Search bioRxiv⌕ Search

Biology subjects

Schoech, A. P.

Publications and source records attributed to Schoech, A. P..

5 recordsLinked to original sources

Negative short-range genomic autocorrelation of causal effects on human complex traits

Most models of complex trait genetic architecture assume that signed causal effect sizes of each SNP (defined with respect to the minor allele) are uncorrelated with those of nearby SNPs, but it is currently unknown whether this is the case. We develop a new method, autocorrelation LD regression (ACLR), for estimating the genome-wide autocorrelation of causal minor allele effect sizes as a function of genomic distance. Our method estimates these autocorrelations by regressing the products of summary statistics on distance-dependent LD scores. We determined that ACLR robustly assesses the presence or absence of nonzero autocorrelation, producing unbiased estimates with well-calibrated standard errors in null simulations regardless of genetic architecture; if true autocorrelation is nonzero, ACLR correctly detects its sign, although estimates of the autocorrelation magnitude are susceptible to bias in cases of certain genetic architectures. We applied ACLR to 31 diseases and complex traits from the UK Biobank (average N=331K), meta-analyzing results across traits. We determined that autocorrelations were significantly negative at distances of 1-50bp (P = 8 x 10-6, point estimate -0.35 {+/-}0.08) and 50-100bp (P = 2 x 10-3, point estimate -0.33 {+/-} 0.11). We show that the autocorrelation is primarily driven by pairs of SNPs in positive LD, which is consistent with the expectation that linked SNPs with opposite effects are less impacted by natural selection. Our findings suggest that this mechanism broadly affects complex trait genetic architectures, and we discuss implications for association mapping, heritability estimation, and genetic risk prediction.

genetics↗

Functionally-informed fine-mapping and polygenic localization of complex trait heritability

Fine-mapping aims to identify causal variants impacting complex traits. Several recent methods improve fine-mapping accuracy by prioritizing variants in enriched functional annotations. However, these methods can only use information at genome-wide significant loci (or a small number of functional annotations), severely limiting the benefit of functional data. We propose PolyFun, a computationally scalable framework to improve fine-mapping accuracy using genome-wide functional data for a broad set of coding, conserved, regulatory and LD-related annotations. PolyFun prioritizes variants in enriched functional annotations by specifying prior causal probabilities for fine-mapping methods such as SuSiE or FINEMAP, employing special procedures to ensure robustness to model misspecification and winners curse. In simulations with in-sample LD, PolyFun + SuSiE and PolyFun + FINEMAP were well-calibrated and identified >20% more variants with posterior causal probability >0.95 than their non-functionally informed counterparts (and >33% more fine-mapped variants than previous functionally-informed fine-mapping methods). In simulations with mismatched reference LD, PolyFun + SuSiE remained well-calibrated when reducing the maximum number of assumed causal SNPs per locus, which reduces absolute power but still produces large relative improvements. In analyses of 49 UK Biobank traits (average N=318K) with in-sample LD, PolyFun + SuSiE identified 3,025 fine-mapped variant-trait pairs with posterior causal probability >0.95, a >32% improvement vs. SuSiE; 223 variants were fine-mapped for multiple genetically uncorrelated traits, indicating pervasive pleiotropy. We used posterior mean per-SNP heritabilities from PolyFun + SuSiE to perform polygenic localization, constructing minimal sets of common SNPs causally explaining 50% of common SNP heritability; these sets ranged in size from 28 (hair color) to 3,400 (height) to 2 million (number of children). In conclusion, PolyFun prioritizes variants for functional follow-up and provides insights into complex trait architectures.

genetics↗

Population-specific causal disease effect sizes in functionally important regions impacted by selection

Many diseases and complex traits exhibit population-specific causal effect sizes with trans-ethnic genetic correlations significantly less than 1, limiting trans-ethnic polygenic risk prediction. We developed a new method, S-LDXR, for stratifying squared trans-ethnic genetic correlation across genomic annotations, and applied S-LDXR to genome-wide association summary statistics for 31 diseases and complex traits in East Asians (EAS) and Europeans (EUR) (average NEAS=90K, NEUR=267K) with an average trans-ethnic genetic correlation of 0.85 (s.e. 0.01). We determined that squared trans-ethnic genetic correlation was 0.82x (s.e. 0.01) smaller than the genome-wide average at SNPs in the top quintile of background selection statistic, implying more population-specific causal effect sizes. Accordingly, causal effect sizes were more population-specific in functionally important regions, including conserved and regulatory regions. In analyses of regions surrounding specifically expressed genes, causal effect sizes were most population-specific for skin and immune genes and least population-specific for brain genes. Our results could potentially be explained by stronger gene-environment interaction at loci impacted by selection, particularly positive selection.

genetics↗

Polygenicity of complex traits is explained by negative selection

Complex traits and common disease are highly polygenic: thousands of common variants are causal, and their effect sizes are almost always small. Polygenicity could be explained by negative selection, which constrains common-variant effect sizes and may reshape their distribution across the genome. We refer to this phenomenon as flattening, as genetic signal is flattened relative to the underlying biology. We introduce a mathematical definition of polygenicity, the effective number of associated SNPs, and a robust statistical method to estimate it. This definition of polygenicity differs from the number of causal SNPs, a standard definition; it depends strongly on SNPs with large effects. In analyses of 33 complex traits (average N=361k), we determined that common variants are [~]4x more polygenic than low-frequency variants, consistent with pervasive flattening. Moreover, functionally important regions of the genome have increased polygenicity in proportion to their increased heritability, implying that heritability enrichment reflects differences in the number of associations rather than their magnitude (which is constrained by selection). We conclude that negative selection constrains the genetic signal of biologically important regions and genes, reshaping genetic architecture.

genetics↗

Mixed model association for biobank-scale data sets

Biobank-based genome-wide association studies are enabling exciting insights in complex trait genetics, but much uncertainty remains over best practices for optimizing statistical power and computational efficiency in GWAS while controlling confounders. Here, we introduce a much faster version of our BOLT-LMM Bayesian mixed model association method-- capable of running analyses of the full UK Biobank cohort in a few days on a single compute node--and show that it produces highly powered, robust test statistics when run on all 459K European samples (retaining related individuals). When used to conduct a GWAS for height in UK Biobank, BOLT-LMM achieved power equivalent to linear regression on 650K samples--a 93% increase in effective sample size versus the common practice of analyzing unrelated British samples using linear regression (UK Biobank documentation; Bycroft et al. bioRxiv). Across a broader set of 23 highly heritable traits, the total number of independent GWAS loci detected increased from 5,839 to 10,759, an 84% increase. We recommend the use of BOLT-LMM (retaining related individuals) for biobank-scale analyses, and we have publicly released BOLT-LMM summary association statistics for the 23 traits analyzed as a resource for all researchers.

genetics↗