Biology subjects

Routh, D.

Publications and source records attributed to Routh, D..

4 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2021

Lowland plant migrations into alpine ecosystems amplify soil carbon loss under climate warming

Climate warming is releasing carbon from soils around the world1-3, constituting a positive climate feedback. Warming is also causing species to expand their ranges into new ecosystems4-9. Yet, in most ecosystems, whether range expanding species will amplify or buffer expected soil carbon loss is unknown10. Here we used two whole-community transplant experiments and a follow-up glasshouse experiment to determine whether the establishment of herbaceous lowland plants in alpine ecosystems influences soil carbon content under warming. We found that warming (transplantation to low elevation) led to a negligible decrease in alpine soil carbon content, but its effects became significant and 52% {+/-} 31% (mean {+/-} 95% CIs) larger after lowland plants were introduced at low density into the ecosystem. We present evidence that decreases in soil carbon content likely occurred via lowland plants increasing rates of root exudation, soil microbial respiration and CO2 release under warming. Our findings suggest that warming-induced range expansions of herbaceous plants have the potential to alter climate feedbacks from this system, and that plant range expansions among herbaceous communities may be an overlooked mediator of warming effects on carbon dynamics.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2021

A geospatial mapping pipeline for ecologists

Geospatial modelling can give fundamental insights in the biogeography of life, providing key information about the living world in current and future climate scenarios. Emerging statistical and machine learning approaches can help us to generate new levels of predictive accuracy in exploring the spatial patterns in ecological and biophysical processes. Although these statistical models cannot necessarily represent the essential mechanistic insights that are needed to understand global biogeochemical processes under ever-changing environmental conditions, they can provide unparalleled predictive insights that can be useful for exploring the variation in biophysical processes across space. As such, these emerging tools can be a valuable approach to complement existing mechanistic approaches as we aim to understand the biogeography of Earths ecosystems. Here, we present a comprehensive methodology that efficiently handles large datasets to produce global predictions. This mapping pipeline can be used to generate quantitative, spatially explicit predictions, with a particular emphasis on spatially-explicit insights into the evaluation of model uncertainties and inaccuracies.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2018

Cities of the future, visualizing climate change to inspire actions

Combating against climate change requires unified action across all sectors of society. However, this collective action is precluded by the consensus gap between scientific knowledge and public opinion. A growing body of evidence suggests that facts do not persuade people to act. Instead, it is visualization - the ability to simulate relatable scenarios - is the most effective approach for motivating behavior change. Here, we exemplify this approach, using current climate projections to enable people to visualize cities of the future, rather than describing intangible climate variables. Analyzing city pairs for 520 major cities of the world, we characterize which cities will most closely resemble the climate conditions of which other major cities by 2050. On average, most cities will resemble cities that are over 1000km south, and 22% of cities will experience climate conditions that are not currently experienced by any existing major cities. We predict that Londons climate in 2050 will resemble Barcelonas climate today, Madrid will resemble to Marrakesh, Moscow to Sofia, Seattle to San Francisco, Stockholm to Budapest, Tokyo to Changsha, etc. Our approach illustrates how complex climate data can be packaged to provide tangible information. By allowing people to visualize their own climate futures, we hope to empower citizens, policy makers and scientists to visualize expected climate impacts and adapt decision making accordingly.

scientific communication and education↗

bioRxiv2017

Predicting Global Forest Reforestation Potential

Executive SummaryForests are important determinants of the carbon cycle, and they provide countless ecosystem services to support billions of people worldwide. Global-scale forest restoration is one of our most effective weapons in the fight against biodiversity loss, rural poverty and climate change. In this report, we generate a spatial map of tree density within the potential forest restoration areas delineated by the IUCN/WRIs \"Atlas of Forest Landscape Restoration Opportunities\" to estimate the potential number of trees that could be restored at a global scale. We also estimate the number of trees that might be saved by avoiding deforestation in currently forested areas.\n\nWe show that the restoration areas have the capacity to support a total of 1.33 trillion trees. However, given that a considerable proportion of these areas already contain forests, we estimate that 589 billion new trees (larger than 10 cm diameter) could be restored within these areas, which would have the potential to store 65-91 Gigatonnes of carbon after reaching forest maturation. These values will increase marginally over time, as deforestation is responsible for the removal of living trees within the restoration areas. However, if only 50% or 25% of the mosaic areas (the largest of the designated restoration types) are available for reforestation, this total number will fall to approximately 360, or 246 billion trees, respectively, with corresponding decreases in potential carbon storage. Given that anthropogenic carbon emissions are currently in the order of 9-12 Gigatonnes per year, effective global-scale restoration might potentially have a valuable impact on global-scale climate mitigation over the rest of this century.\n\nThis report was produced with funding from WWF-UK as part of the Trillion Trees programme with the Wildlife Conservation Society and BirdLife International

ecology↗