Biology subjects

Nichols, T. E.

Publications and source records attributed to Nichols, T. E..

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

bioRxiv2021

The expected behaviour of random fields in high dimensions: contradictions in the results of Bansal and Peterson (2018)

Bansal and Peterson (2018) found that in simple stationary Gaussian simulations Random Field Theory incorrectly estimates the number of clusters of a Gaussian field that lie above a threshold. Their results contradict the existing literature and appear to have arisen due to errors in their code. Using reproducible code we demonstrate that in their simulations Random Field Theory correctly predicts the expected number of clusters and therefore that many of their results are invalid.

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bioRxiv2021

Voxel-wise and spatial modelling of binary lesion masks: A review and comparison of methods

ObjectivesWhite matter lesions are a very common finding on MRI in older adults and their presence increases the risk of stroke and dementia. Accurate and computationally efficient modelling methods are necessary to map the association of lesion incidence with risk factors, such as hypertension. However, there is no consensus in the brain mapping literature whether a voxel-wise modelling approach is better for binary lesion data than a more computationally intensive spatial modelling approach that accounts for voxel dependence. MethodsWe review three regression approaches for modelling binary lesion masks including massunivariate probit regression modelling with either maximum likelihood estimates, or mean bias-reduced estimates, and spatial Bayesian modelling, where the regression coefficients have a conditional autoregressive model prior to account for local spatial dependence. We design a novel simulation framework of artificial lesion maps to compare the three alternative lesion mapping methods. The age effect on lesion probability estimated from a reference data set (13,680 individuals from the UK Biobank) is used to simulate a realistic voxel-wise distribution of lesions across age. To mimic the real features of lesion masks, we propose matching brain lesion summaries (total lesion volume, average lesion size and lesion count) across the reference data set and the simulated data sets. Thus, we allow for a fair comparison between the modelling approaches, under a realistic simulation setting. ResultsOur findings suggest that bias-reduced estimates for voxel-wise binary-response generalized linear models (GLMs) overcome the drawbacks of infinite and biased maximum likelihood estimates and scale well for large data sets because voxel-wise estimation can be performed in parallel across voxels. Contrary to the assumption of spatial dependence being key in lesion mapping, our results show that voxel-wise bias-reduction and spatial modelling result in largely similar estimates. ConclusionBias-reduced estimates for voxel-wise GLMs are not only accurate but also computationally efficient, which will become increasingly important as more biobank-scale neuroimaging data sets become available.

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bioRxiv2021

Genetic influences on brain activation and large-scale functional connectivity during nociceptive processing: a twin study

Nociceptive processing in the human brain is a signal that enables harm avoidance, with large interindividual variance. The relative contributions of genes and environment to the neural structures that support nociception have not been studied in twins previously. Here, we employed a classic twin-design to determine brain structures influenced by additive genetics. We found genetic influences on nociceptive processing in the midcingulate cortex, bilateral posterior insulae and thalamus. In addition to brain activations, we found genetic contributions to large-scale functional connectivity during nociceptive processing. We conclude that additive genetics influence specific aspects of nociceptive processing, which improves our understanding of human nociceptive processing.

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bioRxiv2020

Heterogeneous relationships between white matter and behaviour

Several studies have established specific relationships between White Matter (WM) and behaviour. However, these studies have typically focussed on fractional anisotropy (FA), a neuroimaging metric that is sensitive to multiple tissue properties, making it difficult to identify what biological aspects of WM may drive such relationships. Here, we carry out a pre-registered assessment of WM-behaviour relationships in 50 healthy individuals across multiple behavioural and anatomical domains, and complementing FA with myelin-sensitive quantitative MR modalities (MT, R1, R2*). Surprisingly, we only find support for predicted relationships between FA and behaviour in one of three pre-registered tests. For one behavioural domain, where we failed to detect an FA-behaviour correlation, we instead find evidence for a correlation between behaviour and R1. This hints that multimodal approaches are able to identify a wider range of WM-behaviour relationships than focusing on FA alone. To test whether a common biological substrate such as myelin underlies WM-behaviour relationships, we then ran joint multimodal analyses, combining across all MRI parameters considered. No significant multimodal signatures were found and power analyses suggested that sample sizes of 40 to 200 may be required to detect such joint multimodal effects, depending on the task being considered. These results demonstrate that FA-behaviour relationships from the literature can be replicated, but may not be easily generalisable across domains. Instead, multimodal microstructural imaging may be best placed to detect a wider range of WM-behaviour relationships, as different MRI modalities provide distinct biological sensitivities. Our findings highlight a broad heterogeneity in WMs relationship with behaviour, suggesting that variable biological effects may be shaping their interaction. HighlightsO_LIPre-registered testing of microstructural imaging across modalities (FA, MT, R1, R2*) to test WM-behaviour relationships. C_LIO_LIPartial support for FA-behaviour relationships hypothesised based on previous literature. C_LIO_LIMultimodal approaches can help detect WM-behaviour relationships that are not detected with FA alone. C_LIO_LISample sizes of 40 to 200 may be needed to detect myelin-behaviour relationships in joint multimodal analyses. C_LIO_LIVariable biological effects may be shaping WM-behaviour relationships. C_LI

