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Matsuzaki, S.-i. S.

Publications and source records attributed to Matsuzaki, S.-i. S..

5 recordsLinked to original sources

What determines trophic niche breadth? A global analysis of freshwater fishes using isospaces

Trophic niche is one of the most tractable dimensions of a species niche. Several hypotheses have been proposed to explain global variation in species trophic niches, but empirical tests are limited. Stable isotope analysis (SIA) of {delta}{superscript 1}3C (a proxy for basal sources) and {delta}{superscript 1} N (a proxy for vertical trophic position) has increasingly been used to estimate trophic niche variation. We performed SIA on a dataset of over 33,000 stable isotope samples from freshwater fishes across six ecoregions. For 541 populations (358 species), we estimated the size of {delta}{superscript 1}3C x {delta}{superscript 1} N isospace--a bivariate representation of trophic niche breadth. We evaluated isospace variation in relation to environmental factors, species traits, and sampling scale, testing both novel and long-standing hypotheses about the drivers of trophic niche variation. A Boosted Regression Tree Model best predicted isospace, with environmental and trait-based variables among the strongest predictors. Fish isospaces were broader in regions with warmer temperatures, higher humidity, and precipitation variability, suggesting that more productive, diverse, and seasonal ecosystems are associated with broader trophic niches. Conversely, isospace size declined with increasing basin fish richness, which may reflect heightened interspecific competition or historical competitive exclusion. Isospace size was slightly smaller in large lakes compared to rivers, streams, and small lakes. Within-population variation in body size was strongly and positively associated with isospace size, highlighting the role of ontogenetic dietary shifts. Fish with truncate-rounded fins had broader isospaces than those with forked-lunate fins, likely due to the former having more limited movement and greater spatial isolation that resulted in greater between-individual niche variation. Primary consumers had larger isospaces than intermediate and top consumers. Predators showed relationships consistent those observed from analysis encompassing all trophic guilds, but non-predators deviated with regards to four variables--solar radiation, basin richness, average body size, and caudal fin aspect ratio. Isospace size increased with the number of sampled individuals, habitats and years surveyed. Although isospace patterns have well-documented limitations as trophic ecology metrics, our findings nonetheless conform with several longstanding hypotheses for trophic niche variation and stimulate new ideas about environmental and biological drivers of niche breadth.

ecology↗

Early warning signals are hampered by a lack of critical transitions in empirical lake data

Quantifying the potential for abrupt non-linear changes in ecological communities is a key managerial goal, leading to a significant body of research aimed at identifying indicators of approaching regime shifts. Most of this work has built on the theory of bifurcations, with the assumption that critical transitions are a common feature of complex ecological systems. This has led to the development of a suite of often inaccurate early warning signals (EWSs), with more recent techniques seeking to overcome their limitations by analysing multivariate time series or applying machine learning. However, it remains unclear whether regime shifts and/or critical transitions are common occurrences in natural systems, and - if they are present - whether classic and second-generation EWS methods predict rapid community change. Here, using multitrophic data on nine lakes from around the world, we both identify the type of transition a lake is exhibiting, and the reliability of classic and second generation EWSs methods to predict whole ecosystem change. We find few instances of critical transitions in our lake dataset, with different trophic levels often expressing different forms of abrupt change. The ability to predict this change is highly technique dependant, with multivariate EWSs generally classifying correctly, classical rolling window univariate EWSs performing not better than chance, and recently developed machine learning techniques performing poorly. Our results suggest that predictive ecology should start to move away from the concept of critical transitions and develop methods suitable for predicting change in the absence of the strict bounds of bifurcation theory.

ecology↗

Planktonic functional diversity changes in synchrony with lake ecosystem state

Managing ecosystems to effectively preserve function and services requires reliable tools that can infer changes in the stability and dynamics of a system. Conceptually, functional diversity (FD) appears a viable monitoring metric due to its mechanistic influence on ecological processes, but it is unclear whether changes in FD occur prior to state responses or vice versa. We examine the lagged relationship between planktonic FD and abundance-based metrics of system state (e.g. biomass) across five highly monitored lake communities using both correlation and non-linear causality approaches. Overall, phytoplankton and zooplankton FD display synchrony with lake state but each lake is idiosyncratic in the strength of relationship. It is therefore unlikely that changes in plankton FD are identifiable before changes in more easily collected abundance metrics. This suggests that FD is unlikely to be a viable early indicator, but has value as an alternative state measure if considered at the lake level. Graphical Abstract O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=75 SRC="FIGDIR/small/495076v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (19K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@7c688org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@7b170borg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@125e6e9org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@15af9bf_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG Data accessibility statementLake Kinneret and Lake Kasumigaura data are available on request, with all other data publicly available and referenced throughout. All code for analysis is available in the Zenodo record (to be released) and the associated GitHub repository (https://github.com/duncanobrien/plankton-FD).

ecology↗

Effects of species traits and ecosystem characteristics on species detection by eDNA metabarcoding in lake fish communities

Although environmental DNA (eDNA) metabarcoding is acknowledged to be an exceptionally useful and powerful tool for monitoring surveys, it has limited applicability, particularly for nationwide surveys. To evaluate the performance of eDNA metabarcoding in broad-scale monitoring, we examined the effects of species ecological/biological traits and ecosystem characteristics on species detection rates and the consequences for community analysis. We conducted eDNA metabarcoding on fish communities in 18 Japanese lakes on a country-wide scale. By comparing species records, we found that certain species traits, including body size, body shape, saltwater tolerance, and habitat preferences, influenced eDNA detection. We also found that the proportion of species detected decreased significantly with an increase in lake surface area, owing to an ecosystem-size effect on species detection. We conclude that species traits, including habitat preferences and body size, and ecosystem size should be taken into consideration when assessing the performance of eDNA metabarcoding in broad-scale monitoring.

ecology↗

Long-term warming weakens stabilizing effects of biodiversity in aquatic ecosystems

Despite the consensus that warming will affect biodiversity, alter physicochemical environments, and disrupt biological interactions, the relative importance of these key processes and how they interact to determine overall ecosystem function is poorly understood. Here, we analyze long-term (16[~]39 years) time series data from ten aquatic ecosystems and use convergent cross mapping (CCM) to quantify the hidden causal network linking species diversity, ecosystem function, and physicochemical factors. We observe that aquatic ecosystems subject to stronger warming exhibit decreased stability (larger fluctuations in phytoplankton biomass). We further show that this effect can be attributed to a weakening of stabilizing causal pathways between biodiversity, nutrient cycling, and phytoplankton biomass. Thus, rather than thinking in terms of separate factors, a more holistic view, that causally links biodiversity and the other ecosystem components, is required to understand and predict climate impacts on the temporal stability of aquatic ecosystems.

ecology↗