Search bioRxiv⌕ Search

Biology subjects

O'Hara, R. B.

Publications and source records attributed to O'Hara, R. B..

8 recordsLinked to original sources

Addressing Data Fragmentation in Biodiversity: A Workflow for integrated Species Distribution Models

AimA comprehensive understanding of the spatial distribution of biodiversity is hindered by fragmented datasets, sampling biases, and inconsistent observation protocols. Here, we present a workflow that integrates disparate datasets to produce large scale maps of biodiversity metrics as a basis for management-relevant information tools. We use integrated species distribution modeling (iSDM) to account for sampling biases and disparate data collection techniques, taking advantage of the vast numbers of open datasets available in data aggregators like GBIF. LocationNorway (excluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen) TaxonVascular plants MethodsThe workflow consists of four main steps: data acquisition, data integration, integrated species distribution modelling (iSDM), and the production of derived outputs. Input data include structured surveys, opportunistic observations, and environmental covariates. These are standardised and integrated into a point-processed based iSDM framework to produce species richness maps, associated uncertainties, and sampling effort maps. The outputs are further processed to identify biodiversity hotspots or to summarise species-environment relationships. The workflow used vascular plant data from Norway, combining occurrence-only and presence-absence datasets with environmental covariates. Outputs were generated at a spatial resolution of 500 x 500 meters, balancing accuracy, computational feasibility and relevance for management decisions. High-performance computing resources were utilized for model fitting and predictions. A subset of available data was used to validate the species richness maps. ResultsWe produced detailed maps of species richness, uncertainties and sampling intensity across Norways heterogeneous landscape, incorporating 1218 species in our final results. The species richness patterns highlight patterns consistent with previous mapping efforts. Validation showed an increase in model accuracy when compared to models which did not use an iSDM framework. The workflow highlights limitations in the infrastructure of the currently openly accessible data, particularly the need for more structured presence-absence datasets and standardized metadata. Main conclusionsThis study underscores the potential of workflows that integrate disparate datasets for biodiversity modeling. To maximize accuracy and utility, future efforts should focus on improving data standardization, the publication and collection of more structured data, and fostering data-sharing collaborations. Advances in the workflow itself, including optimising modelling covariates and integrating more comprehensive spatio-temporal aspects, will also increase the relevance of the outputs. These advances will increase our ability to estimate species richness with a precision and accuracy that can reliably inform conservation and management decisions.

ecology↗

Hierarchical Ordination, A unifying framework for drivers of community processes

Ordination methods have been used by community ecologists to describe and explore the communities they sample by reducing this variation down to a small number of dimensions. More recently, Joint Species Distribution Models have been developed to model and predict the distributions of several species simultaneously. Contemporary models for the data for both of these problems are essentially the same, called Generalised Linear Latent Variable Models (GLLVMs). Based on this we suggest some avenues of cross-fertilisation between the two areas of research. We also describe some of the extensions to GLLVMs, and from this suggest the development of Hierarchical Ordination, as a way of efficiently modelling communities of species in space.

ecology↗

Recognizability bias in citizen science photographs

Citizen science initiatives and automated collection methods increasingly depend on image recognition in order to provide the amounts of observational data research and management needs. Training recognition models, meanwhile, also requires large amounts of data from these sources, creating a feedback loop between the methods and the tools. Species that are harder to recognize, both for humans and machine learning algorithms, are likely to be underreported, and thus be less prevalent in the training data. As a result, the feedback loop may hamper training mostly for species that already pose the greatest challenge. In this study, we trained recognition models for various taxa, and found evidence for a "recognizability bias", where species that models struggle with are also generally underreported. This has implications for the kind of performance one can expect from future models that are trained with more data, including such challenging species. We consider identification methods that rely on more than photographs alone to be important in improving future identification tools.

ecology↗

Model-based ordination with constrained latent variables

O_LIIn community ecology, unconstrained ordination can be used to indirectly explore drivers of community composition, while constrained ordination can be used to directly relate predictors to an ecological community. However, existing constrained ordination methods do not explicitly account for community composition that cannot be explained by the predictors, so that they have the potential to misrepresent community composition if not all predictors are available in the data. C_LIO_LIWe propose and develop a set of new methods for ordination and Joint Species Distribution Modelling (JSDM) as part of the Generalized Linear Latent Variable Model (GLLVM) framework, that incorporate predictors directly into an ordination. This includes a new ordination method that we refer to as concurrent ordination, as it simultaneously constructs unconstrained and constrained latent variables. Both unmeasured residual covariation and predictors are incorporated into the ordination by simultaneously imposing reduced rank structures on the residual covariance matrix and on fixed-effects. C_LIO_LIWe evaluate the method with a simulation study, and show that the proposed developments outperform Canonical Correspondence Analysis (CCA) for Poisson and Bernoulli responses, and perform similar to Redundancy Analysis (RDA) for normally distributed responses, the two most popular methods for constrained ordination in community ecology. Two examples with real data further demonstrate the benefits of concurrent ordination, and the need to account for residual covariation in the analysis of multivariate data. C_LIO_LIThis article contextualizes the role of constrained ordination in the GLLVM and JSDM frameworks, while developing a new ordination method that incorporates the best of unconstrained and constrained ordination, and which overcomes some of the deficiencies of existing classical ordination methods. C_LI

