Biology subjects

Mundkur, T.

Publications and source records attributed to Mundkur, T..

4 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2025

An innovative approach in identifying a network of priority wetland sites in the East Asian-Australasian Flyway for a new sustainable management investment programme

The East Asian-Australasian Flyway (EAAF) is widely recognised to be the most threatened of the eight flyways in the world, with wetlands rapidly lost due to land cover change, unsustainable use, and the wider impacts of climate change. The recently established Regional Flyway Initiative aims to bring a network of priority wetlands in the EAAF under improved protection, management, and restoration in 10 Asian countries, while mobilising resources for sustainable agriculture, aquaculture, ecotourism, and other livelihoods for local communities. A major step in the development of this initiative is the identification of priority wetland sites through the application of international criteria, based on modern waterbird count data collated from wetland sites across Asia. Through existing analyses and stakeholder consultations, we short-listed 400 internationally important wetlands as candidate sites for further assessment. Count data of EAAF waterbird species was then assessed against international criteria aligned with the Convention on Wetlands (Ramsar Convention), the EAAF Partnerships Flyway Site Network and Important Bird Areas and Biodiversity for each site to iteratively identify a subset of priority sites, drawing on newly available species population thresholds. Each site was scored and ranked using a metric (Prioritisation Criterion1) calculated from the proportions of every occurring EAAF species against published population thresholds. We identified a total of 147 wetland sites of high conservation priority across the 10 countries, thereby representing the full suite of wetland landscapes and habitats in Asia, both freshwater and coastal, all critical sites for the conservation of migratory waterbirds in the flyway. At least 34 threatened species, including significant proportions of their global populations are represented in this network of 147 sites. To ensure that conservation opportunities are maximised for species and ecosystem services, there is a need to ensure that selected sites and landscapes are reconciled with the conservation and development priorities of each country, and to evaluate priority sites for their ecosystem services.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2022

Strong and consistent associations of waterbird community composition with HPAI H5 occurrence in European wild birds

Since 2014, highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5 viruses of clade 2.3.4.4 have been dominating the outbreaks across Europe, causing massive deaths among poultry and wild birds. However, the factors shaping its broad-scale outbreak patterns remain unclear. With extensive waterbird survey datasets of about 7,000 sites across Europe, we here demonstrated that H5N8 occurrence in wild birds in the 2016/17 and 2020/21 epidemics as well as H5N1 occurrence in 2005/06 epidemic were strongly associated with very similar waterbird community attributes, pointing to the possibility of similar interspecific transmission processes between different epidemics. A simple extrapolation of the model constructed from the 2016/17 epidemic can well predict the H5N8 pattern in wild birds in 2020/21 epidemic. We also found a dilution effect of phylogenetic diversity that was always negatively correlated with H5 occurrence in wild birds. In contrast, H5N8 occurrence in poultry was subject to different risk factors between the two epidemics. In general, waterbird community composition play a much more important role in determining the spatial pattern of H5N8 in wild birds than in poultry. Our work contributes to reveal the factors driving H5N8 patterns, and highlights the value of waterbird community factors in future HPAI surveillance and prediction.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

Responses of global waterbird populations to climate change vary with latitude

While climate change continues to present a major threat to global biodiversity and ecosystems, most research on climate change impacts do not have the resolution to detect changes in species abundance and are often limited to temperate ecosystems. This limits our understanding of global responses in species abundance--a determinant of ecosystem function and services--to climate change including in the highly-biodiverse tropics. We address this knowledge gap by quantifying abundance responses to climate change in waterbirds, an indicator taxon of wetland biodiversity, at 6,822 sites between -55{degrees} and 64{degrees}. Using 1,303,651 count records since 1990 of 390 species, we show that with temperature increase, the abundance of species and populations decreased at lower latitudes, particularly in the tropics, but increased at higher latitudes. These contrasting responses to temperature increase according to latitude indicate potential global-scale poleward shifts of species abundance under climate change, providing empirical support for predictions by earlier studies. The negative responses to temperature increase in tropical species and populations are of conservation concern, as they are often also threatened by other anthropogenic factors. Our results suggest that existing biases in studies towards temperate regions could underestimate the impact of climate change on waterbirds and other species.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2017

Mapping critical habitat of waterbirds in the Arctic for risk management in respect of IFC PS6

O_LIEconomic development and energy exploration are increasing in the Arctic. Important breeding habitats for many waterbird species, which have previously been relatively undisturbed, are now being subjected to these anthropogenic pressures. The conservation of the habitats and the species they support is a significant challenge for sustainable development. Even if governments and corporates operating in this fragile environment are committed to sustainable development, there is little information available to avoid, mitigate and manage environmental risk and impacts. Taking a risk management perspective, we followed the International Finance Corporations (IFC) Performance Standard 6 (PS6) criteria on Environmental and Social Sustainability and developed an approach to identify \"critical habitat\", as defined in IFC PS6, for waterbird species breeding in the Arctic. While the range of these waterbirds is roughly known, more accuracy is needed for proper risk assessment.\nC_LIO_LIWe have therefore gone a step further by modelling suitable habitat within these ranges. Depending on the relevance of the species for IFC PS6 and the level of certainty we separated the classes likely and potential critical habitat. We tested the approach for Russian breeding populations of five Anatidae species (White-fronted Goose Anser albifrons, Lesser White-fronted Goose Anser erythropus, Brent Goose Branta bernicla, Redbreasted Goose Branta ruficollis and Bewicks Swan Cygnus columbianus bewicki). Likely critical habitats were identified through a review of literature and available data for these waterbird species and multi-species congregations. To address the information gap for most of the Russian Arctic a species distribution modelling approach was used. The outputs of this approach were labelled as potential critical habitat, indicating the lower level of certainty than likely critical habitat.\nC_LIO_LIBased on existing information the amount of likely critical habitat is estimated to be at least x,xxx,xxx km2. For the five Anatidae species, X,XXX,XXX km2 potential critical habitat was identified; 95% of these areas were outside of the area boundaries of likely critical habitat for the species.\nC_LIO_LIInsufficient data in the east of the study area did affect the results, as some areas known to support breeding populations were not identified as suitable. Conversely, species distributions may be overpredicted in other areas; It should also be recognized that the analyzed species currently have depressed populations and may therefore only utilize a proportion of suitable habitat available.\nC_LIO_LIFor risk assessment purposes however, it is better to predict false positives, rather than false negatives. The study indicates that there are large areas in the Arctic that are potentially important for each of the Anatidae species modelled, but are not yet recognised as key important areas. The results confirm that there is still much to learn about waterbird distribution and abundance in the Russian Arctic.\nC_LIO_LISynthesis and applications The critical habitat maps produced do not just provide a new source of information for the economic development sector, but provide it in a way that is relevant to the sector and directly applicable. The maps are useful for initial risk assessments of potential developments, to identify likely impacts and to consider mitigation options, in accordance with IFC PS6. Risk assessors should exercise caution and detailed surveys for any development in areas predicted to be suitable for each species should be carried out.\nC_LI

ecology↗