Biology subjects

Stott, I.

Publications and source records attributed to Stott, I..

4 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2025

Current estimates of population resilience do not predict resilience to directional environmental shifts

Natural systems worldwide are exposed to gradual changes imposed by directional environmental shifts, known as ramp disturbances. However, contemporary assessments of population resilience focus on the resistance and recovery of systems following one-off (i.e., pulse) disturbances. Thus, our current perception of demographic resilience overlooks the potential impacts of the cumulative effects of ramp disturbances on population dynamics. Simulating 50-year ramp disturbance scenarios upon the survival and fecundity dynamics of 511 populations across 344 species, we illustrate non-linear patterns in how directional environmental shifts will reshape the resilience of natural populations. Accordingly, existing estimates of population resilience are not robust against a backdrop of ongoing and continuous environmental change. Instead, we demonstrate the need to quantify how the relative partitioning of energetic resources across survival vs. fecundity informs population resilience. Our findings challenge the use of well-established approaches in forecasting population resilience to ongoing global change.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2023

A standard protocol to report discrete stage-structured demographic information

O_LIStage-based demographic methods, such as matrix population models (MPMs), are powerful tools used to address a broad range of fundamental questions in ecology, evolutionary biology, and conservation science. Accordingly, MPMs now exist for over 3,000 species worldwide. These data are being digitised as an ongoing process and periodically released into two large open-access online repositories: the COMPADRE Plant Matrix Database and the COMADRE Animal Matrix Database. During the last decade, data archiving and curation of COMPADRE and COMADRE, and subsequent comparative research, have revealed pronounced variation in how MPMs are parameterized and reported. C_LIO_LIHere, we summarise current issues related to the parameterisation and reporting of MPMs that arise most frequently and outline how they affect MPM construction, analysis, and interpretation. To quantify variation in how MPMs are reported, we present results from a survey identifying key aspects of MPMs that are frequently unreported in manuscripts. We then screen COMPADRE and COMADRE to quantify how often key pieces of information are omitted from manuscripts using MPMs. C_LIO_LIOver 80% of surveyed researchers (n=60) state a clear benefit to adopting more standardised methodologies for reporting MPMs. Furthermore, over 85% of the 300 MPMs assessed from COMPADRE and COMADRE omitted one or more elements that are key to their accurate interpretation. Based on these insights, we identify fundamental issues that can arise from MPM construction and communication and provide suggestions to improve clarity, reproducibility, and future research utilising MPMs and their required metadata. To fortify reproducibility and empower researchers to take full advantage of their demographic data, we introduce a standardized protocol to present MPMs in publications. This standard is linked to www.compadre-db.org, so that authors wishing to archive their MPMs can do so prior to submission of publications, following examples from other open-access repositories such as DRYAD, Figshare, and Zenodo. C_LIO_LICombining and standardising MPMs parameterized from populations around the globe and across the tree of life opens up powerful research opportunities in evolutionary biology, ecology, and conservation research. However, this potential can only be fully realised by adopting standardised methods to ensure reproducibility. C_LI

ecology↗

bioRxiv2021

Life history mediates the trade-offs among different components of demographic resilience

Summary paragraphAccelerating rates of biodiversity loss underscore the need to understand how species achieve resilience -their ability to resist and recover from a/biotic disturbances. Yet, the factors determining the resilience of species remain poorly understood, due to disagreements on its definition and the lack of large-scale analyses. Here, we investigate how the life history of 785 natural populations of animals and plants predict their intrinsic ability to be resilient. We show that demographic resilience can be achieved through different combinations of compensation, resistance, and recovery after a disturbance. We demonstrate that these resilience components are highly correlated with life history traits related to the species pace of life and reproductive strategy. Species with longer generation times require longer recovery times post-disturbance, while those with greater reproductive capacity have greater resistance and compensation. Our findings highlight the key role of life history traits to understand species resilience, improving our ability to predict how natural populations cope with disturbance regimes.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2020

Towards a comparative framework of demographic resilience

In times of global biodiversity crisis, developing tools to define, quantify, compare and predict ecological resilience is essential for understanding species responses to global change. Disparate interpretations of ecological resilience have, however, hampered the development of a common currency to quantify and compare resilience across natural systems. Most frameworks of study have focused on upper levels of biological organisation, especially ecosystems or communities, which adds layers of complication to measuring resilience with empirical data. To overcome such limitations, we suggest quantifying resilience using demographic data. Surprisingly, a quantifiable definition of resilience does not exist at the demographic level. Here, we present a framework of demographic resilience with a set of metrics that are comparable across species, and facilitate cost-effective management decisions.

ecology↗