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Biology subjects

Washburn, J. D.

Publications and source records attributed to Washburn, J. D..

12 recordsLinked to original sources

A breeder in the sky: scoring flowering with fewer flights

Flowering time is a trait of broad interest and importance to both plant breeders and plant biologists. Unlike many other traits, flowering time cannot be scored accurately from a single observation; its measurement requires repeated observations of the same experiments over time. Both classification- and object-detection-based approaches have demonstrated the potential to estimate flowering time from Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) imagery rather than by manual observation, but they still require data collection at many time points. Here, we train and deploy a regression-based framework for scoring flowering time. Using a dataset of more than 200,000 UAV images and associated flowering-time records collected across 27 environments, we demonstrate that this approach enables the prediction of flowering time from as few as one observation per field experiment and successfully generalizes to field experiments in environments not represented in the training dataset. These results indicate that regression-based approaches for predicting flowering time from sparse UAV observations have the potential to substantially reduce the data-collection burden in field experiments

plant biology↗

An open field phenomics resource for multimodal maize yield prediction across divergent environments

Temporal drone phenotyping captures crop development, but irregular flight schedules complicate comparisons across environments. We release curated imagery from 356 flights across 19 Genomes to Fields environments containing 1,180 maize (Zea mays L.) hybrids. To evaluate its utility, we integrated functional principal components of vegetation index and weather trajectories with genomic information. Combinined genomic and phenomic kernels improved yield prediction, reaching correlations up to r = 0.501 for held-out hybrids in environments represented in training and 0.408 when environments were also withheld. Accumulated growing degree days offered no consistent predictive advantage over days after planting, and weather contributed modest, task-dependent gains. A transformer neural process learned directly from irregular observations, serving as a novel application of neural process models in agriculture. Mapping vegetation index functional principal components identified recurrent quantitative trait loci on chromosomes 3 and 7. This resource and its reproducible analyses guide the use of temporal spectral data for crop prediction and genetic discovery.

plant biology↗

Cis-regulatory variation and transcription factor binding contribute to allelic genotype-by-environment interactions for gene expression in maize

Genotype-by-environment interactions (GxE), or differences in how genotypes perform across varying environments, are a pervasive source of phenotypic variation and underlie differences in local adaptation. Though GxE is well characterized across kingdoms of life, less is known about what causes GxE interactions, particularly at the molecular level. In this study, we use allele-specific gene expression estimates in a maize (Zea mays L.) B73 x Mo17 hybrid to isolate cis-regulatory effects on gene expression for each of the two parental alleles. The hybrid was grown in two environments, and expression differences between the parental alleles were used to characterize allele-by-environment (AxE) interactions and study the influence of gene-proximal sequence variation on transcript abundance AxE. We tested the hypothesis that gene-proximal sequence variation can cause GxE in gene expression by modifying transcription factor binding. Our results show that sequence variation in gene promoter regions has a small but consistent enrichment in genes that show transcriptional AxE. Further, we demonstrate that differential transcription factor binding potential caused by sequence variation is also enriched in AxE genes. Predictive models trained on sequence and transcription factor binding variation show that while these features contain some information about whether a gene will show transcriptional AxE, they alone are not sufficient to reliably distinguish AxE genes. These findings support the hypothesis that gene expression GxE can be caused by sequence variation that modifies transcription factor binding, while also reinforcing the complex and context-specific nature of GxE interactions.

genomics↗

Drone-Based Identification of Flood-Tolerant Maize via Multispectral Imaging: A Real-World Case Study

Excess moisture (flooding, water logging, etc.) is a major source of crop damage causing catastrophic monetary losses to farmers around the world. Losses from excess water are often more common and costly than those from too little water (i.e., drought). Extreme weather patterns are predicted to increase, increasing the expected frequency of excess moisture events to farmers across the Midwest. Despite its importance, studying the impacts of flooding in the field is challenging due to unpredictability of flooding and fields being rendered inaccessible during flooding. Here, we took advantage of a natural flood experiment to examine the responses, damage, and recovery of diverse maize hybrids. Using drones, we monitored the hybrids before, during, and after flooding and examined the spatial and genetic components associated with post-flood survival.

