Biology subjects

Orban, C.

Publications and source records attributed to Orban, C..

13 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Widespread use of invalid statistical tests in biomedical machine learning

Cross-validation is routinely used to compare performance in biomedical artificial intelligence. Standard tests ignore correlation across cross-validation folds, inflating false-positive rates. In a PRISMA-guided meta-analysis of 184 studies (impact factor [≥] 15) across 30 biomedical fields, 97% use invalid tests. Among studies with abstract-level claims supported by invalid tests, 59% rely on a spurious comparison: one that loses significance after correcting for this correlation. On average, regaining significance requires a 43% larger effect. Extending these findings to the broader literature, we estimate that spurious comparisons occur in nearly two in three studies and support abstract-level claims in nearly one in three studies. Simulations confirm false-positive rates paradoxically approach 100% when cross-validation is repeated to improve stability. We introduce SHARP, a redesign of cross-validation, which best balances false-positive control and power among 13 benchmarked tests. These results reveal widespread fragility in biomedical artificial intelligence and offer a practical route to valid comparisons.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2025

Convergent and divergent brain-cognition relationships during development revealed by cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses in the ABCD Study

How brain networks and cognition co-evolve during development remains poorly understood. Here, we use resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (rs-fMRI) and cognitive data at baseline and Year 2 of 2,949 individuals in the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development (ABCD) Study to examine how stable and changing features of brain network organization predict cognitive development during early adolescence. We find that baseline resting-state functional connectivity (FC) more strongly predicts future cognitive ability than baseline cognitive ability. Models trained on baseline FC to predict baseline cognition generalize better to Year 2 FC and cognition, suggesting that brain-cognition relationships strengthen over time. Intriguingly, baseline FC outperforms longitudinal FC change in predicting future cognitive ability. One potential reason is the lower reliability of FC change compared to baseline FC: ICC = 0.24 vs. 0.56. However, reducing baseline FCs reliability by shortening scan duration only partially narrows the predictive gap, suggesting reliability alone cannot be the full explanation. Furthermore, neither baseline FC nor FC change meaningfully predicts longitudinal change in cognitive ability. We also identify converging and diverging predictive network features across cross-sectional and longitudinal models of brain-cognition relationships, revealing a multivariate twist on Simpsons paradox. Together, these findings suggest that during early adolescence, stable individual differences in brain functional network organization play a more critical role than dynamic changes in shaping future cognitive outcomes.

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2025

Functional MRI Signatures of Autonomic Physiology in Aging

While traditionally regarded as "noise", blood-oxygenation-level-dependent (BOLD) fMRI fluctuations coupled to systemic physiology--such as heart rate and respiratory changes--also hold valuable information about brain vascular properties and autonomic function. In this study, we leverage these physiological BOLD signals to characterize age-related changes in brain physiology. Using a large dataset from the Lifespan Human Connectome Project Aging study, we investigated how the spatiotemporal BOLD-fMRI signatures of autonomic physiology, specifically heart rate and respiratory variation, change with advancing age. Our findings reveal that aging is associated with globally slower respiratory fMRI responses, alongside faster cardiac fMRI responses and enhanced brain-cardiac signal coupling. Moreover, we show that the impact of age on physiological fMRI signals exhibits a notable turning point after age 60, suggesting a critical role of declining vascular health and autonomic function in aging. The potential impact of age-related changes in brain structure, tissue perfusion, and in-scan arousal states on the identified physiological fMRI patterns is also tested and discussed. Altogether, our results underscore significant age effects in the fMRI signatures of systemic physiology, emphasizing the pivotal role of altered vascular properties and autonomic function in aging. Methodologically, this study also demonstrates the utility of resting-state fMRI for extracting multi-parametric information about brain physiology, offering new biomarker opportunities that complement established functional connectivity metrics.

