Smolka, M. N. | Search bioRxiv

bioRxiv2017

Addressing the reliability fallacy: Similar group effects may arise from unreliable individual effects

To cast valid predictions of future behavior or diagnose disorders, the reliable measurement of a \"biomarker\" such as the brain activation to prospective reward is a prerequisite. Surprisingly, only a small fraction of functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) studies report or cite the reliability of brain activation maps involved in group analyses. Here, using simulations and exemplary longitudinal data of 126 healthy adolescents performing an intertemporal choice task, we demonstrate that reproducing a group activation map over time is not a sufficient indication of reliable measurements at the individual level. Instead, selecting regions based on significant main effects at the group level may yield estimates that fail to reliably capture individual variance in the subjective evaluation of an offer. Collectively, our results call for more attention on the reliability of supposed biomarkers at the level of the individual. Thus, caution is warranted in employing brain activation patterns prematurely for clinical applications such as diagnosis or tailored interventions before their reliability has been conclusively established by large-scale studies. To facilitate assessing and reporting of the reliability of fMRI contrasts in future studies, we provide a toolbox that incorporates common measures of global and local reliability.

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2016

L-DOPA reduces model-free control of behavior by attenuating the transfer of value to action

Dopamine is a key neurotransmitter in reinforcement learning and action control. Recent findings suggest that these components are inherently entangled. Here, we tested if increases in dopamine tone by administration of L-DOPA upregulate deliberative \"model-based\" control of behavior or reflexive \"model-free\" control as predicted by dual-control reinforcement-learning models. Alternatively, L-DOPA may impair learning as suggested by \"value\" or \"thrift\" theories of dopamine. To this end, we employed a two-stage Markov decision-task to investigate the effect of L-DOPA (randomized cross-over) on behavioral control while brain activation was measured using fMRI. L-DOPA led to attenuated model-free control of behavior as indicated by the reduced impact of reward on choice and increased stochasticity of model-free choices. Correspondingly, in the brain, L-DOPA decreased the effect of reward while prediction-error signals were unaffected. Taken together, our results suggest that L-DOPA reduces model-free control of behavior by attenuating the transfer of value to action.

neuroscience↗