Biology subjects

Perkins, T. A.

Publications and source records attributed to Perkins, T. A..

8 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2025

Implications of successive blood feeding on Wolbachia-mediated dengue virus inhibition in Aedes aegypti mosquitoes

Dengue virus (DENV) is a mosquito-borne virus that poses a continued and increasing threat to public health. A promising strategy to mitigate the burden of DENV is introgression of the virus-inhibiting Wolbachia pipientis bacterium into Aedes aegypti populations in the field. While previous studies on Wolbachia-mediated virus inhibition have typically assessed viral replication following a single bloodmeal, the main vector of DENV, Ae. aegypti, feeds frequently, often biting multiple hosts per gonotrophic cycle and promptly attempting to refeed following egg laying. Previously, we demonstrated that successive blood feeding reduces the extrinsic incubation period (EIP) and shortens the time it takes for a mosquito to be able to transmit viruses to a new host. With this in mind, we investigated the impact of successive blood meals on DENV serotype 2 (DENV-2) in Ae. aegypti in the presence or absence of Wolbachia (wAlbB and wMelM). We found that both WT and Wolbachia transinfected had increased DENV-2 dissemination 7 days post-infection as well as higher body titers of DENV-2 in the double-fed groups. Using these empirical data in a binomial regression model, we estimated that successive feeding increased the probability of WT and Wolbachia transinfected mosquitoes surviving the EIP. When we estimated the odds of surviving the EIP for mosquitoes with Wolbachia relative to WT mosquitoes, successive feeding increased the chances of WT mosquitoes surviving the EIP more than in mosquitoes with Wolbachia, indicating a strong inhibitory effect of Wolbachia even in the context of natural frequent blood feeding behavior. Our work shows that mosquito feeding behavior should be considered when assessing the inhibitory effects of Wolbachia on DENV.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2025

Anopheles stephensi larval habitat superproductivity and its relevance for larval source management in Africa

The invasion of Africa by Anopheles stephensi poses a significant threat to malaria elimination. As An. stephensi exploits a wide array of urban artificial larval habitats, it may be less impacted by rainfall variability compared to other native Anopheles species. We empirically investigated this assumption by quantifying the seasonal transition of an established population from eastern Ethiopia between rainy and dry periods. Monthly larval surveys generated evidence of significant heterogeneity between seasons in the type of habitat and their productivity. As the dry season progressed, An. stephensi productivity significantly concentrated in large water reservoirs (for drinking and construction) to a point in which up to 77% of all larvae originated from 23% of the sites. Such superproductive sites were primarily water cisterns used for residential or construction purposes. A two-patch metapopulation model of An. stephensi linked to rainfall data recreated the seasonal larval dynamics observed in the field and predicted that larval control targeted on superproducer water reservoirs, when implemented at coverages higher than 60%, may lead to An. stephensi elimination. Our findings highlight the role of environmental variability in regulating An. stephensi populations and open the window for the deployment of control strategies that exploit major mosquito population bottlenecks.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2024

DNA O-MAP uncovers the molecular neighborhoods associated with specific genomic loci

The accuracy of crucial nuclear processes such as transcription, replication, and repair, depends on the local composition of chromatin and the regulatory proteins that reside there. Understanding these DNA-protein interactions at the level of specific genomic loci has remained challenging due to technical limitations. Here, we introduce a method termed "DNA O-MAP", which uses programmable peroxidase-conjugated oligonucleotide probes to biotinylate nearby proteins. We show that DNA O-MAP can be coupled with label-free or sample multiplexed quantitative proteomics, targeted chemical perturbations, and next-generation sequencing to quantify DNA-proximal proteins and DNA-DNA interactions at specific genomic loci. Furthermore, we establish that DNA O-MAP is applicable to both repetitive and unique genomic loci of varying sizes, from kilobase HOX gene clusters to megabase alpha-satellite repeats, and that DNA O-MAP can measure proximal molecular effectors in a homolog-specific manner.

systems biology↗

bioRxiv2022

Fusing an agent-based model of mosquito population dynamics with a statistical reconstruction of spatio-temporal abundance patterns

