Biology subjects

Pope, N. S.

Publications and source records attributed to Pope, N. S..

8 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

GPU accelerated population genetics statistics using pg_gpu

Population genetics summary statistics--diversity, divergence, linkage disequilibrium, selection scans, and dimensionality reduction--are fundamental across human, agricultural, and ecological genomics. As whole-genome sequencing datasets have grown to hundreds of thousands of individuals, the cost of computing these statistics on conventional CPU implementations has become a major bottleneck: windowed scans of a single chromosome arm can take hours to days, and computation of pairwise linkage-disequilibrium statistics useful for demographic inference scales as O(n2) in sample size, often exceeding wall-clock budgets entirely. We present pg_gpu, a Python library implementing a comprehensive catalog of population-genetics summary statistics as fused CUDA kernels on NVIDIA GPUs. pg_gpu covers eleven categories spanning diversity and neutrality tests, divergence, admixture, the site-frequency spectrum, linkage disequilibrium, haplotype-based selection scans, dimensionality reduction (PCA, randomized PCA, local PCA / lostruct), distance distributions, relatedness, resampling, and a generalized weighted-SFS framework for custom{omega} estimators. On the full Ag1000G Phase 3 chromosome 3R arm (2,940 haplotypes, 10.9 million variants) pg_gpu agrees with scikit-allel and PLINK2 to machine precision while delivering a median 139x and maximum 1,096x speedup. For the multi-population LD statistics used by moments for demographic inference, pg_gpu is a drop-in replacement that yields a ~1,750-fold speedup over the native implementation. Whole chromosome arm scans, lostruct screens, and calculation of LD statistics complete on a single NVIDIA A100 in seconds to a few minutes.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2026

A Statistical Framework to Infer the Mutation Model of Tandem Repeat Variants

Tandem Repeats (TRs) have complex mutational patterns that depend on many properties of the analyzed loci. An accurate characterization of the mutation model that defines the evolution of each TR is fundamental to understand the genetic diversity patterns of each TR. Here we propose a computational method that leverages the rich information contained in the ancestral recombination graph (ARG) to estimate the mutation process that drives the evolution of one loci containing a TR variant. Our method is called TRAMA, Tandem Repeat ARG-based Mutation Analysis. TRAMA uses the genealogical history estimated at each loci, which is contained in the ARG, to estimate the parameters that define the mutation of a TR under two different mutational models: The Stepwise Mutation Model (SMM) and the Two-Phase Mutation Model (TPM). First we show that TRAMA can provide estimates of the mutation rate of a TR evolving under the SMM that are accurate or have a slight underestimation when the mutation rate is higher than 10-5. Then, we show that TRAMA can provide reasonable estimates of the parameters that define the TPM under certain conditions. We also show that TRAMA can do an accurate selection of the mutational model that better explains the genetic diversity patterns of a loci from two competing models: TPM and SMM. Then, we show that estimates of the mutation rate under the SMM are similar when using the true genealogical history compared to using a genealogical history estimated using an ARG inference program, SINGER. We also discuss potential extensions of our methodology to perform a more accurate characterization of the mutation model driving the evolution of TRs.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2026

Tracing the evolutionary histories of ultra-rare variants using variational dating of large ancestral recombination graphs

Ultra-rare variants dominate whole-genome sequencing datasets, yet their interpretation is limited by allele frequency, which provides little information at very low counts and is highly sensitive to uneven ancestry representation. Allele age offers an ancestry-agnostic alternative but existing methods do not scale to biobank-sized cohorts. Here we present a scalable variational algorithm for dating Ancestral Recombination Graphs (ARGs), implemented in tsdate, together with new distributed methods enabling practical biobank-scale ARG inference using tsinfer. Applied to 47,535 genomes from the Genomics England 100,000 Genomes Project, we infer contiguous ARGs spanning 206 Mb and estimate ages for 23.2 million variants, including 11.8 million singletons. ARG-based allele ages remain accurate under extreme sampling imbalance and, in real data, reveal signatures of purifying selection and clinically relevant heterogeneity among variants with identical observed frequencies. Estimates for recent mutations are precise only at large sample sizes, highlighting the information accessible in the haplotype structure of large datasets. Biobank-scale ARGs therefore enable robust, ancestry-agnostic age estimation for ultra-rare variation with broad utility for statistical and clinical genomics.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2025

Neural posterior estimation for population genetics

Simulation-based inference methods are increasingly being used in population genetics due to their flexibility and ability to be applied in settings where likelihood-based methods are intractable. Perhaps the best known such method is Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC); however, its popularity is offset by its shortcomings which include computational expense and an unfortunate inability to efficiently fit models to high-dimensional summaries of the data. An alternative approach that solves these issues is supervised machine learning (ML); however, ML methods generally do not yield Bayesian uncertainty estimates of the quantities they predict. Here, we apply a recently introduced method, neural posterior estimation (NPE), that combines the best facets of ABC and supervised ML by training a neural network to estimate the posterior distribution of a population genetics model. We first compare neural posterior estimation with other inference methods for a variety of population genetic tasks, and show that neural posterior estimators yield posterior distributions with high accuracy and efficiency. We compare learned posterior distributions given raw genotypes and various summary statistics as input data. Additionally, we apply neural posterior estimation for demographic inference for simple and more complex models to highlight its application, including an analysis of demographic history in Drosophila melanogaster. Finally, we provide a user friendly workflow that enables others to perform neural posterior estimation on their own genetic data.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2025