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bioRxiv2020

Multimodal imaging brain markers in early adolescence are linked with a physically active lifestyle

The World Health Organization (WHO) promotes physical exercise and a healthy lifestyle as means to improve youth development. However, relationships between physical lifestyle and brain development are not fully understood. Here, we asked whether a brain - physical latent mode of covariation underpins the relationship between physical activity, fitness, and physical health measures with multimodal neuroimaging markers. In 50 12-year old school pupils (26 females), we acquired multimodal whole-brain MRI, characterizing brain structure, microstructure, function, myelin content, and blood perfusion. We also acquired physical variables measuring objective fitness levels, 7-days physical activity, body-mass index, heart rate, and blood pressure. Using canonical correlation analysis we unravel a latent mode of brain - physical covariation, independent of demographics, school, or socioeconomic status. We show that MRI metrics with greater involvement in this mode also showed spatially extended patterns across the brain. Specifically, global patterns of greater grey matter perfusion, volume, cortical surface area, greater white matter extra-neurite density, and resting state networks activity, covaried positively with measures reflecting a physically active phenotype (high fit, low sedentary individuals). Showing that a physically active lifestyle is linked with systems-level brain MRI metrics, these results suggest widespread associations relating to several biological processes. These results support the notion of close brain-body relationships and underline the importance of investigating modifiable lifestyle factors not only for physical health but also for brain health early in adolescence. Significance statementAn active lifestyle is key for healthy development. In this work, we answer the following question: How do brain neuroimaging markers relate with young adolescents level of physical activity, fitness, and physical health? Combining advanced whole-brain multimodal MRI metrics with computational approaches, we show a robust relationship between physically active lifestyles and spatially extended, multimodal brain imaging derived phenotypes. Suggesting a wider effect on brain neuroimaging metrics than previously thought, this work underlies the importance of studying physical lifestyle, as well as other brain - body relationships in an effort to foster brain health at this crucial stage in development.

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bioRxiv2020

Statistical Pitfalls in Brain Age Analyses

Over the past decade, there has been an abundance of research on the difference between age and age predicted using brain features, which is commonly referred to as the "brain age gap". Researchers have identified that the brain age gap, as a linear transformation of an out-of-sample residual, is dependent on age. As such, any group differences on the brain age gap could simply be due to group differences on age. To mitigate the brain age gaps dependence on age, it has been proposed that age be regressed out of the brain age gap. If this modified brain age gap (MBAG) is treated as a corrected deviation from age, model accuracy statistics such as R2 will be artificially inflated. Given the limitations of proposed brain age analyses, further theoretical work is warranted to determine the best way to quantify deviation from normality. HighlightsO_LIThe brain age gap is an out-of-sample residual, and as such varies as a function of age. C_LIO_LIA recently proposed modification of the brain age gap, designed to mitigate the dependence on age, results in inflated model accuracy statistics if used incorrectly. C_LIO_LIGiven these limitations, we suggest that new methods should be developed to quantify deviation from normal developmental and aging trajectories. C_LI

