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Mooring, E. Q.

Publications and source records attributed to Mooring, E. Q..

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Programmatic goals and spatial epidemiology influence the merit of targeted versus of population-wide interventions for yaws eradication

Infectious disease eradication programs often pursue spatially targeted interventions, but how well they perform might depend on the underlying spatial epidemiology and the specific goal of the program. We use a stochastic compartmental metapopulation model of yaws transmission to investigate how total targeted treatment (TTT) performs compared to mass drug administration (MDA) in different settings. While TTT can efficiently control the prevalence of active yaws disease, we consistently found that multiple rounds of TTT are required to match the impact of 1 round of MDA on the prevalence of latent yaws infection. When complete eradication of yaws is the goal, MDA can achieve the same result as TTT more quickly and probably at lower cost. We found that the performance of TTT is improved when there is little mixing between subpopulations and when there is spatial heterogeneity in transmissibility, but even in these settings, our model suggests that MDA will still outperform TTT.\n\nSignificance StatementYaws is a neglected tropical disease that causes skin lesions. Eradicating yaws is challenging because people can be infected but not show any signs or symptoms for years. Using simulations, we found that targeting antibiotics to people with active yaws and to their neighbors is a good way to combat active yaws, but treating entire populations is a better way to get rid of all infections, including the hidden ones. Also, targeted treatment works better in populations in which people do not move around much and in which how easily the disease is transmitted varies from place to place. Overall, a targeted treatment strategy uses fewer antibiotics but takes longer than mass treatment to achieve results.

epidemiology↗

Spatial-temporal clustering analysis of yaws on Lihir Island, Papua New Guinea to enhance planning and implementation of eradication programs

BackgroundIn the global program for the eradication of yaws, assessments of the prevalence of the disease are used to decide where to initiate mass treatment. However, the smallest administrative unit which should be used as the basis for making decisions is not clear. We investigated spatial and temporal clustering of yaws to help inform the choice of implementation unit.\n\nMethodology/Principal findingsWe analyzed 11 years of passive surveillance data on incident yaws cases (n = 1448) from Lihir Island, Papua New Guinea. After adjusting for age, sex, and trends in health-seeking, we detected three non-overlapping spatiotemporal clusters (p < 1 x 10-17, p = 1.4 x 10-14, p = 1.4 x 10-8). These lasted from 28 to 47 months in duration and each encompassed between 4 and 6 villages. We also assessed spatial clustering of prevalent yaws cases (n = 532) that had been detected in 7 biannual active case finding surveys beginning in 2013. We identified 1 statistically significant cluster in each survey. We considered the possibility that schools that serve multiple villages might be loci of transmission, but we found no evidence that incident cases of yaws among 8- to 14-year-olds clustered within primary school attendance areas (p = 0.684).\n\nConclusions/SignificanceThese clusters likely reflect transmission of yaws across village boundaries; villages may be epidemiologically linked to a degree such that mass drug administration may be more effectively implemented at a spatial scale larger than the individual village.\n\nAuthor SummaryThe World Health Organization aims to eradicate yaws using mass drug administration (MDA), which consists of treating everyone in an administrative unit with antibiotics. The administrative unit in a country which is used as the basis for making decisions about implementing MDA is called the implementation unit. Prevalence assessments are used to identify endemic communities for mass treatment programs, but the spatial scale (e.g. village, sub-district, district, or province) at which mass treatment should be implemented is currently unclear. The choice of implementation unit depends on many factors; one of these is the underlying transmission patterns of the disease. Using data from Lihir Island, Papua New Guinea, we found that geographic clusters of yaws often spanned multiple villages. These clusters likely reflect transmission of the infectious disease across village boundaries and suggest that it may be best to implement MDA at a spatial scale larger than the individual village, for example at sub-district level.

epidemiology↗