ecology↗

Model-based ordination for species with unequal niche widths

O_LIIt is common practice for ecologists to examine species niches in the study of community composition. The response curve of a species in the fundamental niche is usually assumed to be quadratic. The center of a quadratic curve represents a species optimal environmental conditions, and the width its ability to tolerate deviations from the optimum. C_LIO_LIMost multivariate methods assume species respond linearly to the environment of the niche, or with a quadratic curve that is of equal width and height for all species. However, it is widely understood that some species are generalists who tolerate deviations from their optimal environment better than others. Rare species often tolerate a smaller range of environments than more common species, corresponding to a narrow niche. C_LIO_LIWe propose a new method, for ordination and fitting Joint Species Distribution Models, based on Generalized Linear Mixed-Effects Models, which relaxes the assumptions of equal tolerances and equal maxima. C_LIO_LIBy explicitly estimating species optima, tolerances, and maxima, per ecological gradient, we can better predict change in species communities, and understand how species relate to each other. C_LI

ecology↗

A prior-based approach for hypothesis comparison and its utility to discern among temporal scenarios of divergence

One of the major problems in evolutionary biology is to elucidate the relationships between historical events and the tempo and mode of lineage divergence. The development of relaxed molecular clock models and the increasing availability of DNA sequences resulted in more accurate estimations of taxa divergence times. However, finding the link between competing historical events and divergence is still challenging. Here we investigate assigning constrained-age priors to nodes of interest in a time-calibrated phylogeny as a means of hypothesis comparison. These priors are equivalent to historic scenarios for lineage origin. The hypothesis that best explains the data can be selected by comparing the likelihood values of the competing hypotheses, modelled with different priors. A simulation approach was taken to evaluate the performance of the prior-based method and to compare it with an unconstrained approach. We explored the effect of DNA sequence length and the temporal placement and span of competing hypotheses (i.e. historic scenarios) on selection of the correct hypothesis and the strength of the inference. Competing hypotheses were compared applying a posterior simulation analogue of the Akaike Information Criterion and Bayes factors (obtained after calculation of the marginal likelihood with three estimators: Harmonic Mean, Stepping Stone and Path Sampling). We illustrate the potential application of the prior-based method on an empirical data set to compare competing geological hypotheses explaining the biogeographic patterns in Pleurodeles newts. The correct hypothesis was selected on average 89% times. The best performance was observed with DNA sequence length of 3500-10000 bp. The prior-based method is most reliable when the hypotheses compared are not temporally too close. The strongest inferences were obtained when using the Stepping Stone and Path Sampling estimators. The prior-based approach proved effective in discriminating between competing hypotheses when used on empirical data. The unconstrained analyses performed well but it probably requires additional computational effort. Researchers applying this approach should rely only on inferences with moderate to strong support. The prior-based approach could be applied on biogeographical and phylogeographical studies where robust methods for historical inferences are still lacking.

evolutionary biology↗

The Dynamic Core Microbiome: Structure, Stability And Resistance

The long-term stability of microbiomes is crucial as the persistent occurrence of beneficial microbes and their associated functions ensure host health and well-being. Microbiomes are highly diverse and dynamic, making them challenging to understand. Because many natural systems work as temporal networks, we present an approach that allows identifying meaningful ecological patterns within complex microbiomes: the dynamic core microbiome. On the basis of six marine sponge species sampled monthly over three years, we study the structure, dynamics and stability of their microbiomes. What emerge for each microbiome is a negative relationship between temporal variability and mean abundance. The notion of the dynamic core microbiome allowed us to determine a relevant functional attribute of the microbiome: temporal stability is not determined by the diversity of a hosts microbial assemblages, but rather by the density of those microbes that conform its core microbiome. The core microbial interaction network consisted of complementary members interacting weakly with dominance of comensal and amensal interactions that suggests self-regulation as a key determinant of the temporal stability of the microbiome. These interactions have likely coevolved to maintain host functionality and fitness over ecological, and even evolutionary time scales.

ecology↗

Uncovering The Drivers Of Animal-Host Microbiotas With Joint Distribution Modeling

In addition to the processes structuring free-living communities, host-associated microbiota are directly or indirectly shaped by the host. Therefore, microbiota data have a hierarchical structure where samples are nested under one or several variables representing host-specific factors, often spanning multiple levels of biological organization. Current statistical methods do not accommodate this hierarchical data structure, and therefore cannot explicitly account for the effect of the host in structuring the microbiota. We introduce a novel extension of joint species distribution models which can straightforwardly accommodate and discern between effects such as host phylogeny and traits, recorded covariates like diet and collection site, among other ecological processes. Our proposed methodology includes powerful yet familiar outputs seen in community ecology overall, including: (i) model-based ordination to visualize and quantify the main patterns in the data; (ii) variance partitioning to asses how influential the included host-specific factors are in structuring the microbiota; and (iii) co-occurrence networks to visualize microbe-to-microbe associations.

microbiology↗