Ouerghi, F. | Search bioRxiv

bioRxiv2024

On forensic likelihood ratios from low-coverage sequencing

Advances in sequencing technology are allowing forensic scientists to access genetic information from increasingly challenging samples. A recently published computational approach, IBDGem, analyzes sequencing reads, including from low-coverage samples, in order to arrive at likelihood ratios for human identification. Here, we show that likelihood ratios produced by IBDGem are best interpreted as testing a null hypothesis different from the traditional one used in a forensic genetics context. In particular, rather than testing the hypothesis that the sample comes from a person unrelated to the person of interest, IBDGem tests the hypothesis that the sample comes from an individual who is included in the reference database used to run the method. This null hypothesis is not generally of forensic interest, because the defense hypothesis is not typically that the evidence comes from an individual included in a reference database. Moreover, the computed likelihood ratios can be much larger than likelihood ratios computed for the standard forensic null hypothesis, often by many orders of magnitude, thus potentially creating an impression of stronger evidence for identity than is warranted. We lay out this result and illustrate it with examples, giving suggestions for directions that might lead to likelihood ratios that test the typical defense hypothesis.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2022

Causal identification of single-cell experimental perturbation effects with CINEMA-OT

Recent advancements in single-cell technologies allow characterization of experimental perturbations at single-cell resolution. While methods have been developed to analyze such experiments, the application of a strict causal framework has not yet been explored for the inference of treatment effects at the single-cell level. In this work, we present a causal inference based approach to single-cell perturbation analysis, termed CINEMA-OT (Causal INdependent Effect Module Attribution + Optimal Transport). CINEMA-OT separates confounding sources of variation from perturbation effects to obtain an optimal transport matching that reflects counterfactual cell pairs. These cell pairs represent causal perturbation responses permitting a number of novel analyses, such as individual treatment effect analysis, response clustering, attribution analysis, and synergy analysis. We benchmark CINEMA-OT on an array of treatment effect estimation tasks for several simulated and real datasets and show that it outperforms other single-cell perturbation analysis methods. Finally, we perform CINEMA-OT analysis of two newly-generated datasets: (1) rhinovirus and cigarette smoke-exposed airway organoids, and (2) combinatorial cytokine stimulation of immune cells. In these experiments, CINEMA-OT reveals potential mechanisms by which cigarette smoke exposure dulls the airway antiviral response, as well as the logic that governs chemokine secretion and peripheral immune cell recruitment.

bioinformatics↗