Piironen, A. | Search bioRxiv

bioRxiv2023

A gradual migratory divide determines not only the direction of migration but also migration strategy of a social migrant bird

Migratory divides separate populations of migratory animals, facilitating the evolution of intraspecific differences in migration strategies. The optimal migration theory suggests differing migration strategies for birds using different flyways (with different habitats), but the knowledge regarding the impact of the flyway to the individual migration strategies is scarce. We used satellite tracking and neckband resightings to unravel the structure of the migratory divide between two European flyway populations of greylag geese Anser anser. We modelled satellite tracking data using Gaussian processes to study migration strategies of birds using different flyways. The mean posterior probability for an individual to migrate along the Western Flyway decreased gradually from 0.98 to 0.06 within the Baltic Sea coast, revealing a gradual migratory divide. In addition, migration strategies differed between the flyways. The birds using Western Flyway migrated earlier in autumn, performed longer annual migration and made a clear stopover during migration, whereas the birds using Central Flyway flew directly to their wintering sites. The gradual migratory divide that also divided migration strategies provides exciting insights to ecological and evolutionary factors behind migratory divides. Gaussian processes enabled modelling of detailed migration strategies, encouraging their future usage in movement ecology.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2022

When and where to count? Implications of migratory connectivity and non-breeding distribution to population censuses in a migratory bird population

Migratory connectivity is a metric of the co-occurrence of migratory animals originating from different breeding sites, and like their spatio-temporal distributions, can vary substantially during the annual cycle. Together, both these properties affect the optimal times and sites of population censusing. We tracked taiga bean geese (Anser fabalis fabalis) during 2014-2021 to study their migratory connectivity and non-breeding movements, and determine optimal periods to assess the size of their main flyway population. We also compared available census data with tracking data, to examine how well two existing censuses covered the population. Daily Mantels correlation between breeding and non-breeding sites lay between 0 and 0.5 during most of the non-breeding season, implying birds from different breeding areas were not strongly separated other times in the annual cycle. However, the connectivity was higher among birds from the westernmost breeding areas compared to the birds breeding elsewhere. Daily Minimum Convex Polygons showed tracked birds were highly aggregated at census times, confirming their utility. The number of tracked birds absent at count sites during the censuses however exceeded numbers double-counted at several sites, indicating that censuses might have underestimated the true population size. Our results show that connectivity can vary in different times during the non-breeding period, and should be studied throughout the annual cycle. Our results also confirm previous studies, which have found that estimates using marked individuals usually produce higher population size estimates than total counts. This should be considered when using total counts to assess population sizes in the future.

ecology↗