plant biology↗

Global Genotype by Environment Prediction Competition Reveals That Diverse Modeling Strategies Can Deliver Satisfactory Maize Yield Estimates

Predicting phenotypes from a combination of genetic and environmental factors is a grand challenge of modern biology. Slight improvements in this area have the potential to save lives, improve food and fuel security, permit better care of the planet, and create other positive outcomes. In 2022 and 2023 the first open-to-the-public Genomes to Fields (G2F) initiative Genotype by Environment (GxE) prediction competition was held using a large dataset including genomic variation, phenotype and weather measurements and field management notes, gathered by the project over nine years. The competition attracted registrants from around the world with representation from academic, government, industry, and non-profit institutions as well as unaffiliated. These participants came from diverse disciplines include plant science, animal science, breeding, statistics, computational biology and others. Some participants had no formal genetics or plant-related training, and some were just beginning their graduate education. The teams applied varied methods and strategies, providing a wealth of modeling knowledge based on a common dataset. The winners strategy involved two models combining machine learning and traditional breeding tools: one model emphasized environment using features extracted by Random Forest, Ridge Regression and Least-squares, and one focused on genetics. Other high-performing teams methods included quantitative genetics, classical machine learning/deep learning, mechanistic models, and model ensembles. The dataset factors used, such as genetics; weather; and management data, were also diverse, demonstrating that no single model or strategy is far superior to all others within the context of this competition.

genetics↗

Ensemble of BLUP, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning Models Predict Maize Yield Better Than Each Model Alone.

Predicting phenotypes accurately from genomic, environment, and management factors is key to accelerating the development of novel cultivars with desirable traits. Inclusion of management and environmental factors enables in silico studies to predict the effect of specific management interventions or future climates. Despite the value such models would confer, much work remains to improve the accuracy of phenotypic predictions. Rather than advocate for a single specific modeling strategy, here we demonstrate within large multi-environment and multi-genotype maize trials that combining predictions from disparate models using simple ensemble approaches most often results in better accuracy than using any one of the models on their own. We investigated various ensemble combinations of different model types, model numbers, and model weighting schemes to determine the accuracy of each. We find that ensembling generally improves performance even when combining only two models. The number and type of models included alter accuracy with improvements diminishing as the number of models included increases. Using a genetic algorithm to optimize ensemble composition reveals that, when weighted by the inverse of each models expected error, using combinations of best linear unbiased predictors, linear fixed effects models, deep learning models, and select machine learning models perform best on our datasets.

plant biology↗

Yield Prediction Through Integration of Genetic, Environment, and Management Data Through Deep Learning

Accurate prediction of the phenotypic outcomes produced by different combinations of genotypes, environments, and management interventions remains a key goal in biology with direct applications to agriculture, research, and conservation. The past decades have seen an expansion of new methods applied towards this goal. Here we predict maize yield using deep neural networks, compare the efficacy of two model development methods, and contextualize model performance using linear models, which are the conventional method for this task, and machine learning models We examine the usefulness of incorporating interactions between disparate data types. We find a deep learning model with interactions has the best average performance. Optimizing submodules for each datatype improved model performance relative to optimizing the whole model for all data types at once. Examining the effect of interactions in the best performing model revealed that including interactions altered the models sensitivity to weather and management features, including a reduction of the importance scores for timepoints expected to have limited physiological basis for influencing yield - those at the extreme end of the season, nearly 200 days post planting. Based on these results, deep learning provides a promising avenue for phenotypic prediction of complex traits in complex environments and a potential mechanism to better understand the influence of environmental and genetic factors.

plant biology↗

Trait Association and Prediction Through Integrative K-mer Analysis

Genome-wide association study (GWAS) with single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) has been widely used to explore genetic controls of phenotypic traits. Here we employed an GWAS approach using k-mers, short substrings from sequencing reads. Using maize cob and kernel color traits, we demonstrated that k-mer GWAS can effectively identify associated k-mers. Co-expression analysis of kernel color k-mers and pathway genes directly found k-mers from causal genes. Analyzing complex traits of kernel oil and leaf angle resulted in k-mers from both known and candidate genes. Evolution analysis revealed most k-mers positively correlated with kernel oil were strongly selected against in maize populations, while most k-mers for upright leaf angle were positively selected. In addition, phenotypic prediction of kernel oil, leaf angle, and flowering time using k-mer data showed at least a similarly high prediction accuracy to the standard SNP-based method. Collectively, our results demonstrated the bridging role of k-mers for data integration and functional gene discovery.