physiology↗

bioRxiv2024

Evaluation of Brain Age as a Specific Marker of Brain Health

Brain age is widely regarded as a powerful marker of general brain health. Brain age models are typically trained on large datasets to predict chronological age, which may offer advantages in predicting specific health outcomes, much like the success of finetuning large language models for specific applications. However, it is also well-accepted that machine learning models trained to directly predict specific outcomes (i.e., direct models) often outperform those trained on surrogate objectives. Therefore, despite their much larger training data, it is unclear whether brain age models outperform direct models in predicting specific brain health outcomes. Here, we compare large-scale brain age models (pretrained on 53,542 participants) and direct models for predicting specific health outcomes related to Alzheimers Disease (AD) dementia. Using anatomical T1 scans from three continents (N = 1,848), we find that summarizing brain age with a single scalar (i.e., brain age gap) led to poor prediction performance. Using higher-dimensional intermediate representations of brain age models led to better prediction, but was still worse than direct models without finetuning. Using intermediate representations of finetuned brain age models was necessary to achieve similar performance as direct models. Overall, our results do not discount brain age as a useful marker of general brain health, but suggest that using chronological age as a pretraining target might be suboptimal for predicting specific health outcomes.

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2024

MRI economics: Balancing sample size and scan duration in brain wide association studies

A pervasive dilemma in brain-wide association studies (BWAS) is whether to prioritize functional MRI (fMRI) scan time or sample size. We derive a theoretical model showing that individual-level phenotypic prediction accuracy increases with sample size and total scan duration (sample size x scan time per participant). The model explains empirical prediction accuracies extremely well across 76 phenotypes from nine resting-fMRI and task-fMRI datasets (R2 = 0.89), spanning a wide range of scanners, acquisitions, racial groups, disorders and ages. For scans [≤]20 mins, prediction accuracy increases linearly with the logarithm of total scan duration, suggesting interchangeability of sample size and scan time. However, sample size is ultimately more important than scan time in determining prediction accuracy. Nevertheless, when accounting for overhead costs associated with each participant (e.g., recruitment costs), to boost prediction accuracy, longer scans can yield substantial cost savings over larger sample size. To achieve high prediction performance, 10-min scans are highly cost inefficient. In most scenarios, the optimal scan time is [≥]20 mins. On average, 30-min scans are the most cost-effective, yielding 22% cost savings over 10-min scans. Overshooting is cheaper than undershooting the optimal scan time, so we recommend aiming for [≥]30 mins. Compared with resting-state whole-brain BWAS, the most cost-effective scan time is shorter for task-fMRI and longer for subcortical-cortical BWAS. Standard power calculations maximize sample size at the expense of scan time. Our study demonstrates that optimizing both sample size and scan time can boost prediction power while cutting costs. Our empirically informed reference is available for future study planning: WEB_APPLICATION_LINK

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2022

Homotopic local-global parcellation of the human cerebral cortex from resting-state functional connectivity

Resting-state fMRI is commonly used to derive brain parcellations, which are widely used for dimensionality reduction and interpreting human neuroscience studies. We previously developed a model that integrates local and global approaches for estimating areal-level cortical parcellations. The resulting local-global parcellations are often referred to as the Schaefer parcellations. However, the lack of homotopic correspondence between left and right Schaefer parcels has limited their use for brain lateralization studies. Here, we extend our previous model to derive homotopic areal-level parcellations. Using resting-fMRI and task-fMRI across diverse scanners, acquisition protocols, preprocessing and demographics, we show that the resulting homotopic parcellations are as homogeneous as the Schaefer parcellations, while being more homogeneous than five publicly available parcellations. Furthermore, weaker correlations between homotopic parcels are associated with greater lateralization in resting network organization, as well as lateralization in language and motor task activation. Finally, the homotopic parcellations agree with the boundaries of a number of cortical areas estimated from histology and visuotopic fMRI, while capturing sub-areal (e.g., somatotopic and visuotopic) features. Overall, these results suggest that the homotopic local- global parcellations represent neurobiologically meaningful subdivisions of the human cerebral cortex and will be a useful resource for future studies. Multi-resolution parcellations estimated from 1479 participants are publicly available (GITHUB_LINK).

