude of ES provision.\nC_LIO_LIHere, we utilised four national scale, multi-decadal, Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) datasets to investigate links between juvenile density, the abundance of returning adults, and two measures of recreational angling provision: rod catches and angling effort.\nC_LIO_LIRecreational rod catches only tracked juvenile density and returning adult numbers in catchments where juvenile and adult numbers were decreasing, implying important early-warning of ES decline. In contrast, angling effort declined consistently through time.\nC_LIO_LISynthesis and applications. These data illustrate i) the difficulty in measuring ES in ways that explicitly relate human resource use to nature conservation, and ii) the need for better quantification of populations at all life stages that determine ES provision, particularly in species where long-distance movements bring exposure to multiple global pressures. We suggest additional opportunities (e.g., monitoring of smolts, eDNA and citizen science initiatives) to facilitate conservation efforts and increase capacity to monitor ecosystem service sustainability.\nC_LI

ecology↗