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bioRxiv2020

Spatial Confidence Sets for Standardized Effect Size Images

Current statistical inference methods for task-fMRI suffer from two fundamental limitations. First, the focus is solely on detection of non-zero signal or signal change, a problem that is exasperated for large scale studies (e.g. UK Biobank, N = 40, 000+) where the null hypothesis fallacy causes even trivial effects to be determined as significant. Second, for any sample size, widely used cluster inference methods only indicate regions where a null hypothesis can be rejected, without providing any notion of spatial uncertainty about the activation. In this work, we address these issues by developing spatial Confidence Sets (CSs) on clusters found in thresholded Cohens d effect size images. We produce an upper and lower CS to make confidence statements about brain regions where Cohens d effect sizes have exceeded and fallen short of a non-zero threshold, respectively. The CSs convey information about the magnitude and reliability of effect sizes that is usually given separately in a t-statistic and effect estimate map. We expand the theory developed in our previous work on CSs for %BOLD change effect maps (Bowring et al., 2019) using recent results from the bootstrapping literature. By assessing the empirical coverage with 2D and 3D Monte Carlo simulations resembling fMRI data, we find our method is accurate in sample sizes as low as N = 60. We compute Cohens d CSs for the Human Connectome Project working memory taskfMRI data, illustrating the brain regions with a reliable Cohens d response for a given threshold. By comparing the CSs with results obtained from a traditional statistical voxelwise inference, we highlight the improvement in activation localization that can be gained with the Confidence Sets.

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bioRxiv2019

Standardized Effect Sizes and Image-Based Meta-Analytical Approaches for fMRI Data.

Scientific progress is based on the ability to compare opposing theories and thereby develop consensus among existing hypotheses or create new ones. We argue that data aggregation (i.e. combine data across studies or research groups) for neuroscience is an important tool in this process. An important prerequisite is the ability to directly compare fMRI results over studies. In this paper, we discuss how an observed effect size in an fMRI data-analysis can be transformed into a standardized effect size. We demonstrate how these enable direct comparison and data aggregation over studies. Furthermore, we also discuss the influence of key parameters in the design of an fMRI experiment (such as number of scans and the sample size) on (statistical) properties of standardized effect sizes. In the second part of the paper, we give an overview of two approaches to aggregate fMRI results over studies. The first corresponds to extending the two-level general linear model approach as is typically used in individual fMRI studies with a third level. This requires the parameter estimates corresponding to the group models from each study together with estimated variances and meta-data. Unfortunately, there is a risk of running into unit mismatches when the primary studies use different scales to measure the BOLD response. To circumvent, it is possible to aggregate (unitless) standardized effect sizes which can be derived from summary statistics. We discuss a general model to aggregate these and different approaches to deal with between-study heterogeneity. Furthermore, we hope to further promote the usage of standardized effect sizes in fMRI research.

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bioRxiv2019

Quantifying uncertainty in brain-predicted age using scalar-on-image quantile regression

Prediction of subject age from brain anatomical MRI has the potential to provide a sensitive summary of brain changes, indicative of different neurodegenerative diseases. However, existing studies typically neglect the uncertainty of these predictions. In this work we take into account this uncertainty by applying methods of functional data analysis. We propose a penalised functional quantile regression model of age on brain structure with cognitively normal (CN) subjects in the Alzheimers Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI), and use it to predict brain age in Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI) and Alzheimers Disease (AD) subjects. Unlike the machine learning approaches available in the literature of brain age prediction, which provide only point predictions, the outcome of our model is a prediction interval for each subject.

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bioRxiv2019

Variability in the analysis of a single neuroimaging dataset by many teams

Data analysis workflows in many scientific domains have become increasingly complex and flexible. To assess the impact of this flexibility on functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) results, the same dataset was independently analyzed by 70 teams, testing nine ex-ante hypotheses. The flexibility of analytic approaches is exemplified by the fact that no two teams chose identical workflows to analyze the data. This flexibility resulted in sizeable variation in hypothesis test results, even for teams whose statistical maps were highly correlated at intermediate stages of their analysis pipeline. Variation in reported results was related to several aspects of analysis methodology. Importantly, meta-analytic approaches that aggregated information across teams yielded significant consensus in activated regions across teams. Furthermore, prediction markets of researchers in the field revealed an overestimation of the likelihood of significant findings, even by researchers with direct knowledge of the dataset. Our findings show that analytic flexibility can have substantial effects on scientific conclusions, and demonstrate factors related to variability in fMRI. The results emphasize the importance of validating and sharing complex analysis workflows, and demonstrate the need for multiple analyses of the same data. Potential approaches to mitigate issues related to analytical variability are discussed.