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2021

Anatomical and Functional Gradients Shape Dynamic Functional Connectivity in the Human Brain

Large-scale biophysical circuit models can provide mechanistic insights into the fundamental micro-scale and macro-scale properties of brain organization that shape complex patterns of spontaneous brain activity. By allowing local synaptic properties to vary across brain regions, recent large-scale circuit models have demonstrated better fit to empirical observations, such as inter-regional synchrony averaged over several minutes, i.e. static functional connectivity (FC). However, most previous models do not capture how inter-regional synchrony patterns vary over timescales of seconds, i.e., time-varying FC dynamics. Here we developed a spatially-heterogeneous large-scale dynamical circuit model that allowed for variation in local circuit properties across the human cortex. We showed that parameterizing local circuit properties with both anatomical and functional gradients was necessary for generating realistic static and dynamical properties of resting-state fMRI activity. Furthermore, empirical and simulated FC dynamics demonstrated remarkably similar sharp transitions in FC patterns, suggesting the existence of multiple attractors. We found that time-varying regional fMRI amplitude tracked multi-stability in FC dynamics. Causal manipulation of the large-scale circuit model suggested that sensory-motor regions were a driver of FC dynamics. Finally, the spatial distribution of sensory-motor drivers matched the principal gradient of gene expression that encompassed certain interneuron classes, suggesting that heterogeneity in excitation-inhibition balance might shape multi-stability in FC dynamics.

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2021

Individual-Specific Areal-Level Parcellations Improve Functional Connectivity Prediction of Behavior

Resting-state functional MRI (rs-fMRI) allows estimation of individual-specific cortical parcellations. We have previously developed a multi-session hierarchical Bayesian model (MS-HBM) for estimating high-quality individual-specific network-level parcellations. Here, we extend the model to estimate individual-specific areal-level parcellations. While network-level parcellations comprise spatially distributed networks spanning the cortex, the consensus is that areal-level parcels should be spatially localized, i.e., should not span multiple lobes. There is disagreement about whether areal-level parcels should be strictly contiguous or comprise multiple non-contiguous components, therefore we considered three areal-level MS-HBM variants spanning these range of possibilities. Individual-specific MS-HBM parcellations estimated using 10min of data generalized better than other approaches using 150min of data to out-of-sample rs-fMRI and task-fMRI from the same individuals. Resting-state functional connectivity (RSFC) derived from MS-HBM parcellations also achieved the best behavioral prediction performance. Among the three MS-HBM variants, the strictly contiguous MS-HBM (cMS-HBM) exhibited the best resting-state homogeneity and most uniform within-parcel task activation. In terms of behavioral prediction, the gradient-infused MS-HBM (gMS-HBM) was numerically the best, but differences among MS-HBM variants were not statistically significant. Overall, these results suggest that areal-level MS-HBMs can capture behaviorally meaningful individual-specific parcellation features beyond group-level parcellations. Multi-resolution trained models and parcellations are publicly available (https://github.com/ThomasYeoLab/CBIG/tree/master/stable_projects/brain_parcellation/Kong2022_ArealMSHBM).

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2020

Shared and unique brain network features predict cognition, personality and mental health in childhood

The manner through which individual differences in brain network organization track population-level behavioral variability is a fundamental question in systems neuroscience. Recent work suggests that resting-state and task-state functional connectivity can predict specific traits at the individual level. However, the focus of most studies on single behavioral traits has come at the expense of capturing broader relationships across behaviors. Here, we utilized a large-scale dataset of 1858 typically developing children to estimate whole-brain functional network organization that is predictive of individual differences in cognition, impulsivity-related personality, and mental health during rest and task states. Predictive network features were distinct across the broad behavioral domains: cognition, personality and mental health. On the other hand, traits within each behavioral domain were predicted by highly similar network features. This is surprising given decades of research emphasizing that distinct brain networks support different mental processes. Although tasks are known to modulate the functional connectome, we found that predictive network features were similar between resting and task states. Overall, our findings reveal shared brain network features that account for individual variation within broad domains of behavior in childhood, yet are unique to different behavioral domains.