The mosquito Aedes aegypti is the vector of a number of medically-important viruses, including dengue virus, yellow virus, chikungunya virus, and Zika virus, and as such vector control is a key approach to managing the diseases they cause. Understanding the impact of vector control on these diseases is aided by first understanding its impact on Ae. aegypti population dynamics. A number of detail-rich models have been developed to couple the dynamics of the immature and adult stages of Ae. aegypti. The numerous assumptions of these models enable them to realistically characterize impacts of mosquito control, but they also constrain the ability of such models to reproduce empirical patterns that do not conform to the models behavior. In contrast, statistical models afford sufficient flexibility to extract nuanced signals from noisy data, yet they have limited ability to make predictions about impacts of mosquito control on disease caused by pathogens that the mosquitoes transmit without extensive data on mosquitoes and disease. Here, we demonstrate how the differing strengths of mechanistic realism and statistical flexibility can be fused into a single model. Our analysis utilizes data from 176,352 household-level Ae. aegypti aspirator collections conducted during 1999-2011 in Iquitos, Peru. The key step in our approach is to calibrate a single parameter of the model to spatio-temporal abundance patterns predicted by a generalized additive model (GAM). In effect, this calibrated parameter absorbs residual variation in the abundance time-series not captured by other features of the mechanistic model. We then used this calibrated parameter and the literature-derived parameters in the agent-based model to explore Ae. aegypti population dynamics and the impact of insecticide spraying to kill adult mosquitoes. The baseline abundance predicted by the agent-based model closely matched that predicted by the GAM. Following spraying, the agent-based model predicted that mosquito abundance rebounds within about two months, commensurate with recent experimental data from Iquitos. Our approach was able to accurately reproduce abundance patterns in Iquitos and produce a realistic response to adulticide spraying, while retaining sufficient flexibility to be applied across a range of settings. Author SummaryThe mosquito Aedes aegypti is the vector for a number of the most medically important viruses, including dengue, Zika, chikungunya, and yellow fever. Understanding the population dynamics of this mosquito, and how those dynamics might respond to vector control interventions, is critical to inform the deployment of such interventions. One of the best ways to gain this understanding is through modeling of population dynamics. Such models are often categorizes as either statistical or dynamical, and each of these approaches has advantages and disadvantages - for instance, statistical models may more closely match patterns observed in empirical data, while dynamical models are better able to predict the impact of counterfactual situations such as vector control strategies. In this paper, we present an approach which fuses these two approaches in order to gain the advantages of both: it fits empirical data on Aedes aegypti population dynamics well, while producing realistic responses to vector control interventions. Our approach has the potential to inform and improve the deployment of vector control interventions, and, when used in concert with and epidemiological model, to help reduce the burden of the diseases spread by such vectors.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2018

International travelers and genomics uncover a ‘hidden’ Zika outbreak

The ongoing Zika epidemic in the Americas has challenged public health surveillance, response, and control systems. Even as the epidemic appears to be near its end in the Americas, it is unclear whether substantial Zika virus transmission may still be ongoing. This issue is exacerbated by large discrepancies in local case reporting and significant delays in detecting outbreaks due to surveillance gaps. To uncover locations with lingering outbreaks in the Americas, we investigated travel-associated Zika cases diagnosed in the United States and Europe to identify signatures of transmission dynamics that were not captured by local reporting. We found that a large and unreported Zika outbreak occurred in Cuba during 2017, a year after peak transmission in neighboring countries, with cases still appearing in 2018. By sequencing Zika virus from infected travelers, we show that the 2017 outbreak in Cuba was sparked by long-lived lineages of Zika virus introduced from multiple places in the Americas a year prior. Our data suggest that while aggressive mosquito control in Cuba may initially have been effective at mitigating Zika virus transmission, in the absence of vaccines, herd immunity, or strong international coordination, such control measures may need to be maintained to be effective. Our study highlights how Zika virus may still be silently spreading in the Americas and provides a framework for more accurately understanding outbreak dynamics.

