Biology subjects

Njuguna, J. N.

Publications and source records attributed to Njuguna, J. N..

4 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Optimizing resource allocation in Miscanthus breeding with sparse testing designs for genomic prediction

Phenotyping high-biomass perennial crops is laborious and the rate of genetic gain in perennial crop breeding programs is typically low. So, it is especially important to identify methods that produce efficiency gains in the breeding process. Miscanthus is a C4 perennial grass with favorable characteristics for producing biomass as a feedstock for biofuels and diverse biobased products. Increasing biomass yield will increase profitability and environmental benefits, so is a key target for Miscanthus breeding. In addition, the identification of well-adapted genotypes across a wide range of environmental conditions requires the establishment of multi-environment trials (METs). Sparse testing is a genomic prediction-based strategy that reduces the phenotyping costs in METs by selecting a subset of genotypes to evaluate in a subset of environments and then predicts the performance of the unobserved genotype-environment combinations. A Miscanthus sacchariflorus (MSA) population comprising 336 genotypes observed across three environments was analyzed. Three prediction models considering main effects (environments, genotypes, genomic) and interaction effects (genotype-by-environment; GxE interaction) were implemented for forecasting dry biomass yield (YDY), total culm (TCM), average internode length (AIL), and culm node number (CNN). Multiple calibration sets based on different compositions and sizes were considered to evaluate performance in terms of the predictive ability (PA) and the mean square error (MSE) for a fixed testing set size. The training set size ranged from 52 to 112 to predict a fixed set of 224 unobserved genotypes across all three environments. The results showed that the model accounting for GxE interaction presented the highest PA and the lowest MSE for CNN (PA: [~]0.77, MSE: [~]0.5) and YDY (PA: [~]0.70, MSE: [~]1.3) while for TCM and AIL these ranged from [~]0.28 to 0.41 and [~]1.3 to 4.3, respectively. Overall, varying training sets and allocation strategies did not affect PA and MSE, with 52 non-overlapping and 0 overlapping genotypes per environment as the optimal cost-effective allocation framework. This suggests that implementing sparse testing designs could significantly reduce phenotyping costs by fivefold, without compromising PA in breeding programs for perennial crops such as Miscanthus.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2026

Multi-trait Multi-environment Genomic Prediction Strategies for Miscanthus sacchariflorus Populations

Genomic selection holds the potential to serve as a strategic tool to enhance the genetic gain of complex traits in Miscanthus breeding programs. The development of improved cultivars requires their assessment for various traits across diverse environments to ensure suitable overall performance. Hence, the multi-trait multi-environment (MTME) genomic prediction (GP) models offer an opportunity to improve selection accuracy. This study aims to evaluate the potential of five GP models: (1) three MTME models including genotype-by-trait-by-environment interaction (GxExT) and (2) two single-trait multi-environment (STME) models (with and without GxE interaction). A Miscanthus sacchariflorus population comprising 336 genotypes evaluated in three environments and scored for four traits (biomass yield YDY, total culm number TCM, average internode length AIL, and culm node number CNN) was analyzed. The predictive ability of the models was evaluated considering three cross-validation schemes resembling realistic scenarios (CV1: predicting new genotypes, CVP: predicting missing traits in a given environment, and CV2: predicting partially observed genotypes). On average, in all cross-validation schemes compared to the STME the predictive ability of the MTME models was 10% to 70% higher for TCM and AIL. On the other hand, for YDY and CNN, both STME models performed similarly or slightly better (between 5 to 64%) than the MTME models in most environments. While the MTME models were not successful for all traits when compared to their STME counterparts, MTME models improved the prediction of the performance of genotypes that were untested across environments or lacked trait information in a specific environment. Overall, our study suggests that MTME GP models can be implemented in Miscanthus breeding programs to improve the predictive ability of the complex traits, shorten breeding cycles, and accelerate selection decisions.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2026

Weather Characterization for Optimizing Genomic Prediction in Miscanthus sacchariflorus

Environmental factors affect crop growth and development thus their consideration across sites and years become essential for genotypic evaluation. Genomic selection (GS) has been broadly implemented to accelerate breeding cycles by skipping field evaluations thus allowing early identification of outperforming genotypes. In this study, 7,740 phenotypic records corresponding to 516 Miscanthus sacchariflorus genotypes evaluated in five locations across three years were considered for analysis. Additionally, environmental data on six weather covariates was implemented to characterize similarities between locations. Different sets of locations of variable sizes were used for model calibration based on two cross-validations (CV00 and CV0) schemes leaving out one location at a time. Predictive ability across locations of the best model varied between 0.45 and 0.90 for both schemes. These results were compared to associate predictive ability in function of weather patterns between training and testing sets to allow models calibration optimization. We found it is feasible to optimize resource allocation by considering environmentally correlated sets. In most cases, the information from only one and, at most, two locations were enough to deliver better results than using all four locations, reducing training sets by up to 75%. The results obtained shed light on helping breeders make informed decisions considering weather data when designing evaluations.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2026

ENHANCING GENOMIC PREDICTION MODELS IN MISCANTHUS POPULATIONS BY INCORPORATING THE GENOTYPE-BY-ENVIRONMENT INTERACTION

Giant Miscanthus giganteus (Mxg) is one of the most promising perennial crops to generate biomass feedstock for bioenergy and biobased products. It is derived from the natural inter-species hybridization of Miscanthus sacchariflorus (Msa) and Miscanthus sinensis (Msi) species, thus population improvement within these species is crucial. Genomic selection (GS) is an attractive option to accelerate breeding of perennial grasses, such as Miscanthus, which requires up to three years of evaluation to produce reliable phenotypic data. Hence, genotypes are observed in multiple years and locations causing inconsistent response patterns from one year to the next, between location, and/or location-by-year combinations. These inconsistencies are known as the genotype-by-environment interaction effect (GxE). Although GS has been successfully implemented in multiple annual crops where straightforward cross-validation schemes exist to assess the levels of predictive ability that can be reached, for perennial crops new cross-validation schemes will help avoid data contamination. Here, we propose a series of cross-validation schemes to evaluate model performance for perennial crops. We perform a case study by analyzing one panel of each species (516 genotypes of Msa, 280 genotypes of Msi) scored for biomass yield at different locations around the world over several years. The results of the different cross-validation schemes provide insights about the usefulness of GS to accelerate the breeding process of Miscanthus species. In addition, leveraging the GxE effects of different types significantly increases predictive ability (up to 10% in Msa and 30% for Msi) compared to the conventional approaches based on main effects only.

genomics↗