Biology subjects

Sheldon, D.

Publications and source records attributed to Sheldon, D..

5 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

The Dark Ecology Dataset: Measurements of Aerial Biomass in US Weather Radar from 1995 to 2025

The US NEXRAD radar network has monitored the aerosphere over the US and its territories continuously since the 1990s and archived nearly 300 million radar volume scans. These data contain a wealth of information about the movements of birds, bats, and insects. Historically, this biological information was difficult to access due to the amount of data and challenges in analyzing it. In the last 15 years, fueled by computational and methodological advances, large-scale aeroecology research has blossomed. However, comprehensive analyses of the NEXRAD archive remain very costly. We collected measurements from every volume scan in the NEXRAD archive--nearly 300 million data files total--to assemble a dataset of aerial biological activity over the US from 1995 to 2025. The core data are vertical profiles, which summarize biological activity at different heights above the radar station for each volume scan. We also provide time series data products that aggregate vertical profiles to point measurements at radar stations across time. These data products can support a range of aeroecology analyses at significantly reduced effort.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2025

Population-level migration modeling of North American birds through data integration with BirdFlow

BackgroundAccurate information on population-level movements of migratory animals is essential for understanding migration and for designing effective conservation strategies in a changing world. Yet such information remains scarce for most migratory species due to the effort and expense needed to collect data across their full distribution ranges. BirdFlow is a probabilistic modeling framework that infers population-level movements from weekly species distribution maps produced by the participatory science project eBird. However, BirdFlow models have only been tuned for a handful of species using high-resolution individual tracking data, which is not available for most migratory species. MethodsHere, we introduce a general tuning and evaluation framework for BirdFlow that enables the first large-scale integration of distributional and individual-level data to infer animal movement across continents and hundreds of migratory species, eliminating reliance on any single individual-tracking data source. By generalizing the BirdFlow model parametrization, we enable tuning and validation using multiple complementary data sources, including GPS tracks, banding recoveries, and radio telemetry data from the Motus Wildlife Tracking System. We investigate the efficacy of this approach by (1) investigating predictive performance compared to null models; (2) validating the biological plausibility of BirdFlow models by comparing movement properties such as route straightness, number of stopovers, and migration speed between model-generated routes and real movement tracks; and (3) comparing the performance of models tuned on species-specific movement data to models tuned using hyperparameters transferred from other species. ResultsOur results show that BirdFlow models produced by the new tuning framework achieve biologically realistic performance, even for prediction horizons of thousands of kilometers and several months. When species-specific data are unavailable, models can still be tuned using data from other phylogenetically adjacent species to achieve improved performance. ConclusionsBy integrating eBird Status & Trends abundance surfaces with data from banding recaptures, radio telemetry, and GPS tracking, we scale BirdFlow model to 153 North American migratory species, representing the first collection of continental-scale population-level movement and forecasting models. Species-specific tuning improves population-level movement forecasts, while taxonomically informed hyperparameter transfer supports the modeling of data-limited species. Overall, our work offers a foundation for more accurate predictions across hundreds of species for research in ecology and conservation, disease surveillance, aviation, and public outreach.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2022

Using spatio-temporal information in weather radar data to detect and track communal bird roosts