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2019

Time of day is associated with paradoxical reductions in global signal fluctuation and functional connectivity

1.The brain exhibits substantial diurnal variation in physiology and function but neuroscience studies rarely report or consider the effects of time of day. Here, we examined variation in resting-state fMRI in around 900 subjects scanned between 8am to 10pm on two different days. Multiple studies across animals and humans have demonstrated that the brains global signal amplitude (henceforth referred to as \"fluctuation\") increases with decreased arousal. Thus, in accord with known circadian variation in arousal, we hypothesised that global signal fluctuation would be lowest in the morning, increase in the mid-afternoon and dip in the early evening. Instead, we observed a cumulative decrease (22% between 9am to 9pm) in global signal fluctuation as the day progressed. To put the magnitude of this decrease in context, we note that task-evoked fMRI responses are typically in the order of 1% to 3%. Respiratory variation also decreased with time of day, although control analyses suggested that this did not account for the reduction in GS fluctuation. Finally, time of day was associated with marked decreases in resting state functional connectivity across the whole brain. The magnitude of decrease was significantly stronger than associations between functional connectivity and behaviour (e.g., fluid intelligence). These findings reveal unexpected effects of time of day on the resting human brain, which challenge the prevailing notion that the brains global signal reflects mostly arousal and physiological artefacts. We conclude by discussing potential mechanisms for the observed diurnal variation in resting brain activity and the importance of accounting for time of day in future studies.

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2019

Somatosensory-Motor Dysconnectivity Spans Multiple Transdiagnostic Dimensions of Psychopathology

BackgroundThere is considerable interest in a dimensional transdiagnostic approach to psychiatry. Most transdiagnostic studies have derived factors based only on clinical symptoms, which might miss possible links between psychopathology, cognitive processes and personality traits. Furthermore, many psychiatric studies focus on higher-order association brain networks, thus neglecting the potential influence of huge swaths of the brain.\n\nMethodsA multivariate data-driven approach (partial least squares; PLS) was utilized to identify latent components linking a large set of clinical, cognitive and personality measures to whole-brain resting-state functional connectivity (RSFC) patterns across 224 participants. The participants were either healthy (N=110) or diagnosed with bipolar disorder (N=40), attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (N=37), schizophrenia (N=29) or schizoaffective disorder (N=8). In contrast to traditional case-control analyses, the diagnostic categories were not utilized in the PLS analysis, but were helpful for interpreting the components.\n\nResultsOur analyses revealed three latent components corresponding to general psychopathology, cognitive dysfunction and impulsivity. Each component was associated with a unique whole-brain RSFC signature and shared across all participants. The components were robust across multiple control analyses and replicated using independent task functional magnetic resonance imaging data from the same participants. Strikingly, all three components featured connectivity alterations within the somatosensory-motor network, and its connectivity with subcortical structures and cortical executive networks.\n\nConclusionsWe identified three distinct dimensions with dissociable (but overlapping) whole-brain RSFC signatures across healthy individuals and individuals with psychiatric illness, providing potential intermediate phenotypes that span across diagnostic categories. Our results suggest expanding the focus of psychiatric neuroscience beyond higher-order brain networks.