Modelling complex traits with ancestral recombination graphs

Ancestral recombination graphs (ARGs) are an attractive means for quantitative genetic analysis of complex traits because they encode the realized genetic relatedness between a sample of individuals in the presence of genetic drift, recombination, and mutation. Data structures for efficiently storing ARGs can also be used to rapidly process millions of genomes, and are thus promising for fitting linear mixed models (LMMs) to large phenotype and genome datasets. Here, we study the problems of variance component estimation and prediction of genetic values with ARGs, by describing a generative model of complex traits with additive effects on an ARG, and then developing algorithms that use the ARG to solve these problems efficiently on biobank-scale datasets. We observe nearly linear scaling of runtime with sample size, which is achieved by using the succinct tree sequence representation of the ARG for implicit matrix-vector products, along with modern randomized linear algebra algorithms. We estimate variance components using restricted maximum likelihood (REML), which we find performs substantially better than the Haseman- Elston method. In simulation tests, both variance component estimation and prediction of genetic values (using the best linear unbiased predictor, BLUP) perform nearly as well with inferred ARGs as with true ARGs. We also discuss interpretations of the variance component estimates as mutational variance and additive genetic variance. We provide an implementation of the algorithms as a Python package tslmm, which leverages the tree sequence library tskit.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2025

Accessible, realistic genome simulation with selection using stdpopsim

Selection is a fundamental evolutionary force that shapes patterns of genetic variation across species. However, simulations incorporating realistic selection along heterogeneous genomes in complex demographic histories are challenging, limiting our ability to benchmark statistical methods aimed at detecting selection and to explore theoretical predictions. stdpopsim is a community-maintained simulation library that already provides an extensive catalog of species-specific population genetic models. Here we present a major extension to the stdpopsim framework that enables simulation of various modes of selection, including background selection, selective sweeps, and arbitrary distributions of fitness effects (DFE) acting on annotated subsets of the genome (for instance, exons). This extension maintains stdpopsims core principles of reproducibility and accessibility while adding support for species-specific genomic annotations and published DFE estimates. We demonstrate the utility of this framework by comparing methods for demographic inference, DFE estimation, and selective sweep detection across several species and scenarios. Our results demonstrate the robustness of demographic inference methods to selection on linked sites, reveal the sensitivity of DFE-inference methods to model assumptions, and show how genomic features, like recombination rate and functional sequence density, influence power to detect selective sweeps. This extension to stdpopsim provides a powerful new resource for the population genetics community to explore the interplay between selection and other evolutionary forces in a reproducible, user-friendly framework.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2022

Expanding the stdpopsim species catalog, and lessons learned forrealistic genome simulations

Simulation is a key tool in population genetics for both methods development and empirical research, but producing simulations that recapitulate the main features of genomic data sets remains a major obstacle. Today, more realistic simulations are possible thanks to large increases in the quantity and quality of available genetic data, and to the sophistication of inference and simulation software. However, implementing these simulations still requires substantial time and specialized knowledge. These challenges are especially pronounced for simulating genomes for species that are not well-studied, since it is not always clear what information is required to produce simulations with a level of realism sufficient to confidently answer a given question. The community-developed framework stdpopsim seeks to lower this barrier by facilitating the simulation of complex population genetic models using up-to-date information. The initial version of stdpopsim focused on establishing this framework using six well-characterized model species (Adrion et al., 2020). Here, we report on major improvements made in the new release of stdpopsim (version 0.2), which includes a significant expansion of the species catalog and substantial additions to simulation capabilities. Features added to improve the realism of the simulated genomes include non-crossover recombination and provision of species-specific genomic annotations. Through community-driven efforts, we expanded the number of species in the catalog more than three-fold and broadened coverage across the tree of life. During the process of expanding the catalog, we have identified common sticking points and developed best practices for setting up genome-scale simulations. We describe the input data required for generating a realistic simulation, suggest good practices for obtaining the relevant information from the literature, and discuss common pitfalls and major considerations. These improvements to stdpopsim aim to further promote the use of realistic whole-genome population genetic simulations, especially in non-model organisms, making them available, transparent, and accessible to everyone.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2021

Efficient ancestry and mutation simulation with msprime 1.0

Stochastic simulation is a key tool in population genetics, since the models involved are often analytically intractable and simulation is usually the only way of obtaining ground-truth data to evaluate inferences. Because of this necessity, a large number of specialised simulation programs have been developed, each filling a particular niche, but with largely overlapping functionality and a substantial duplication of effort. Here, we introduce msprime version 1.0, which efficiently implements ancestry and mutation simulations based on the succinct tree sequence data structure and tskit library. We summarise msprimes many features, and show that its performance is excellent, often many times faster and more memory efficient than specialised alternatives. These high-performance features have been thoroughly tested and validated, and built using a collaborative, open source development model, which reduces duplication of effort and promotes software quality via community engagement.

genetics↗