O_LIThe exodus of swallows from communal nighttime roosts is often visible as an expanding ring-shaped pattern in weather radar data. The WSR-88D network operated by the National Weather Service archives more than 25 years of data across 143 stations in the contiguous US. However, access to information about the roosting behavior of swallows is limited by the cost of manual annotation of these scans. C_LIO_LIWe develop an AI system to detect and track swallow roosts in weather radar data. Our model is based on the Faster R-CNN architecture and is customized to incorporate multiple spatial and temporal channels in volumetric radar scans using novel adaptor layers. We systematically study the impact of network architecture and input representation for this task. We incorporate our detection outputs into an AI-assisted system with an interface for human screening to collect research-grade data about roosting behavior. We deploy the system to collect information from 12 radar stations in the Great Lakes region of the US spanning 21 years. C_LIO_LIThe addition of temporal information improves roost detection performance from 47.0% mean average precision to 54.7%. Temporal information helps the model recognize the expanding pattern of roosts and filter false positives due to rain and static structures. Our system allowed the annotation of 15,628 roost signatures with 64,620 single-frame detections in 612,786 radar scans with 183.6 total hours of human screening, or 1.08 seconds per radar scan. C_LIO_LIOur AI-assisted system provides research-quality roost data with far less human effort than manual annotation of radar scans. The data contains critical information about the phenology and population trends of swallows and martins, a declining group of aerial insectivores. Our successful deployment to collect historical data for 8% of the radar stations in the contiguous US lays the groundwork for continentscale analysis of swallow roosts, and provides a starting point for analysis of other family-specific phenomena in weather radar, such as bat roosts and mayfly hatches. C_LI

ecology↗

bioRxiv2022

BirdFlow: Learning Seasonal Bird Movements from Citizen Science Data

Large-scale monitoring of seasonal animal movement is integral to science, conservation, and outreach. However, gathering representative movement data across entire species ranges is frequently intractable. Citizen science databases collect millions of animal observations throughout the year, but it is challenging to infer individual movement behavior solely from observational data. We present BO_SCPLOWIRDC_SCPLOWFO_SCPLOWLOWC_SCPLOW, a probabilistic modeling framework that draws on citizen science data from the eBird database to model the population flows of migratory birds. We apply the model to 11 species of North American birds, using GPS and satellite tracking data to tune and evaluate model performance. We show that BO_SCPLOWIRDC_SCPLOWFO_SCPLOWLOWC_SCPLOW models can accurately infer individual seasonal movement behavior directly from eBird relative abundance estimates. Supplementing the model with a sample of tracking data from wild birds improves performance. Researchers can extract a number of behavioral inferences from model results, including migration routes, timing, connectivity, and forecasts. The BO_SCPLOWIRDC_SCPLOWFO_SCPLOWLOWC_SCPLOW framework has the potential to advance migration ecology research, boost insights gained from direct tracking studies, and serve a number of applied functions in conservation, disease surveillance, aviation, and public outreach.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2021

Population-level inference for home-range areas

O_LIHome-range estimates are a common product of animal tracking data, as each range informs on the area needed by a given individual. Population-level inference on home-range areas--where multiple individual home-ranges are considered to be sampled from a population--is also important to evaluate changes over time, space, or covariates, such as habitat quality or fragmentation, and for comparative analyses of species averages. Population-level home-range parameters have traditionally been estimated by first assuming that the input tracking data were sampled independently when calculating home ranges via conventional kernel density estimation (KDE) or minimal convex polygon (MCP) methods, and then assuming that those individual home ranges were measured exactly when calculating the population-level estimates. This conventional approach does not account for the temporal autocorrelation that is inherent in modern tracking data, nor for the uncertainties of each individual home-range estimate, which are often large and heterogeneous. C_LIO_LIHere, we introduce a statistically and computationally efficient framework for the population-level analysis of home-range areas, based on autocorrelated kernel density estimation (AKDE), that can account for variable temporal autocorrelation and estimation uncertainty. C_LIO_LIWe apply our method to empirical examples on lowland tapir (Tapirus terrestris), kinkajou (Potos flavus), white-nosed coati (Nasua narica), white-faced capuchin monkey (Cebus capucinus), and spider monkey (Ateles geoffroyi), and quantify differences between species, environments, and sexes. C_LIO_LIOur approach allows researchers to more accurately compare different populations with different movement behaviors or sampling schedules, while retaining statistical precision and power when individual home-range uncertainties vary. Finally, we emphasize the estimation of effect sizes when comparing populations, rather than mere significance tests. C_LI

ecology↗