epidemiology↗

bioRxiv2018

Mapping malaria by combining parasite genomic and epidemiologic data

Recent global progress in scaling up malaria control interventions has revived the goal of complete elimination in many countries. Decreasing transmission intensity generally leads to increasingly patchy spatial patterns of malaria transmission, however, and control programs must accurately identify remaining foci in order to target interventions efficiently. In particular, mosquito control interventions like bed nets and insecticide spraying are best targeted to transmission hotspots, and the role of connectivity between different pockets of local transmission becomes increasingly important since humans are able to move parasites beyond the limits of mosquito dispersal and re-introduce parasites to previously malaria-free regions. Quantifying the connectivity between regions due to human travel, measuring malaria transmission intensity in different areas, and monitoring parasite spatial spread are therefore key issues for policy-makers because they underpin the feasibility of elimination and inform the path to its attainment. To this end, recent efforts have been made to develop new approaches to incorporating human mobility into spatial epidemiological models, for example using mobile phone data, and there has been a surge of interest in collecting spatially informative parasite samples to measure the genomic signatures of parasite connectivity. Due to their complicated life-cycles, Plasmodium parasites pose unique challenges to researchers in this respect and new methods that move beyond traditional phylogenetic and population genetic tools must be developed to harness genetic information effectively. Here, we discuss the spatial epidemiology of malaria in the context of transmission-reduction interventions, and the challenges and promising directions for the development of integrated mapping, modeling, and genomic approaches that leverage disparate data sets to measure both connectivity and transmission.

epidemiology↗

bioRxiv2018

Estimating the impact of city-wide Aedes aegypti population control: An observational study in Iquitos, Peru

During the last 50 years, the geographic range of the mosquito Aedes aegypti has increased dramatically, in parallel with a sharp increase in the disease burden from the viruses it transmits, including Zika, chikungunya, and dengue. There is a growing consensus that vector control is essential to prevent Aedes-borne diseases, even as effective vaccines become available. What remains unclear is how effective vector control is across broad operational scales because the data and the analytical tools necessary to isolate the effect of vector-oriented interventions have not been available. We developed a statistical framework to model Ae. aegypti abundance over space and time and applied it to explore the impact of citywide vector control conducted by the Ministry of Health (MoH) in Iquitos, Peru, over a 12-year period. Citywide interventions involved multiple rounds of intradomicile insecticide space spray over large portions of urban Iquitos (up to 40% of all residences) in response to dengue outbreaks. Our model captured significant levels of spatial, temporal, and spatio-temporal variation in Ae. aegypti abundance within and between years and across the city. We estimated the shape of the relationship between the coverage of neighborhood-level vector control and reductions in female Ae. aegypti abundance; i.e., the dose-response curve. The dose-response curve, with its associated uncertainties, can be used to gauge the necessary spraying effort required to achieve a desired effect and is a critical tool currently absent from vector control programs. We found that with complete neighborhood coverage MoH intra-domicile space spray would decrease Ae. aegypti abundance on average by 67% in the treated neighborhood. Our framework can be directly translated to other interventions in other locations with geolocated mosquito abundance data. Results from our analysis can be used to inform future vector-control applications in Ae. aegypti endemic areas globally.\n\nAuthor SummaryDespite the growing threat of arboviruses, there is a dearth of best practices for the primary vector control tools used in the field. In the absence of cluster randomized control trials, evidence on the utility (or lack thereof) of vector control interventions must be gleaned from ongoing control programs. Motivated by 12 years of household-level Ae. aegypti abundance surveys and neighborhood-level space-spray campaign data from Iquitos, Peru, we developed a new framework to model mosquito abundance. In spite of significant spatial and temporal heterogeneity, we identified a statistically significant and practically important impact of the local Ministry of Health space-spray campaign, specifically, a reduction of mosquito abundance of 67% when coverage was optimal. Our framework can be directly applied to other locations with geolocated mosquito abundance data and our findings can be used to both optimize resources within Iquitos as well as inform future vector-control interventions in Ae. aegypti endemic areas globally.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2018

Downgrading disease transmission risk estimates using terminal importations

As emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases like dengue, Ebola, chikungunya, and Zika threaten new populations worldwide, officials scramble to assess local severity and transmissibility, with little to no epidemiological history to draw upon. Standard methods for assessing autochthonous (local) transmission risk make either indirect estimates based on ecological suitability or direct estimates only after local cases accumulate. However, an overlooked source of epidemiological data that can meaningfully inform risk assessments prior to outbreak emergence is the absence of transmission by imported cases. Here, we present a method for updating a priori ecological estimates of transmission risk using real-time importation data. We demonstrate our method using Zika importation and transmission data from Texas in 2016, a high-risk region in the southern United States. Our updated risk estimates are lower than previously reported, with only six counties in Texas likely to sustain a Zika epidemic, and consistent with the number of autochthonous cases detected in 2017. Importation events can thereby provide critical, early insight into local transmission risks as infectious diseases expand their global reach.

epidemiology↗