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McKone, T. E.

Publications and source records attributed to McKone, T. E..

2 recordsLinked to original sources

A multivariate analysis of CalEnviroScreen: comparing environmental and socioeconomic stressors versus chronic disease

BackgroundThe health-risk assessment paradigm is shifting from single stressor evaluation towards cumulative assessments of multiple stressors. Recent efforts to develop broad-scale public health hazard datasets provide an opportunity to develop and evaluate multiple exposure hazards in combination.\n\nMethodsWe performed a multivariate study of the spatial relationship between 12 indicators of environmental hazard, 5 indicators of socioeconomic hardship, and 3 health outcomes. Indicators were obtained from CalEnviroScreen (version 3.0), a publicly available environmental justice screening tool developed by the State of California Environmental Protection Agency. The indicators were compared to the total rate of hospitalization for 14 ICD-9 disease categories (a measure of disease burden) at the zip code tabulation area population level. We performed principal component analysis to visualize and reduce the CalEnviroScreen data and spatial autoregression to evaluate associations with disease burden.\n\nResultsCalEnviroScreen was strongly associated with the first principal component (PC) from a principal component analysis (PCA) of all 20 variables (Spearman {rho} = 0.95). In a PCA of the 12 environmental variables, two PC axes explained 43% of variance, with the first axis indicating industrial activity and air pollution, and the second associated with ground-level ozone, drinking water contamination and PM2.5. Mass of pesticides used in agriculture was poorly or negatively correlated with all other environmental indicators, and with the CalEnviroScreen calculation method, suggesting a limited ability of the method to capture agricultural exposures. In a PCA of the 5 socioeconomic variables, the first PC explained 66% of variance, representing overall socioeconomic hardship. In simultaneous autoregressive models, the first environmental and socioeconomic PCs were both significantly associated with the disease burden measure, but more model variation was explained by the socioeconomic PCs.\n\nConclusionsThis study supports the use of CalEnviroScreen for its intended purpose of screening California regions for areas with high environmental exposure and population vulnerability. Study results further suggest a hypothesis that, compared to environmental pollutant exposure, socioeconomic status has greater impact on overall burden of disease.

epidemiology

Modeling the emergence of antibiotic resistance in the environment: an analytical solution for the minimum selection concentration

Environmental antibiotic risk management requires an understanding of how subinhibitory antibiotic concentrations contribute to the spread of resistance. We develop a simple model of competition between sensitive and resistant bacterial strains to predict the minimum selection concentration (MSC), the lowest level of antibiotic at which resistant bacteria are selected. We present an analytical solution for the MSC based on the routinely measured minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) and the selection coefficient (sc) that expresses fitness differences between strains. We calibrated the model by optimizing the shape of the bacterial growth dose-response curve to antibiotic or metal exposure (the Hill coefficient, {kappa}) to fit previously published experimental growth rate difference data. The model fit varied among nine compound-taxa combinations examined, but predicted the experimentally observed MSC/MIC ratio well (R2 [≥] 0.95). The shape of the antibiotic response curve varied among compounds (0.7 [≤] {kappa} [≤] 10.5), with the steepest curve for the aminoglycosides streptomycin and kanamycin. The model was sensitive to this antibiotic response curve shape and to the sc, indicating the importance of fitness differences between strains for determining the MSC. The MSC can be more than one order of magnitude lower than the MIC, typically by a factor sc{kappa}. This study provides an initial quantitative depiction and a framework for a research agenda to examine the growing evidence of selection for resistant bacteria communities at low environmental antibiotic concentrations.

microbiology