genetics↗

Predicting phenotypes from genetic, environment, management, and historical data using CNNs

Predicting phenotypes from genetic (G), environmental (E), and management (M) conditions is a long-standing challenge with implications to agriculture, medicine, and conservation. Most methods reduce the factors in a dataset (feature engineering) in a subjective and potentially oversimplified manner. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) can overcome this by allowing the data itself to determine which factors are most important. CNN models were developed for predicting agronomic yield from a combination of replicated trials and historical yield survey data. The results were more accurate than standard methods when tested on heldout G, E, and M data (r=0.5 vs r=0.4), and performed slightly worse than standard methods when only G was held out (r=0.74 vs r=0.78). Pre-training on historical data increased accuracy by 1-36% compared to trial data alone. Saliency map analysis indicated the CNN has "learned" to prioritize many factors of known agricultural importance.

plant biology↗

Phylogeny and Multiple Independent Whole-Genome Duplication Events in the Brassicales

Whole-genome duplications (WGDs) are prevalent throughout the evolutionary history of plants. For example, dozens of WGDs have been phylogenetically localized across the order Brassicales, specifically, within the family Brassicaceae. However, while its sister family, Cleomaceae, has also been characterized by a WGD, its placement, as well as that of other WGD events in other families in the order, remains unclear. Using phylo-transcriptomics from 74 taxa and genome survey sequencing for 66 of those taxa, we infer nuclear and chloroplast phylogenies to assess relationships among the major families of the Brassicales and within the Brassicaceae. We then use multiple methods of WGD inference to assess placement of WGD events. We not only present well-supported chloroplast and nuclear phylogenies for the Brassicales, but we also putatively place Th- and provide evidence for previously unknown events, including one shared by at least two members of the Resedaceae, which we name Rs-. Given its economic importance and many genomic resources, the Brassicales are an ideal group to continue assessing WGD inference methods. We add to the current conversation on WGD inference difficulties, by demonstrating that sampling is especially important for WGD identification.

evolutionary biology↗

Evolutionarily informed deep learning methods: Predicting transcript abundance from DNA sequence

Deep learning methodologies have revolutionized prediction in many fields, and show potential to do the same in molecular biology and genetics. However, applying these methods in their current forms ignores evolutionary dependencies within biological systems and can result in false positives and spurious conclusions. We developed two novel approaches that account for evolutionary relatedness in machine learning models: 1) gene-family guided splitting, and 2) ortholog contrasts. The first approach accounts for evolution by constraining the models training and testing sets to include different gene families. The second, uses evolutionarily informed comparisons between orthologous genes to both control for and leverage evolutionary divergence during the training process. The two approaches were explored and validated within the context of mRNA expression level prediction, and have prediction auROC values ranging from 0.72 to 0.94. Model weight inspections showed biologically interpretable patterns, resulting in the novel hypothesis that the 3 UTR is more important for fine tuning mRNA abundance levels while the 5 UTR is more important for large scale changes.

molecular biology↗

Ancestral Reconstruction and C3 Bundle Sheath Transcript Abundance in the Paniceae Grasses Indicate the Foundations for all Three Biochemical C4 Sub-Types Were Likely Present in the Most Recent Ancestor

In C4 plants, the enzymatic machinery underpinning photosynthesis can vary, with, for example, three distinct C4 acid decarboxylases being used to release CO2 in the vicinity of RuBisCO. For decades, these decarboxylases have been used to classify C4 species into three biochemical sub-types. However, more recently the notion that C4 species mix and match C4 acid decarboxylases has increased in popularity and, as a consequence, the validity of specific biochemical sub-types has been questioned. Using five species from the grass tribe Paniceae, we show that, while in some species transcripts encoding multiple C4 acid decarboxylases accumulate, in others, transcript abundance and enzyme activity is almost entirely from one decarboxylase. In addition, the development of a bundle sheath isolation procedure for a close C3 species in the Paniceae enables the preliminary exploration of C4 sub-type evolution.

plant biology↗