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bioRxiv2019

Brain aging comprises multiple modes of structural and functional change with distinct genetic and biophysical associations

Brain imaging can be used to study how individuals brains are aging, compared against population norms. This can inform on aspects of brain health; for example, smoking and blood pressure can be seen to accelerate brain aging. Typically, a single "brain age" is estimated per subject, whereas here we we identified 62 modes of subject variability, from 21,407 subjects multimodal brain imaging data in UK Biobank. The modes represent different aspects of brain aging, showing distinct patterns of functional and structural brain change, and distinct patterns of association with genetics, lifestyle, cognition, physical measures and disease. While conventional brain-age modelling found no genetic associations, 34 modes had genetic associations. We suggest that it is important not to treat brain aging as a single homogeneous process, and that modelling of distinct patterns of structural and functional change will reveal more biologically meaningful markers of brain aging in health and disease.

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bioRxiv2019

Multiple testing correction over contrasts for brain imaging

The multiple testing problem arises not only when there are many voxels or vertices in an image representation of the brain, but also when multiple contrasts of parameter estimates (that is, hypotheses) are tested in the same general linear model. Here we argue that a correction for this multiplicity must be performed to avoid excess of false positives. Various methods have been proposed in the literature, but few have been applied to brain imaging. Here we discuss and compare different methods to make such correction in different scenarios, showing that one classical and well known method is invalid, and argue that permutation is the best option to perform such correction due to its exactness and flexibility to handle a variety of common imaging situations.

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bioRxiv2019

Multi-Subject Stochastic Blockmodels for Adaptive Analysis of Individual Differences in Human Brain Network Cluster Structure.

There is great interest in elucidating the cluster structure of brain networks in terms of modules, blocks or clusters of similar nodes. However, it is currently challenging to handle data on multiple subjects since most of the existing methods are applicable only on a subject-by-subject basis or for analysis of a group average network. The main limitation of per-subject models is that there is no obvious way to combine the results for group comparisons, and of group-averaged models that they do not reflect the variability between subjects. Here, we propose two novel extensions of the classical Stochastic Blockmodel (SBM) that use a mixture model to estimate blocks or clusters of connected nodes, combined with a regression model to capture the effects on cluster structure of individual differences on subject-level covariates. Multi-subject Stochastic Blockmodels (MS-SBM) can flexibly account for between-subject variability in terms of a homogenous or heterogeneous effect on connectivity of covariates such as age or diagnostic status. Using synthetic data, representing a range of block sizes and cluster structures, we investigate the accuracy of the estimated MS-SBM parameters as well as the validity of inference procedures based on Wald, likelihood ratio and Monte Carlo permutation tests. We show that multi-subject SBMs recover the true cluster structure of synthetic networks more accurately and adaptively than standard methods for modular decomposition. Permutation tests of MS-SBM parameters were more robustly valid for statistical inference and Type I error control than tests based on standard asymptotic assumptions. Applied to analysis of multi-subject resting state fMRI networks (13 healthy volunteers; 12 people with schizophrenia; N = 268 brain regions), we show that the Heterogeneous Stochastic Blockmodel estimates core-on-modules architecture. The intra-block and inter-block connection weights vary between individual participants and can be modelled as a logistic function of subject-level covariates like age or diagnostic status. Multi-subject Stochastic Blockmodels are likely to be useful tools for statistical analysis of individual differences in human brain graphs and other networks whose prior cluster structure needs to be estimated from the data.

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bioRxiv2019

Estimation of Brain Age Delta from Brain Imaging

It is of increasing interest to study "brain age" - the apparent age of a subject, as inferred from brain imaging data. The difference between brain age and actual age (the "delta") is typically computed, reflecting deviation from the population norm. This therefore may reflect accelerated aging (positive delta) or resilience (negative delta) and has been found to be a useful correlate with factors such as disease and cognitive decline. However, although there has been a range of methods proposed for estimating brain age, there has been little study of the optimal ways of computing the delta. In this technical note we describe problems with the most common current approach, and present potential improvements. We evaluate different estimation methods on simulated and real data. We also find the strongest correlations of corrected brain age delta with 5,792 non-imaging variables (non-brain physical measures, life-factor measures, cognitive test scores, etc.), and also with 2,641 multimodal brain imaging-derived phenotypes, with data from 19,000 participants in UK Biobank.

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bioRxiv2018

Selective peak inference: Unbiased estimation of raw and standardized effect size at local maxima

The spatial signals in neuroimaging mass univariate analyses can be characterized in a number of ways, but one widely used approach is peak inference: the identification of peaks in the image. Peak locations and magnitudes provide a useful summary of activation and are routinely reported, however, the magnitudes reflect selection bias as these points have both survived a threshold and are local maxima. In this paper we propose the use of resampling methods to estimate and correct this bias in order to estimate both the raw units change as well as standardized effect size measured with Cohens d and partial R2. We evaluate our method with a massive open dataset, and discuss how the corrected estimates can be used to perform power analyses.