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2019

Global Signal Regression Strengthens Association between Resting-State Functional Connectivity and Behavior

Global signal regression (GSR) is one of the most debated preprocessing strategies for resting-state functional MRI. GSR effectively removes global artifacts driven by motion and respiration, but also discards globally distributed neural information and introduces negative correlations between certain brain regions. The vast majority of previous studies have focused on the effectiveness of GSR in removing imaging artifacts, as well as its potential biases. Given the growing interest in functional connectivity fingerprinting, here we considered the utilitarian question of whether GSR strengthens or weakens associations between resting-state functional connectivity (RSFC) and multiple behavioral measures across cognition, personality and emotion. By applying the variance component model to the Brain Genomics Superstruct Project (GSP), we found that behavioral variance explained by whole-brain RSFC increased by an average of 47% across 23 behavioral measures after GSR. In the Human Connectome Project (HCP), we found that behavioral variance explained by whole-brain RSFC increased by an average of 40% across 58 behavioral measures, when GSR was applied after ICA-FIX de-noising. To ensure generalizability, we repeated our analyses using kernel regression. GSR improved behavioral prediction accuracies by an average of 64% and 12% in the GSP and HCP datasets respectively. Importantly, the results were consistent across methods. A behavioral measure with greater RSFC-explained variance (using the variance component model) also exhibited greater prediction accuracy (using kernel regression). A behavioral measure with greater improvement in behavioral variance explained after GSR (using the variance component model) also enjoyed greater improvement in prediction accuracy after GSR (using kernel regression). Furthermore, GSR appeared to benefit task performance measures more than self-reported measures. Since GSR was more effective at removing motion-related and respiratory-related artifacts, GSR-related increases in variance explained and prediction accuracies were unlikely the result of motion-related or respiratory-related artifacts. However, it is worth emphasizing that the current study focused on whole-brain RSFC, so it remains unclear whether GSR improves RSFC-behavioral associations for specific connections or networks. Overall, our results suggest that at least in the case for young healthy adults, GSR strengthens the associations between RSFC and most (although not all) behavioral measures. Code for the variance component model and ridge regression can be found here: https://github.com/ThomasYeoLab/CBIG/tree/master/stable_projects/preprocessing/Li2019_GSR. HighlightsO_LIGlobal signal regression improves RSFC-behavior associations C_LIO_LIGlobal signal regression improves RSFC-based behavioral prediction accuracies C_LIO_LIImprovements replicated across two large-scale datasets and methods C_LIO_LITask-performance measures enjoyed greater improvements than self-reported ones C_LIO_LIGSR beneficial even after ICA-FIX C_LI

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2017

Effects of LSD on music-evoked brain activity

Music is a highly dynamic stimulus, and consists of distinct acoustic features, such as pitch, rhythm and timbre. Neuroimaging studies highlight a hierarchy of brain networks involved in music perception. Psychedelic drugs such as lysergic acid diethylamide (LSD) temporary disintegrate the normal hierarchy of brain functioning, and produce profound subjective effects, including enhanced music-evoked emotion. The primary objective of this study was to investigate the acute effects of LSD on music-evoked brain-activity under naturalistic music listening conditions. 16 healthy participants were enrolled in magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) while listening to a 7-minute music piece under eyes-closed conditions on two separate visits (LSD (75 mcg) and placebo). Dynamic time courses for acoustic features were extracted from the music excerpts, and were entered into subject-level fMRI analyses as regressors of interest. Differences between conditions were assessed at group level subsequently, and were related to changes in music-evoked emotions via correlation analyses. Psycho-physiological interactions (PPIs) were carried out to further interrogate underlying music-specific changes in functional connectivity under LSD. Results showed pronounced cortical and subcortical changes in music-evoked brain activity under LSD. Most notable changes in brain activity and connectivity were associated with the component timbral complexity, representing the complexity of the musics spectral distribution, and these occurred in brain networks previously identified for music-perception and music-evoked emotion, and showed an association with enhanced music-evoked feelings of wonder under LSD. The findings shed light on how the brain processes music under LSD, and provide a neurobiological basis for the usefulness of music in psychedelic therapy.

neuroscience↗