Sullivan, J. | Search bioRxiv

bioRxiv2018

Impending regeneration failure of the IUCN Vulnerable Borneo ironwood (Eusideroxylon zwageri)

The regeneration of many climax species in tropical forest critically depends on adequate seed dispersal and seedling establishment. Here we report the decreased abundance and increased spatial aggregation of younger trees of the Borneo ironwood (Eusideroxylon zwageri) in a protected forest in Sabah Malaysia. We observed a high level of seedling herbivory with strong density dependence, likely exacerbated by local aggregation and contributing to the progressively shrinking size-distribution. We also note the largely undocumented selective herbivory by sambar deer on E. zwageri seedlings. This study highlights the combined impact of altered megafauna community on a tree population through interlinked ecological processes and the need for targeted conservation intervention for this iconic tropical tree species.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2018

The choice of tree prior and molecular clock does not substantially affect phylogenetic inferences of diversification rates

Comparative methods allow researchers to make inferences about evolutionary processes and patterns from phylogenetic trees. In Bayesian phylogenetics, estimating a phylogeny requires specifying priors on parameters characterizing the branching process and rates of substitution among lineages, in addition to others. However, the effect that the selection of these priors has on the inference of comparative parameters has not been thoroughly investigated. Such uncertainty may systematically bias phylogenetic reconstruction and, subsequently, parameter estimation. Here, we focus on the impact of priors in Bayesian phylogenetic inference and evaluate how they affect the estimation of parameters in macroevolutionary models of lineage diversification. Specifically, we use BEAST to simulate trees under combinations of tree priors and molecular clocks, simulate sequence data, estimate trees, and estimate diversification parameters (e.g., speciation rates and extinction rates) from these trees. When substitution rate heterogeneity is large, parameter estimates deviate substantially from those estimated under the simulation conditions when not captured by an appropriate choice of relaxed molecular clock. However, in general, we find that the choice of tree prior and molecular clock has relatively little impact on the estimation of diversification rates insofar as the sequence data are sufficiently informative and substitution rate heterogeneity among lineages is low-to-moderate.

evolutionary biology↗