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bioRxiv2018

Effective Degrees of Freedom of the Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient under Serial Correlation

The dependence between pairs of time series is commonly quantified by Pearsons correlation. However, if the time series are themselves dependent (i.e. exhibit temporal autocorrelation), the effective degrees of freedom (EDF) are reduced, the standard error of the sample correlation coefficient is biased, and Fishers transformation fails to stabilise the variance. Since fMRI time series are notoriously autocorrelated, the issue of biased standard errors - before or after Fishers transformation - becomes vital in individual-level analysis of resting-state functional connectivity (rsFC) and must be addressed anytime a standardized Z-score is computed. We find that the severity of autocorrelation is highly dependent on spatial characteristics of brain regions, such as the size of regions of interest and the spatial location of those regions. We further show that the available EDF estimators make restrictive assumptions that are not supported by the data, resulting in biased rsFC inferences that lead to distorted topological descriptions of the connectome on the individual level. We propose a practical \"xDF\" method that accounts not only for distinct autocorrelation in each time series, but instantaneous and lagged cross-correlation. We find the xDF correction varies substantially over node pairs, indicating the limitations of global EDF corrections used previously. In addition to extensive synthetic and real data validations, we investigate the impact of this correction on rsFC measures in data from the Young Adult Human Connectome Project, showing that accounting for autocorrelation dramatically changes fundamental graph theoretical measures relative to no correction.

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bioRxiv2018

Neural dynamics at rest associated with patterns of ongoing thought

Conscious experience is dynamic, and its fluidity is particularly marked when attention is not occupied by events in the external world and our minds are free to wander. Our study used measures of neural function, and advanced analyses techniques to examine how unconstrained neural state transitions relate to patterns of ongoing experience. Neural activity was recorded during wakeful rest using functional magnetic resonance imaging and Hidden Markov modelling identified recurrent patterns of brain activity constituting functional dynamic brain states. Individuals making more frequent transitions between states subsequently described experiences highlighting problem solving and lacking unpleasant intrusive features. Frequent switching between states also predicted better health and well-being as assessed by questionnaire. These data provide evidence that the fluidity with which individuals shift through dynamic neural states has an impact on the nature of ongoing thought, and suggest that greater flexibility at rest is an important indicator of a healthy mind.

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bioRxiv2018

Modelling the distribution of white matter hyperintensities due to ageing on MRI images using Bayesian inference

White matter hyperintensities (WMH), also known as white matter lesions, are localised white matter areas that appear hyperintense on MRI scans. WMH commonly occur in the ageing population, and are often associated with several factors such as cognitive disorders, cardiovascular risk factors, cerebrovascular and neurodegenerative diseases. Despite the fact that some links between lesion location and parametric factors such as age have already been established, the relationship between voxel-wise spatial distribution of lesions and these factors is not yet well understood. Hence, it would be of clinical importance to model the distribution of lesions at the population-level and quantitatively analyse the effect of various factors on the lesion distribution model.\n\nIn this work we compare various methods, including our proposed method, to generate voxel-wise distributions of WMH within a population with respect to various factors. Our proposed Bayesian spline method models the spatio-temporal distribution of WMH with respect to a parametric factor of interest, in this case age, within a population. Our probabilistic model takes as input the lesion segmentation binary maps of subjects belonging to various age groups and provides a population-level parametric lesion probability map as output. We used a spline representation to ensure a degree of smoothness in space and the dimension associated with the parameter, and formulated our model using a Bayesian framework.\n\nWe tested our algorithm output on simulated data and compared our results with those obtained using various existing methods with different levels of algorithmic and computational complexity. We then compared the better performing methods on a real dataset, consisting of 1000 subjects of the UK Biobank, divided in two groups based on hypertension diagnosis. Finally, we applied our method on a clinical dataset of patients with vascular disease.\n\nOn simulated dataset, the results from our algorithm showed a mean square error (MSE) value of 7.27 x 10-5, which was lower than the MSE value reported in the literature, with the advantage of being robust and computationally efficient. In the UK Biobank data, we found that the lesion probabilities are higher for the hypertension group compared to the non-hypertension group and further verified this finding using a statistical t-test. Finally, when applying our method on patients with vascular disease, we observed that the overall probability of lesions is significantly higher in later age groups, which is in line with the current literature.

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